In contrast to the maximum likelihood approach which finds only a single estimate for the regression parameters, the Bayesian approach yields a distribution of weight parameters, p(wID), conditional on the training data D, and predictions are ex- ·Present address: SNN, University of Nijmegen, Geert Grooteplein 21, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.

We present a method for determining the globally optimal online learning rule for a soft committee machine under a statistical mechanics framework. This work complements previous results on locally optimal rules, where only the rate of change in generalization error was considered. We maximize the total reduction in generalization error over the whole learning process and show how the resulting rule can significantly outperform the locally optimal rule. 1 Introduction We consider a learning scenario in which a feed-forward neural network model (the student) emulates an unknown mapping (the teacher), given a set of training examples produced by the teacher. The performance of the student network is typically measured by its generalization error, which is the expected error on an unseen example. The aim of training is to reduce the generalization error by adapting the student network's parameters appropriately. A common form of training is online learning, where training patterns are presented sequentially and independently to the network at each learning step.

Bayesian methods have been successfully applied to regression and classification problems in multi-layer perceptrons. We present a novel application of Bayesian techniques to Radial Basis Function networks by developing a Gaussian approximation to the posterior distribution which, for fixed basis function widths, is analytic in the parameters. The setting of regularization constants by crossvalidation is wasteful as only a single optimal parameter estimate is retained. We treat this issue by assigning prior distributions to these constants, which are then adapted in light of the data under a simple re-estimation formula. 1 Introduction Radial Basis Function networks are popular regression and classification tools[lO]. For fixed basis function centers, RBFs are linear in their parameters and can therefore be trained with simple one shot linear algebra techniques[lO]. The use of unsupervised techniques to fix the basis function centers is, however, not generally optimal since setting the basis function centers using density estimation on the input data alone takes no account of the target values associated with that data. Ideally, therefore, we should include the target values in the training procedure[7, 3, 9]. Unfortunately, allowing centers to adapt to the training targets leads to the RBF being a nonlinear function of its parameters, and training becomes more problematic. Most methods that perform supervised training of RBF parameters minimize the ·Present address: SNN, University of Nijmegen, Geert Grooteplein 21, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.

A neural network approach to stereovision is presented based on aliasing effects of simple disparity estimators and a fast coherencedetection scheme. Within a single network structure, a dense disparity map with an associated validation map and, additionally, the fused cyclopean view of the scene are available. The network operations are based on simple, biological plausible circuitry; the algorithm is fully parallel and non-iterative.

This paper enhances the Q-Iearning algorithm for optimal asset allocation proposed in (Neuneier, 1996 [6]). The new formulation simplifies the approach by using only one value-function for many assets and allows model-free policy-iteration. After testing the new algorithm on real data, the possibility of risk management within the framework of Markov decision problems is analyzed. The proposed methods allows the construction of a multi-period portfolio management system which takes into account transaction costs, the risk preferences of the investor, and several constraints on the allocation. 1 Introduction

We provide a model of the standard watermaze task, and of a more challenging task involving novel platform locations, in which rats exhibit one-trial learning after a few days of training. The model uses hippocampal place cells to support reinforcement learning, and also, in an integrated manner, to build and use allocentric coordinates. 1 INTRODUCTION

An adaptive online algorithm is proposed to estimate hierarchical data structures for non-stationary data sources. The approach is based on the principle of minimum cross entropy to derive a decision tree for data clustering and it employs a metalearning idea (learning to learn) to adapt to changes in data characteristics. Its efficiency is demonstrated by grouping non-stationary artifical data and by hierarchical segmentation of LANDSAT images. 1 Introduction Unsupervised learning addresses the problem to detect structure inherent in unlabeled and unclassified data. N. The encoding usually is represented by an assignment matrix M (Mia), where Mia 1 if and only if Xi belongs to cluster L: 1 MiaV (Xi, Ya) measures the quality of a data partition, Le., optimal assignments and prototypes (M,y)OPt argminM,y1i (M,Y) minimize the inhomogeneity of clusters w.r.t. a given distance measure V. For reasons of simplicity we restrict the presentation to the ' sum-of-squared-error criterion V(x, y) To facilitate this minimization a deterministic annealing approach was proposed in [5] signments, which maps the discrete optimization problem, i.e. how to determine the data as via the Maximum Entropy Principle [2] to a continuous parameter es- Unsupervised Online Learning of Decision Trees for Data Analysis 515 timation problem.

We present a new approximate learning algorithm for Boltzmann Machines, using a systematic expansion of the Gibbs free energy to second order in the weights. The linear response correction to the correlations is given by the Hessian of the Gibbs free energy. The computational complexity of the algorithm is cubic in the number of neurons. We compare the performance of the exact BM learning algorithm with first order (Weiss) mean field theory and second order (TAP) mean field theory. The learning task consists of a fully connected Ising spin glass model on 10 neurons. We conclude that 1) the method works well for paramagnetic problems 2) the TAP correction gives a significant improvement over the Weiss mean field theory, both for paramagnetic and spin glass problems and 3) that the inclusion of diagonal weights improves the Weiss approximation for paramagnetic problems, but not for spin glass problems.

The generalization ability of a neural network can sometimes be improved dramatically by regularization. To analyze the improvement one needs more refined results than the asymptotic distribution of the weight vector. Here we study the simple case of one-dimensional linear regression under quadratic regularization, i.e., ridge regression. We study the random design, misspecified case, where we derive expansions for the optimal regularization parameter and the ensuing improvement. It is possible to construct examples where it is best to use no regularization.

Gaussian processes provide natural nonparametric prior distributions over regression functions. In this paper we consider regression problems where there is noise on the output, and the variance of the noise depends on the inputs. If we assume that the noise is a smooth function of the inputs, then it is natural to model the noise variance using a second Gaussian process, in addition to the Gaussian process governing the noise-free output value. We show that prior uncertainty about the parameters controlling both processes can be handled and that the posterior distribution of the noise rate can be sampled from using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Our results on a synthetic data set give a posterior noise variance that well-approximates the true variance.