Atlantic Ocean
Contrasting Deepfakes Diffusion via Contrastive Learning and Global-Local Similarities
Baraldi, Lorenzo, Cocchi, Federico, Cornia, Marcella, Baraldi, Lorenzo, Nicolosi, Alessandro, Cucchiara, Rita
Discerning between authentic content and that generated by advanced AI methods has become increasingly challenging. While previous research primarily addresses the detection of fake faces, the identification of generated natural images has only recently surfaced. This prompted the recent exploration of solutions that employ foundation vision-and-language models, like CLIP. However, the CLIP embedding space is optimized for global image-to-text alignment and is not inherently designed for deepfake detection, neglecting the potential benefits of tailored training and local image features. In this study, we propose CoDE (Contrastive Deepfake Embeddings), a novel embedding space specifically designed for deepfake detection. CoDE is trained via contrastive learning by additionally enforcing global-local similarities. To sustain the training of our model, we generate a comprehensive dataset that focuses on images generated by diffusion models and encompasses a collection of 9.2 million images produced by using four different generators. Experimental results demonstrate that CoDE achieves state-of-the-art accuracy on the newly collected dataset, while also showing excellent generalization capabilities to unseen image generators. Our source code, trained models, and collected dataset are publicly available at: https://github.com/aimagelab/CoDE.
Spatial Temporal Approach for High-Resolution Gridded Wind Forecasting across Southwest Western Australia
Chen, Fuling, Vinsen, Kevin, Filoche, Arthur
Accurate forecasting of wind speed and direction is paramount across various domains, playing a pivotal role in weather prediction, renewable energy generation, agricultural management, and bushfire mitigation efforts. Accurate predictions enable meteorologists to deepen their understanding of atmospheric processes, leading to more precise weather forecasts and timely alerts for severe weather events [1]. In the realm of renewable energy, precise forecasts of wind conditions are indispensable to optimise the performance of wind farms and integrate wind energy efficiently into the power grid [2-4]. In agriculture, wind forecasts inform critical decisions such as crop spraying, sprinkler or central pivot irrigation timing, and pest control, ultimately improving crop yields and water management [5]. For bush-fire management, timely and accurate predictions of wind speed and direction are crucial for modelling fire behaviour, planning firefighter deployment, and planning evacuations, thereby reducing the impact of bushfires on communities and ecosystems [6, 7]. Given the multifaceted applications of wind forecasting, advancements in machine learning-based techniques for predicting wind speed and direction hold immense promise for bolstering societal resilience and fostering sustainable development. Traditionally, wind forecasting models fall into three categories: physical, statistical time series analysis and machine learning.
Deep learning for predicting the occurrence of tipping points
Zhuge, Chengzuo, Li, Jiawei, Chen, Wei
Tipping points occur in many real-world systems, at which the system shifts suddenly from one state to another. The ability to predict the occurrence of tipping points from time series data remains an outstanding challenge and a major interest in a broad range of research fields. Particularly, the widely used methods based on bifurcation theory are neither reliable in prediction accuracy nor applicable for irregularly-sampled time series which are commonly observed from real-world systems. Here we address this challenge by developing a deep learning algorithm for predicting the occurrence of tipping points in untrained systems, by exploiting information about normal forms. Our algorithm not only outperforms traditional methods for regularly-sampled model time series but also achieves accurate predictions for irregularly-sampled model time series and empirical time series. Our ability to predict tipping points for complex systems paves the way for mitigation risks, prevention of catastrophic failures, and restoration of degraded systems, with broad applications in social science, engineering, and biology.
Achieving interpretable machine learning by functional decomposition of black-box models into explainable predictor effects
Köhler, David, Rügamer, David, Schmid, Matthias
Machine learning (ML) has increased greatly in both popularity and significance, driven by an increase in methods, computing power and data availability [33]. On July 5, 2024, a search on Web of Science for publications including the term "machine learning" yielded more than 350,000 results, corresponding to an average annual increase by more than 20% since 2006. ML models are often characterized by their high generalizability, making them particularly successful when used for supervised learning tasks like classification and risk prediction. In recent years, ML models based on deep artificial neural networks (ANNs) have led to groundbreaking results in the development of high-performing prediction models. The high prediction accuracy of modern ML models is usually achieved by optimizing complex "black-box" architectures with thousands of parameters. As a consequence, they often result in predictions that are difficult, if not impossible, to interpret. This interpretability problem has been hindering the use of ML in fields like medicine, ecology and insurance, where an understanding of the model and its inner workings is paramount to ensure user acceptance and fairness. In a recent environmental study, for example, we explored the use of ML to derive predictions of stream biological condition in the Chesapeake Bay watershed of the mid-Atlantic coast of North America [26]. Clearly, if these predictions are intended to inform future management policies (projecting, e.g., changes in land use, climate and watershed characteristics), they are required to be interpretable in terms of relevant features as well as the directions and strengths of the feature effects.
Ukrainian attack on ferry kills one in Russian port
One person has been killed and others wounded in a Ukrainian drone attack on a ferry at port in southern Russia, the regional governor has said. Krasnodar governor Veniamin Kondratyev said the ferry had caught fire at Port Kavkaz but there was no risk of it spreading. The port lies a few kilometres from the Kerch bridge, which enables road and rail travel between Russia and the Crimean peninsula, which Russia illegally annexed in 2014. "Unfortunately there are injured and dead among the crew and port staff," Mr Kondratyev said. He added that emergency services were on the scene.
Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 879
Russia downed 25 Ukrainian drones overnight, the Ministry of Defence in Moscow said on Tuesday. At least 21 UAVs were "intercepted and destroyed" in Crimea, two over the Bryansk region, and another two over the Belgorod region. Russia also said that it shot down 85 Ukrainian drones the previous day, including 47 in the region of Rostov. Authorities in the Russian Black Sea town of Tuapse in the Krasnodar region said that debris from one downed drone sparked a fire at an oil refinery and killed one person. Russia has announced that starting Tuesday, it will restrict entry to 14 areas in Belgorod, which have been subject to heavy attacks.
Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 877
Russia launched its fifth drone attack on Kyiv in two weeks, with Ukraine's air defence systems destroying all the air weapons before they could reach the capital, Ukraine's military said. No casualties or damage was reported, Serhiy Popko, head of Kyiv's military administration, said on Telegram. Russia's air defence systems destroyed eight Ukrainian drones overnight, the Russian Ministry of Defence said. Three of the drones were destroyed over the Belgorod region, which borders Ukraine, and three were intercepted in the Black Sea, the ministry said on Telegram.
Explaining Decisions of Agents in Mixed-Motive Games
Orner, Maayan, Maksimov, Oleg, Kleinerman, Akiva, Ortiz, Charles, Kraus, Sarit
In recent years, agents have become capable of communicating seamlessly via natural language and navigating in environments that involve cooperation and competition, a fact that can introduce social dilemmas. Due to the interleaving of cooperation and competition, understanding agents' decision-making in such environments is challenging, and humans can benefit from obtaining explanations. However, such environments and scenarios have rarely been explored in the context of explainable AI. While some explanation methods for cooperative environments can be applied in mixed-motive setups, they do not address inter-agent competition, cheap-talk, or implicit communication by actions. In this work, we design explanation methods to address these issues. Then, we proceed to establish generality and demonstrate the applicability of the methods to three games with vastly different properties. Lastly, we demonstrate the effectiveness and usefulness of the methods for humans in two mixed-motive games. The first is a challenging 7-player game called no-press Diplomacy. The second is a 3-player game inspired by the prisoner's dilemma, featuring communication in natural language.
Underwater Acoustic Signal Denoising Algorithms: A Survey of the State-of-the-art
Gao, Ruobin, Liang, Maohan, Dong, Heng, Luo, Xuewen, Suganthan, P. N.
This paper comprehensively reviews recent advances in underwater acoustic signal denoising, an area critical for improving the reliability and clarity of underwater communication and monitoring systems. Despite significant progress in the field, the complex nature of underwater environments poses unique challenges that complicate the denoising process. We begin by outlining the fundamental challenges associated with underwater acoustic signal processing, including signal attenuation, noise variability, and the impact of environmental factors. The review then systematically categorizes and discusses various denoising algorithms, such as conventional, decomposition-based, and learning-based techniques, highlighting their applications, advantages, and limitations. Evaluation metrics and experimental datasets are also reviewed. The paper concludes with a list of open questions and recommendations for future research directions, emphasizing the need for developing more robust denoising techniques that can adapt to the dynamic underwater acoustic environment.
A Survey of AI-Powered Mini-Grid Solutions for a Sustainable Future in Rural Communities
Pirie, Craig, Kalutarage, Harsha, Hajar, Muhammad Shadi, Wiratunga, Nirmalie, Charles, Subodha, Madhushan, Geeth Sandaru, Buddhika, Priyantha, Wijesiriwardana, Supun, Dimantha, Akila, Hansamal, Kithdara, Pathiranage, Shalitha
This paper presents a comprehensive survey of AI-driven mini-grid solutions aimed at enhancing sustainable energy access. It emphasises the potential of mini-grids, which can operate independently or in conjunction with national power grids, to provide reliable and affordable electricity to remote communities. Given the inherent unpredictability of renewable energy sources such as solar and wind, the necessity for accurate energy forecasting and management is discussed, highlighting the role of advanced AI techniques in forecasting energy supply and demand, optimising grid operations, and ensuring sustainable energy distribution. This paper reviews various forecasting models, including statistical methods, machine learning algorithms, and hybrid approaches, evaluating their effectiveness for both short-term and long-term predictions. Additionally, it explores public datasets and tools such as Prophet, NeuralProphet, and N-BEATS for model implementation and validation. The survey concludes with recommendations for future research, addressing challenges in model adaptation and optimisation for real-world applications.