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Distributed Evaluation of Nonmonotonic Multi-context Systems

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Multi-context Systems (MCSs) are a formalism for systems consisting of knowledge bases (possibly heterogeneous and non-monotonic) that are interlinked via bridge rules, where the global system semantics emerges from the local semantics of the knowledge bases (also called contexts) in an equilibrium. While MCSs and related formalisms are inherently targeted for distributed set- tings, no truly distributed algorithms for their evaluation were available. We address this short- coming and present a suite of such algorithms which includes a basic algorithm DMCS, an ad- vanced version DMCSOPT that exploits topology-based optimizations, and a streaming algorithm DMCS-STREAMING that computes equilibria in packages of bounded size. The algorithms be- have quite differently in several respects, as experienced in thorough experimental evaluation of a system prototype. From the experimental results, we derive a guideline for choosing the appropriate algorithm and running mode in particular situations, determined by the parameter settings.


Detecting Concept-level Emotion Cause in Microblogging

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we propose a Concept-level Emotion Cause Model (CECM), instead of the mere word-level models, to discover causes of microblogging users' diversified emotions on specific hot event. A modified topic-supervised biterm topic model is utilized in CECM to detect emotion topics' in event-related tweets, and then context-sensitive topical PageRank is utilized to detect meaningful multiword expressions as emotion causes. Experimental results on a dataset from Sina Weibo, one of the largest microblogging websites in China, show CECM can better detect emotion causes than baseline methods.


Unregularized Online Learning Algorithms with General Loss Functions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we consider unregularized online learning algorithms in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS). Firstly, we derive explicit convergence rates of the unregularized online learning algorithms for classification associated with a general gamma-activating loss (see Definition 1 in the paper). Our results extend and refine the results in Ying and Pontil (2008) for the least-square loss and the recent result in Bach and Moulines (2011) for the loss function with a Lipschitz-continuous gradient. Moreover, we establish a very general condition on the step sizes which guarantees the convergence of the last iterate of such algorithms. Secondly, we establish, for the first time, the convergence of the unregularized pairwise learning algorithm with a general loss function and derive explicit rates under the assumption of polynomially decaying step sizes. Concrete examples are used to illustrate our main results. The main techniques are tools from convex analysis, refined inequalities of Gaussian averages, and an induction approach.


Social Trust Prediction via Max-norm Constrained 1-bit Matrix Completion

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Social trust prediction addresses the significant problem of exploring interactions among users in social networks. Naturally, this problem can be formulated in the matrix completion framework, with each entry indicating the trustness or distrustness. However, there are two challenges for the social trust problem: 1) the observed data are with sign (1-bit) measurements; 2) they are typically sampled non-uniformly. Most of the previous matrix completion methods do not well handle the two issues. Motivated by the recent progress of max-norm, we propose to solve the problem with a 1-bit max-norm constrained formulation. Since max-norm is not easy to optimize, we utilize a reformulation of max-norm which facilitates an efficient projected gradient decent algorithm. We demonstrate the superiority of our formulation on two benchmark datasets.


A Case-Based Reasoning Framework to Choose Trust Models for Different E-Marketplace Environments

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

The performance of trust models highly depend on the characteristics of the environments where they are applied. Thus, it becomes challenging to choose a suitable trust model for a given e-marketplace environment, especially when ground truth about the agent (buyer and seller) behavior is unknown (called unknown environment). We propose a case-based reasoning framework to choose suitable trust models for unknown environments, based on the intuition that if a trust model performs well in one environment, it will do so in another similar environment. Firstly, we build a case base with a number of simulated environments (with known ground truth) along with the trust models most suitable for each of them. Given an unknown environment, case-based retrieval algorithms retrieve the most similar case(s), and the trust model of the most similar case(s) is chosen as the most suitable model for the unknown environment. Evaluation results confirm the effectiveness of our framework in choosing suitable trust models for different e-marketplace environments.


Asymptotic Accuracy of Bayesian Estimation for a Single Latent Variable

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In data science and machine learning, hierarchical parametric models, such as mixture models, are often used. They contain two kinds of variables: observable variables, which represent the parts of the data that can be directly measured, and latent variables, which represent the underlying processes that generate the data. Although there has been an increase in research on the estimation accuracy for observable variables, the theoretical analysis of estimating latent variables has not been thoroughly investigated. In a previous study, we determined the accuracy of a Bayes estimation for the joint probability of the latent variables in a dataset, and we proved that the Bayes method is asymptotically more accurate than the maximum-likelihood method. However, the accuracy of the Bayes estimation for a single latent variable remains unknown. In the present paper, we derive the asymptotic expansions of the error functions, which are defined by the Kullback-Leibler divergence, for two types of single-variable estimations when the statistical regularity is satisfied. Our results indicate that the accuracies of the Bayes and maximum-likelihood methods are asymptotically equivalent and clarify that the Bayes method is only advantageous for multivariable estimations.


Actively Learning to Attract Followers on Twitter

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Twitter, a popular social network, presents great opportunities for on-line machine learning research. However, previous research has focused almost entirely on learning from passively collected data. We study the problem of learning to acquire followers through normative user behavior, as opposed to the mass following policies applied by many bots. We formalize the problem as a contextual bandit problem, in which we consider retweeting content to be the action chosen and each tweet (content) is accompanied by context. We design reward signals based on the change in followers. The result of our month long experiment with 60 agents suggests that (1) aggregating experience across agents can adversely impact prediction accuracy and (2) the Twitter community's response to different actions is non-stationary. Our findings suggest that actively learning on-line can provide deeper insights about how to attract followers than machine learning over passively collected data alone.


Generalized Correntropy for Robust Adaptive Filtering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

As a robust nonlinear similarity measure in kernel space, correntropy has received increasing attention in domains of machine learning and signal processing. In particular, the maximum correntropy criterion (MCC) has recently been successfully applied in robust regression and filtering. The default kernel function in correntropy is the Gaussian kernel, which is, of course, not always the best choice. In this work, we propose a generalized correntropy that adopts the generalized Gaussian density (GGD) function as the kernel (not necessarily a Mercer kernel), and present some important properties. We further propose the generalized maximum correntropy criterion (GMCC), and apply it to adaptive filtering. An adaptive algorithm, called the GMCC algorithm, is derived, and the mean square convergence performance is studied. We show that the proposed algorithm is very stable and can achieve zero probability of divergence (POD). Simulation results confirm the theoretical expectations and demonstrate the desirable performance of the new algorithm.


Gradient of Probability Density Functions based Contrasts for Blind Source Separation (BSS)

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The article derives some novel independence measures and contrast functions for Blind Source Separation (BSS) application. For the $k^{th}$ order differentiable multivariate functions with equal hyper-volumes (region bounded by hyper-surfaces) and with a constraint of bounded support for $k>1$, it proves that equality of any $k^{th}$ order derivatives implies equality of the functions. The difference between product of marginal Probability Density Functions (PDFs) and joint PDF of a random vector is defined as Function Difference (FD) of a random vector. Assuming the PDFs are $k^{th}$ order differentiable, the results on generalized functions are applied to the independence condition. This brings new sets of independence measures and BSS contrasts based on the $L^p$-Norm, $ p \geq 1$ of - FD, gradient of FD (GFD) and Hessian of FD (HFD). Instead of a conventional two stage indirect estimation method for joint PDF based BSS contrast estimation, a single stage direct estimation of the contrasts is desired. The article targets both the efficient estimation of the proposed contrasts and extension of the potential theory for an information field. The potential theory has a concept of reference potential and it is used to derive closed form expression for the relative analysis of potential field. Analogous to it, there are introduced concepts of Reference Information Potential (RIP) and Cross Reference Information Potential (CRIP) based on the potential due to kernel functions placed at selected sample points as basis in kernel methods. The quantities are used to derive closed form expressions for information field analysis using least squares. The expressions are used to estimate $L^2$-Norm of FD and $L^2$-Norm of GFD based contrasts.


The Gram-Charlier A Series based Extended Rule-of-Thumb for Bandwidth Selection in Univariate and Multivariate Kernel Density Estimations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The article derives a novel Gram-Charlier A (GCA) Series based Extended Rule-of-Thumb (ExROT) for bandwidth selection in Kernel Density Estimation (KDE). There are existing various bandwidth selection rules achieving minimization of the Asymptotic Mean Integrated Square Error (AMISE) between the estimated probability density function (PDF) and the actual PDF. The rules differ in a way to estimate the integration of the squared second order derivative of an unknown PDF $(f(\cdot))$, identified as the roughness $R(f''(\cdot))$. The simplest Rule-of-Thumb (ROT) estimates $R(f''(\cdot))$ with an assumption that the density being estimated is Gaussian. Intuitively, better estimation of $R(f''(\cdot))$ and consequently better bandwidth selection rules can be derived, if the unknown PDF is approximated through an infinite series expansion based on a more generalized density assumption. As a demonstration and verification to this concept, the ExROT derived in the article uses an extended assumption that the density being estimated is near Gaussian. This helps use of the GCA expansion as an approximation to the unknown near Gaussian PDF. The ExROT for univariate KDE is extended to that for multivariate KDE. The required multivariate AMISE criteria is re-derived using elementary calculus of several variables, instead of Tensor calculus. The derivation uses the Kronecker product and the vector differential operator to achieve the AMISE expression in vector notations. There is also derived ExROT for kernel based density derivative estimator.