Functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) enables noninvasive investigation of brain function, while short clinical scan durations, arising from human and non-human factors, usually lead to reduced data quality and limited statistical power for neuroimaging research. In this paper, we propose BrainCast, a novel spatio-temporal forecasting framework specifically tailored for whole-brain fMRI time series forecasting, to extend informative fMRI time series without additional data acquisition. It formulates fMRI time series forecasting as a multivariate time series prediction task and jointly models temporal dynamics within regions of interest (ROIs) and spatial interactions across ROIs. Specifically, BrainCast integrates a Spatial Interaction Awareness module to characterize inter-ROI dependencies via embedding every ROI time series as a token, a Temporal Feature Refinement module to capture intrinsic neural dynamics within each ROI by enhancing both low- and high-energy temporal components of fMRI time series at the ROI level, and a Spatio-temporal Pattern Alignment module to combine spatial and temporal representations for producing informative whole-brain features. Experimental results on resting-state and task fMRI datasets from the Human Connectome Project demonstrate the superiority of BrainCast over state-of-the-art time series forecasting baselines. Moreover, fMRI time series extended by BrainCast improve downstream cognitive ability prediction, highlighting the clinical and neuroscientific impact brought by whole-brain fMRI time series forecasting in scenarios with restricted scan durations.

Human motion generation is often learned in Euclidean spaces, although valid motions follow structured non-Euclidean geometry. We present Riemannian Motion Generation (RMG), a unified framework that represents motion on a product manifold and learns dynamics via Riemannian flow matching. RMG factorizes motion into several manifold factors, yielding a scale-free representation with intrinsic normalization, and uses geodesic interpolation, tangent-space supervision, and manifold-preserving ODE integration for training and sampling. On HumanML3D, RMG achieves state-of-the-art FID in the HumanML3D format (0.043) and ranks first on all reported metrics under the MotionStreamer format. On MotionMillion, it also surpasses strong baselines (FID 5.6, R@1 0.86). Ablations show that the compact $\mathscr{T}+\mathscr{R}$ (translation + rotations) representation is the most stable and effective, highlighting geometry-aware modeling as a practical and scalable route to high-fidelity motion generation.

Masked diffusion language models (MDLMs) have recently emerged as a new paradigm in language modeling, offering flexible generation dynamics and enabling efficient parallel decoding. However, existing decoding strategies for pre-trained MDLMs predominantly rely on token-level uncertainty criteria, while largely overlooking sequence-level information and inter-token dependencies. To address this limitation, we propose Dependency-Oriented Sampler (DOS), a training-free decoding strategy that leverages inter-token dependencies to inform token updates during generation. Specifically, DOS exploits attention matrices from transformer blocks to approximate inter-token dependencies, emphasizing information from unmasked tokens when updating masked positions. Empirical results demonstrate that DOS consistently achieves superior performance on both code generation and mathematical reasoning tasks. Moreover, DOS can be seamlessly integrated with existing parallel sampling methods, leading to improved generation efficiency without sacrificing generation quality.

Sparse principal component analysis (SPCA) addresses the poor interpretability and variable redundancy often encountered by principal component analysis (PCA) in high-dimensional data. However, SPCA typically imposes uniform penalties on variables and does not account for differences in variable importance, which may lead to unstable performance in highly noisy or structurally complex settings. We propose SP-SPCA, a method that introduces a single equilibrium parameter into the regularization framework to adaptively adjust variable penalties. This modification of the L2 penalty provides flexible control over the trade-off between sparsity and explained variance while maintaining computational efficiency. Simulation studies show that the proposed method consistently outperforms standard sparse principal component methods in identifying sparse loading patterns, filtering noise variables, and preserving cumulative variance, especially in high-dimensional and noisy settings. Empirical applications to crime and financial market data further demonstrate its practical utility. In real data analyses, the method selects fewer but more relevant variables, thereby reducing model complexity while maintaining explanatory power. Overall, the proposed approach offers a robust and efficient alternative for sparse modeling in complex high-dimensional data, with clear advantages in stability, feature selection, and interpretability

This paper develops new variance-reduction techniques for the forward-reflected-backward splitting (FRBS) method to solve a class of possibly nonmonotone stochastic composite inclusions. Unlike unbiased estimators such as mini-batching, developing stochastic biased variants faces a fundamental technical challenge and has not been utilized before for inclusions and fixed-point problems. We fill this gap by designing a new framework that can handle both unbiased and biased estimators. Our main idea is to construct stochastic variance-reduced estimators for the forward-reflected direction and use them to perform iterate updates. First, we propose a class of unbiased variance-reduced estimators and show that increasing mini-batch SGD, loopless-SVRG, and SAGA estimators fall within this class. For these unbiased estimators, we establish a $\mathcal{O}(1/k)$ best-iterate convergence rate for the expected squared residual norm, together with almost-sure convergence of the iterate sequence to a solution. Consequently, we prove that the best oracle complexities for the $n$-finite-sum and expectation settings are $\mathcal{O}(n^{2/3}ε^{-2})$ and $\mathcal{O}(ε^{-10/3})$, respectively, when employing loopless-SVRG or SAGA, where $ε$ is a desired accuracy. Second, we introduce a new class of biased variance-reduced estimators for the forward-reflected direction, which includes SARAH, Hybrid SGD, and Hybrid SVRG as special instances. While the convergence rates remain valid for these biased estimators, the resulting oracle complexities are $\mathcal{O}(n^{3/4}ε^{-2})$ and $\mathcal{O}(ε^{-5})$ for the $n$-finite-sum and expectation settings, respectively. Finally, we conduct two numerical experiments on AUC optimization for imbalanced classification and policy evaluation in reinforcement learning.

Staged tree models enhance Bayesian networks by incorporating context-specific dependencies through a stage-based structure. In this study, we present a new framework for estimating staged trees using hierarchical clustering on the probability simplex, utilizing simplex basesd divergences. We conduct a thorough evaluation of several distance and divergence metrics including Total Variation, Hellinger, Fisher, and Kaniadakis; alongside various linkage methods such as Ward.D2, average, complete, and McQuitty. We conducted the simulation experiments that reveals Total Variation, especially when combined with Ward.D2 linkage, consistently produces staged trees with better model fit, structure recovery, and computational efficiency. We assess performance by utilizing relative Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and Hamming distance. Our findings indicate that although Backward Hill Climbing (BHC) delivers competitive outcomes, it incurs a significantly higher computational cost. On the other, Total Variation divergence with Ward.D2 linkage, achieves similar performance while providing significantly better computational efficiency, making it a more viable option for large-scale or time sensitive tasks.

Channel state information (CSI) feedback in frequency-division duplex (FDD) massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems is fundamentally limited by the high dimensionality of wideband channels. In this paper, we model the stacked wideband CSI vector as a Gaussian-mixture source with a latent geometry state that represents different propagation environments. Each component corresponds to a locally stationary regime characterized by a correlated proper complex Gaussian distribution with its own covariance matrix. This representation captures the multimodal nature of practical CSI datasets while preserving the analytical tractability of Gaussian models. Motivated by this structure, we propose Gaussian-mixture transform coding (GMTC), a practical CSI feedback architecture that combines state inference with state-adaptive TC. The mixture parameters are learned offline from channel samples and stored as a shared statistical dictionary at both the user equipment (UE) and the base station. For each CSI realization, the UE identifies the most likely geometry state, encodes the corresponding label using a lossless source code, and compresses the CSI using the Karhunen-Loeve transform matched to that state. We further characterize the fundamental limits of CSI compression under this model by deriving analytical converse and achievability bounds on the rate-distortion (RD) function. A key structural result is that the optimal bit allocation across all mixture components is governed by a single global reverse-waterfilling level. Simulations on the COST2100 dataset show that GMTC significantly improves the RD tradeoff relative to neural transform coding approaches while requiring substantially smaller model memory and lower inference complexity. These results indicate that near-optimal CSI compression can be achieved through state-adaptive TC without relying on large neural encoders.

In this paper, we analyze the two time-scale stochastic approximation (TTSSA) algorithm introduced in Borkar (1997) using a martingale approach. This approach leads to simple sufficient conditions for the iterations to be bounded almost surely, as well as estimates on the rate of convergence of the mean-squared error of the TTSSA algorithm to zero. Our theory is applicable to nonlinear equations, in contrast to many papers in the TTSSA literature which assume that the equations are linear. The convergence of TTSSA is proved in the "almost sure" sense, in contrast to earlier papers on TTSSA that establish convergence in distribution, convergence in the mean, and the like. Moreover, in this paper we establish different rates of convergence for the fast and the slow subsystems, perhaps for the first time. Finally, all of the above results to continue to hold in the case where the two measurement errors have nonzero conditional mean, and/or have conditional variances that grow without bound as the iterations proceed. This is in contrast to previous papers which assumed that the errors form a martingale difference sequence with uniformly bounded conditional variance. It is shown that when the measurement errors have zero conditional mean and the conditional variance remains bounded, the mean-squared error of the iterations converges to zero at a rate of $o(t^{-η})$ for all $η\in (0,1)$. This improves upon the rate of $O(t^{-2/3})$ proved in Doan (2023) (which is the best bound available to date). Our bound is virtually the same as the rate of $O(t^{-1})$ proved in Doan (2024), but for a Polyak-Ruppert averaged version of TTSSA, and not directly. Rates of convergence are also established for the case where the errors have nonzero conditional mean and/or unbounded conditional variance.

Kernel methods are widely used in causal inference for tasks such as treatment effect estimation, policy evaluation, and policy learning. The bootstrap is a standard tool for uncertainty quantification because of its broad applicability. As increasingly large datasets become available, such as the 2023 U.S. Natality data from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS), which includes 3,596,017 registered births, the computational demands of these methods increase substantially. Kernel methods are known to scale poorly with sample size, and this limitation is further exacerbated by the repeated re-fitting required by the bootstrap. As a result, bootstrap-based inference for kernel-based estimators can become computationally infeasible in large-scale settings. In this paper, we address these challenges by extending the causal Bag of Little Bootstraps (cBLB) algorithm to kernel methods. Our approach achieves computational scalability by combining subsampling and resampling while preserving first-order uncertainty quantification and asymptotically correct coverage. We evaluate the method across three representative implementations: kernelized augmented outcome-weighted learning, kernel-based minimax weighting, and double machine learning with kernel support vector machines. We show in simulations that our method yields confidence intervals with nominal coverage at a fraction of the computational cost. We further demonstrate its utility in a real-world application by estimating the effect of any amount of smoking on birth weight, as well as the optimal treatment regime, using the NVSS dataset, where the standard bootstrap is prohibitively expensive computationally and effectively infeasible at this scale.

Simulation plays a central role in scientific discovery. In many applications, the bottleneck is no longer running a simulator; it is choosing among large families of plausible simulators, each corresponding to different forward models/hypotheses consistent with observations. Over large model families, classical Bayesian workflows for model selection are impractical. Furthermore, amortized model selection methods typically hard-code a fixed model prior or complexity penalty at training time, requiring users to commit to a particular parsimony assumption before seeing the data. We introduce PRISM, a simulation-based encoder-decoder that infers a joint posterior over both discrete model structures and associated continuous parameters, while enabling test-time control of model complexity via a tunable model prior that the network is conditioned on. We show that PRISM scales to families with combinatorially many (up to billions) of model instantiations on a synthetic symbolic regression task. As a scientific application, we evaluate PRISM on biophysical modeling for diffusion MRI data, showing the ability to perform model selection across several multi-compartment models, on both synthetic and in vivo neuroimaging data.