Atlantic Ocean
Echofilter: A Deep Learning Segmentation Model Improves the Automation, Standardization, and Timeliness for Post-Processing Echosounder Data in Tidal Energy Streams
Lowe, Scott C., McGarry, Louise P., Douglas, Jessica, Newport, Jason, Oore, Sageev, Whidden, Christopher, Hasselman, Daniel J.
Understanding the abundance and distribution of fish in tidal energy streams is important to assess risks presented by introducing tidal energy devices to the habitat. However tidal current flows suitable for tidal energy are often highly turbulent, complicating the interpretation of echosounder data. The portion of the water column contaminated by returns from entrained air must be excluded from data used for biological analyses. Application of a single conventional algorithm to identify the depth-of-penetration of entrained air is insufficient for a boundary that is discontinuous, depth-dynamic, porous, and varies with tidal flow speed. Using a case study at a tidal energy demonstration site in the Bay of Fundy, we describe the development and application of a deep machine learning model with a U-Net based architecture. Our model, Echofilter, was highly responsive to the dynamic range of turbulence conditions and sensitive to the fine-scale nuances in the boundary position, producing an entrained-air boundary line with an average error of 0.33m on mobile downfacing and 0.5-1.0m on stationary upfacing data, less than half that of existing algorithmic solutions. The model's overall annotations had a high level of agreement with the human segmentation, with an intersection-over-union score of 99% for mobile downfacing recordings and 92-95% for stationary upfacing recordings. This resulted in a 50% reduction in the time required for manual edits when compared to the time required to manually edit the line placement produced by the currently available algorithms. Because of the improved initial automated placement, the implementation of the models permits an increase in the standardization and repeatability of line placement.
Efficient data-driven gap filling of satellite image time series using deep neural networks with partial convolutions
The abundance of gaps in satellite image time series often complicates the application of deep learning models such as convolutional neural networks for spatiotemporal modeling. Based on previous work in computer vision on image inpainting, this paper shows how three-dimensional spatiotemporal partial convolutions can be used as layers in neural networks to fill gaps in satellite image time series. To evaluate the approach, we apply a U-Net-like model on incomplete image time series of quasi-global carbon monoxide observations from the Sentinel-5P satellite. Prediction errors were comparable to two considered statistical approaches while computation times for predictions were up to three orders of magnitude faster, making the approach applicable to process large amounts of satellite data. Partial convolutions can be added as layers to other types of neural networks, making it relatively easy to integrate with existing deep learning models. However, the approach does not quantify prediction errors and further research is needed to understand and improve model transferability. The implementation of spatiotemporal partial convolutions and the U-Net-like model is available as open-source software.
Learning-based estimation of in-situ wind speed from underwater acoustics
Zambra, Matteo, Cazau, Dorian, Farrugia, Nicolas, Gensse, Alexandre, Pensieri, Sara, Bozzano, Roberto, Fablet, Ronan
Wind speed retrieval at sea surface is of primary importance for scientific and operational applications. Besides weather models, in-situ measurements and remote sensing technologies, especially satellite sensors, provide complementary means to monitor wind speed. As sea surface winds produce sounds that propagate underwater, underwater acoustics recordings can also deliver fine-grained wind-related information. Whereas model-driven schemes, especially data assimilation approaches, are the state-of-the-art schemes to address inverse problems in geoscience, machine learning techniques become more and more appealing to fully exploit the potential of observation datasets. Here, we introduce a deep learning approach for the retrieval of wind speed time series from underwater acoustics possibly complemented by other data sources such as weather model reanalyses. Our approach bridges data assimilation and learning-based frameworks to benefit both from prior physical knowledge and computational efficiency. Numerical experiments on real data demonstrate that we outperform the state-of-the-art data-driven methods with a relative gain up to 16% in terms of RMSE. Interestingly, these results support the relevance of the time dynamics of underwater acoustic data to better inform the time evolution of wind speed. They also show that multimodal data, here underwater acoustics data combined with ECMWF reanalysis data, may further improve the reconstruction performance, including the robustness with respect to missing underwater acoustics data.
Scotland Launches Its First Autonomous Shuttle Project With Navya
NAVYA, an autonomous mobility systems leader, announces a new partnership with Inverness Campus to deploy a new project with a Navya Autonom shuttle. Inverness Campus is hosting the first Autonomous Vehicle (AV) passenger service pilot in Scotland. The AV vehicle has arrived in the Highlands and the eagerly awaited trials are now underway and will continue until March, next year. Promoting the scheme is HITRANS, the regional transport partnership for the Highlands and Islands, which is committed to encouraging multi-modal travel and moving away from private car use. HITRANS has attracted European funding – through the Planning for Autonomous Vehicles (PAV) project, funded by the Interreg North Sea Region Programme – and is working with a number of partners to deliver the project.
Simulation of Atlantic Hurricane Tracks and Features: A Deep Learning Approach
Bose, Rikhi, Pintar, Adam L., Simiu, Emil
The objective of this paper is to employ machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to obtain from input data (storm features) available in or derived from the HURDAT2 database models capable of simulating important hurricane properties such as landfall location and wind speed that are consistent with historical records. In pursuit of this objective, a trajectory model providing the storm center in terms of longitude and latitude, and intensity models providing the central pressure and maximum 1-$min$ wind speed at 10 $m$ elevation were created. The trajectory and intensity models are coupled and must be advanced together, six hours at a time, as the features that serve as inputs to the models at any given step depend on predictions at the previous time steps. Once a synthetic storm database is generated, properties of interest, such as the frequencies of large wind speeds may be extracted from any part of the simulation domain. The coupling of the trajectory and intensity models obviates the need for an intensity decay inland of the coastline. Prediction results are compared to historical data, and the efficacy of the storm simulation models is demonstrated for three examples: New Orleans, Miami and Cape Hatteras.
Defensive Distillation based Adversarial Attacks Mitigation Method for Channel Estimation using Deep Learning Models in Next-Generation Wireless Networks
Catak, Ferhat Ozgur, Kuzlu, Murat, Catak, Evren, Cali, Umit, Guler, Ozgur
Future wireless networks (5G and beyond) are the vision of forthcoming cellular systems, connecting billions of devices and people together. In the last decades, cellular networks have been dramatically growth with advanced telecommunication technologies for high-speed data transmission, high cell capacity, and low latency. The main goal of those technologies is to support a wide range of new applications, such as virtual reality, metaverse, telehealth, online education, autonomous and flying vehicles, smart cities, smart grids, advanced manufacturing, and many more. The key motivation of NextG networks is to meet the high demand for those applications by improving and optimizing network functions. Artificial Intelligence (AI) has a high potential to achieve these requirements by being integrated in applications throughout all layers of the network. However, the security concerns on network functions of NextG using AI-based models, i.e., model poising, have not been investigated deeply. Therefore, it needs to design efficient mitigation techniques and secure solutions for NextG networks using AI-based methods. This paper proposes a comprehensive vulnerability analysis of deep learning (DL)-based channel estimation models trained with the dataset obtained from MATLAB's 5G toolbox for adversarial attacks and defensive distillation-based mitigation methods. The adversarial attacks produce faulty results by manipulating trained DL-based models for channel estimation in NextG networks, while making models more robust against any attacks through mitigation methods. This paper also presents the performance of the proposed defensive distillation mitigation method for each adversarial attack against the channel estimation model. The results indicated that the proposed mitigation method can defend the DL-based channel estimation models against adversarial attacks in NextG networks.
Predicting Tornadoes days ahead with Machine Learning
Coccomini, Davide Alessandro, Zara, Giuliano
Developing methods to predict disastrous natural phenomena is more important than ever, and tornadoes are among the most dangerous ones in nature. Due to the unpredictability of the weather, counteracting them is not an easy task and today it is mainly carried out by expert meteorologists, who interpret meteorological models. In this paper we propose a system for the early detection of a tornado, validating its effectiveness in a real-world context and exploiting meteorological data collection systems that are already widespread throughout the world. Our system was able to predict tornadoes with a maximum probability of 84% up to five days before the event on a novel dataset of more than 5000 tornadic and non-tornadic events. The dataset and the code to reproduce our results are available at: https://tinyurl.com/3brsfwpk
Adaptive LASSO estimation for functional hidden dynamic geostatistical model
Maranzano, Paolo, Otto, Philipp, Fassò, Alessandro
We propose a novel model selection algorithm based on a penalized maximum likelihood estimator (PMLE) for functional hidden dynamic geostatistical models (f-HDGM). These models employ a classic mixed-effect regression structure with embedded spatiotemporal dynamics to model georeferenced data observed in a functional domain. Thus, the parameters of interest are functions across this domain. The algorithm simultaneously selects the relevant spline basis functions and regressors that are used to model the fixed-effects relationship between the response variable and the covariates. In this way, it automatically shrinks to zero irrelevant parts of the functional coefficients or the entire effect of irrelevant regressors. The algorithm is based on iterative optimisation and uses an adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selector operator (LASSO) penalty function, wherein the weights are obtained by the unpenalised f-HDGM maximum-likelihood estimators. The computational burden of maximisation is drastically reduced by a local quadratic approximation of the likelihood. Through a Monte Carlo simulation study, we analysed the performance of the algorithm under different scenarios, including strong correlations among the regressors. We showed that the penalised estimator outperformed the unpenalised estimator in all the cases we considered. We applied the algorithm to a real case study in which the recording of the hourly nitrogen dioxide concentrations in the Lombardy region in Italy was modelled as a functional process with several weather and land cover covariates.
Adversarial Machine Learning-Based Anticipation of Threats Against Vehicle-to-Microgrid Services
In this paper, we study the expanding attack surface of Adversarial Machine Learning (AML) and the potential attacks against Vehicle-to-Microgrid (V2M) services. We present an anticipatory study of a multi-stage gray-box attack that can achieve a comparable result to a white-box attack. Adversaries aim to deceive the targeted Machine Learning (ML) classifier at the network edge to misclassify the incoming energy requests from microgrids. With an inference attack, an adversary can collect real-time data from the communication between smart microgrids and a 5G gNodeB to train a surrogate (i.e., shadow) model of the targeted classifier at the edge. To anticipate the associated impact of an adversary's capability to collect real-time data instances, we study five different cases, each representing different amounts of real-time data instances collected by an adversary. Out of six ML models trained on the complete dataset, K-Nearest Neighbour (K-NN) is selected as the surrogate model, and through simulations, we demonstrate that the multi-stage gray-box attack is able to mislead the ML classifier and cause an Evasion Increase Rate (EIR) up to 73.2% using 40% less data than what a white-box attack needs to achieve a similar EIR.
Studying PH variability in coastal areas using deep learning - Actu IA
Seawater has a pH of about 8.2, although it can vary between 7.5 and 8.5 depending on local salinity, and is estimated to have declined on average by 0.1 since the industrial era. This downward trend associated with increasing CO2 levels in the atmosphere is a matter of concern because of the possible negative consequences for marine organisms, especially calcifiers (corals, shellfish …). A team of Spanish researchers conducted a study to assess the seasonal variability of pH. Entitled " pH trends and seasonal cycle in the coastal Balearic Sea reconstructed through machine learning", it was published in the journal Natureon July 28. Susana Flecha, Àlex Giménez-Romero, Joaquín Tintoré, Fiz F. Pérez, Iris E. Hendriks, Manuel A. Matías, Eva Alou-Font are the authors of this study, which aims to study the variability of the PH of the Balearic coastal area through deep learning.