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Predicting Bike Usage for New York City’s Bike Sharing System

AAAI Conferences

Bike sharing systems consist of a fleet of bikes placed in a network of docking stations. These bikes can then be rented and returned to any of the docking stations after usage. Predicting unrealized bike demand at locations currently without bike stations is important for effectively designing and expanding bike sharing systems. We predict pairwise bike demand for New York City’s Citi Bike system. Since the system is driven by daily commuters we focus only on the morning rush hours between 7:00 AM to 11:00 AM during weekdays. We use taxi usage, weather and spatial variables as covariates to predict bike demand, and further analyze the influence of precipitation and day of week. We show that aggregating stations in neighborhoods can substantially improve predictions. The presented model can assist planners by predicting bike demand at a macroscopic level, between pairs of neighborhoods.


Toward Social Media Opinion Mining for Sustainability Research

AAAI Conferences

We propose to introduce social media opinion mining research into the field of computational sustainability. Opinion mining from social media can be a faster and less expensive alternative to traditional survey and polling, on which many sustainability research are based. We describe a framework for such analysis, examine the challenges in our proposed framework and current status of research on those challenges. We also propose some possible research directions for tackling these challenges.


Multi-View Actionable Patterns for Managing Traffic Bottleneck

AAAI Conferences

Discovering congestion patterns from table-formed traffic reports is critical for traffic bottleneck analysis. However, patterns mined by existing algorithms often do not satisfy user requirements and are not actionable for traffic management. Traffic officers may not pursue the most frequent patterns but expect mining outcomes showing the dependence between congestion and various kinds of road properties for traffic planning. Such multi-view analysis requires to integrate user preferences of data attributes into pattern mining process. To tackle this problem, we propose a multi-view attributes reduction model for discovering the patterns of user interests, in which user views are interpreted as preferred attributes and formulated by attribute orders. Based on the pattern discovery model, a workflow is built for traffic bottleneck analysis, which consists of data preprocessing, preference representation and congestion pattern mining. Our approach is validated on the reports of road conditions from Shanghai, which shows that the resultant multi-view findings are effective for analyzing congestion causes and traffic management.


Adaptive Advice in Automobile Climate Control Systems

AAAI Conferences

Reducing an automobile's energy consumption will lower its dependency on fossil fuel and extend the travel range of electric vehicles. Automobile Climate Control Systems (CCS) are known to be heavy energy consumers. To help reduce CCS energy consumption, this paper presents an adaptive automated agent, MDP Agent for Climate control Systems -- MACS, which provides drivers advice as to how to set their CCS. First, we present a model which has 78% accuracy in predicting drivers' reactions to different advice in different situations. Using the prediction model, we designed a Markov Decision Process which solution provided the advising policy for MACS. Through empirical evaluation using an electric car, with 83 human subjects, we show that MACS successfully reduced the energy consumption of the subjects by 33% compared to subjects who were not equipped with MACS. MACS also outperformed the state-of-the-art Social agent for Advice Provision (SAP).


SustaInno: Toward a Searchable Repository of Sustainability Innovations

AAAI Conferences

In this paper we describe our ongoing work on SustaInno; an open-source search repository of innovations related to sustainability. SustaInno utilizes advanced information retrieval and text processing methods on technical innovations (initially patent data) to provide its users with practical, applicable, and detailed solutions to their sustainability related challenges. For example, problems like urban heat islands and rainwater waste are of major concern to most urban cities. Using our repository, decision makers can get quite in-depth solutions on practical approaches to address these and many other problems. The novelty of our work stems from three main factors: (1) such a repository does not exist,(2) it is focused on sustainability innovations which are of great importance for the creation of sustainable living environment, and (3) it provides a set of open-source tools and open-access datasets that could accelerate the dissemination of knowledge about sustainability.


Computational Urban Modeling: From Mainframes to Data Streams

AAAI Conferences

Assuming computational technologies as a dominant factor in forming new scientific methods during the last century, we review the field of computational urban modeling based on the ways different approaches deal with evolving computational and informational capacities. We claim that during the last few years, due to advancements in ubiquitous computing the flow of unstructured data streams have changed the landscape of empirical modeling and simulation. However, there is a conceptual mismatch between the state of the art in urban modeling paradigms and the capacities offered by these urban data streams. We discuss some alternative mathematical methodologies that introduce an abstraction from the traditional urban modeling methodologies.


Towards Detecting Rumours in Social Media

AAAI Conferences

This is especially the media as an event unfolds. This methodology consists of case in emergency situations, where the spread of a false rumour three main steps: (i) collection of (source) tweets posted during can have dangerous consequences. For instance, in a an emergency situation, sampling in such a way that situation where a hurricane is hitting a region, or a terrorist it is manageable for human assessment, while generating attack occurs in a city, access to accurate information is a good number of rumourous tweets from multiple stories, crucial for finding out how to stay safe and for maximising (ii) collection of conversations associated with each of the citizens' wellbeing. This is even more important in cases source tweets, which includes a set of replies discussing the where users tend to pass on false information more often source tweet, and (iii) collection of human annotations on than real facts, as occurred with Hurricane Sandy in 2012 the tweets sampled. We provide a definition of a rumour (Zubiaga and Ji 2014). Hence, identifying rumours within a which informs the annotation process. Our definition draws social media stream can be of great help for the development on definitions from different sources, including dictionaries of tools that prevent the spread of inaccurate information.


Exploiting Environmental Sounds for Activity Recognition in Smart Homes

AAAI Conferences

The number of elderly and frail individuals in need of daily assistance increases and the available human resources will certainly be insufficient. To remedy this situation, smart habitats are considered by many researchers as an innovative avenue to help support the needs of elders. It aims at providing cognitive assistance in taking decisions by giving hints, suggestions, and reminders with different kinds of effectors to residents. To implement such technology, the first challenge we need to overcome is the recognition of the ongoing activity. In the literature, some researchers have proposed solutions based on cameras, binary sensors, radio-frequency identification and load signatures of appliances but all these types of approaches have certain limitations to perform a complete recognition. In order to provide additional and useful information, a complementary activity recognition system, based on environmental sounds and able to detect errors related to cognitive impairment, is presented in this paper. The entire system relies on a discrete wavelet transform, the zero-crossing rate and C4.5 algorithm. This system has been implemented and deployed in a real smart-home prototype. This paper also present the results of a first set of experiments conducted on this system with real cases scenarios.


Designing a Portfolio of Parameter Configurations for Online Algorithm Selection

AAAI Conferences

Algorithm portfolios seek to determine an effective set of algorithms that can be used within an algorithm selection framework to solve problems. A limited number of these portfolio studies focus on generating different versions of a target algorithm using different parameter configurations. In this paper, we employ a Design of Experiments (DOE) approach to determine a promising range of values for each parameter of an algorithm. These ranges are further processed to determine a portfolio of parameter configurations, which would be used within two online Algorithm Selection approaches for solving different instances of a given combinatorial optimization problem effectively. We apply our approach on a Simulated Annealing-Tabu Search (SA-TS) hybrid algorithm for solving the Quadratic Assignment Problem (QAP) as well as an Iterated Local Search (ILS) on the Travelling Salesman Problem (TSP). We also generate a portfolio of parameter configurations using best-of-breed parameter tuning approaches directly for the comparison purpose. Experimental results show that our approach lead to improvements over best-of-breed parameter tuning approaches.


Plagiarism Detection in Polyphonic Music using Monaural Signal Separation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Most current approaches to plagiarism detection are based on musical similarity measures, which typically ignore the issue of polyphony in music. We present a novel feature space for audio derived from compositional modelling techniques, commonly used in signal separation, that provides a mechanism to account for polyphony without incurring an inordinate amount of computational overhead. We employ this feature representation in conjunction with traditional audio feature representations in a classification framework which uses an ensemble of distance features to characterize pairs of songs as being plagiarized or not. Our experiments on a database of about 3000 musical track pairs show that the new feature space characterization produces significant improvements over standard baselines.