Asia
South Korea's stock market soars as Samsung union calls off planned strike
South Korea's stock market soars as Samsung union calls off planned strike South Korea's stock market has rallied following a last-minute deal to avert a strike that had threatened to disrupt the global supply of memory chips. Samsung Electronics and its union on Wednesday night announced a tentative agreement to settle a months-long standoff over pay, avoiding a planned 18-day walkout by some 48,000 employees. South Korea's benchmark KOSPI on Thursday soared more than 8 percent, continuing a remarkable run that has seen the index rise more than 80 percent since the start of the year. Samsung Electronics, South Korea's biggest firm by market capitalisation, jumped more than 7.5 percent. SK Hynix, the main rival of Samsung Electronics in memory chips, surged more than 11 percent.
From AI to interceptors, Ukraine is trying to drone-proof its skies
This week, with air raid warnings wailing in the distance, Kyiv held a funeral for two sisters. They had already lost their father who had been fighting on the front line. Their grieving mother is now the family's sole survivor. This is the human cost of the largest sustained Russian aerial assault so far - with 1,500 drones and 56 missiles fired at Ukraine within 48 hours. But the loss of life could have been even higher.
Online Learning-to-Defer with Varying Experts
Duy, Dang Hoang, Montreuil, Yannis, Meyer, Maxime, Carlier, Axel, Ng, Lai Xing, Ooi, Wei Tsang
Learning-to-Defer (L2D) methods route each query either to a predictive model or to external experts. While existing work studies this problem in batch settings, real-world deployments require handling streaming data, changing expert availability, and shifting expert distribution. We introduce the first online L2D algorithm for multiclass classification with bandit feedback and a dynamically varying pool of experts. Our method achieves regret guarantees of $O((n+n_e)T^{2/3})$ in general and $O((n+n_e)\sqrt{T})$ under a low-noise condition, where $T$ is the time horizon, $n$ is the number of labels, and $n_e$ is the number of distinct experts observed across rounds. The analysis builds on novel $\mathcal{H}$-consistency bounds for the online framework, combined with first-order methods for online convex optimization. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our approach effectively extends standard Learning-to-Defer to settings with varying expert availability and reliability.
CASCADE Conformal Prediction: Uncertainty-Adaptive Prediction Intervals for Two-Stage Clinical Decision Support
Diaz-Rincon, Ricardo, Liang, Muxuan, Ramirez-Zamora, Adolfo, Shickel, Benjamin
Effective medication management in Parkinson's Disease (PD) is challenging due to heterogeneous disease progression, variable patient response, and medication side effects. While AI models can forecast levodopa equivalent daily dose (LEDD) as a measure of medication needs, standard uncertainty quantification often fails to communicate the reliability of these predictions, treating high and low confidence clinical decisions identically. We introduce CASCADE (Calibrated Adaptive Scaling via Conformal And Distributional Estimation), a novel conformal prediction framework that propagates epistemic uncertainty from a screening classifier to adapt downstream predictions. Unlike standard conformal methods that rely on auxiliary residual regression, we leverage epistemic uncertainty from a primary classification task (identifying whether a medication change is needed) to dynamically scale the prediction intervals of a secondary regression task (predicting how much change). By mapping Venn-Abers multi-probabilistic uncertainty directly to non-conformity scores, our framework achieves continuous risk adaptation. We demonstrate that this ``cascade effect'' produces highly efficient intervals for confident patients (38.9% narrower than standard conformal baselines) while automatically expanding intervals to ensure robust coverage for uncertain cases, bridging the gap between discrete clinical decision-making and continuous dose forecasting in PD.
Spectral bandits for smooth graph functions with applications in recommender systems
Kocák, Tomáš, Valko, Michal, Munos, Rémi, Kveton, Branislav, Agrawal, Shipra
Smooth functions on graphs have wide applications in manifold and semi-supervised learning. In this paper, we study a bandit problem where the payoffs of arms are smooth on a graph. This framework is suitable for solving online learning problems that involve graphs, such as content-based recommendation. In this problem, each recommended item is a node and its expected rating is similar to its neighbors. The goal is to recommend items that have high expected ratings. We aim for the algorithms where the cumulative regret would not scale poorly with the number of nodes. In particular, we introduce the notion of an effective dimension, which is small in real-world graphs, and propose two algorithms for solving our problem that scale linearly in this dimension. Our experiments on real-world content recommendation problem show that a good estimator of user preferences for thousands of items can be learned from just tens nodes evaluations.
Improved Guarantees for Constrained Online Convex Optimization via Self-Contraction
Sarkar, Dhruv, Sinha, Abhishek
We consider Constrained Online Convex Optimization (COCO) with adversarially chosen constraints. At each round, the learner chooses an action before observing the loss and constraint function for that round. The goal is to achieve small static regret against the best point satisfying all constraints while also controlling cumulative constraint violation ($\mathsf{CCV}$). For strongly convex losses, state-of-the-art algorithms achieve $O(\log T)$ regret and $O(\sqrt{T \log T})$ $\mathsf{CCV}.$ The corresponding best-known bounds for convex losses is $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret and $O(\sqrt{T} \log T)$ $\mathsf{CCV}$. In this paper, we give a simple projection-based algorithm that simultaneously achieves $O(\log T)$ regret and $O(\log T)$ $\mathsf{CCV}$ for strongly-convex losses, yielding an exponential improvement in the $\mathsf{CCV}$. For the convex losses, our algorithm improves the $\mathsf{CCV}$ to $O(\sqrt{T})$ while maintaining the optimal $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret. The key to our improvement is a recent geometric result for self-contracted curves, which may be of independent interest.
Federated LoRA Fine-Tuning for LLMs via Collaborative Alignment
He, Shuaida, Chen, Liwen, Feng, Long
Low-rank adaptation (LoRA) has emerged as a powerful tool for parameter-efficient fine-tuning of large language models (LLMs). This paper studies LoRA under a federated learning setting, enabling collaborative fine-tuning across clients while preserving parameter efficiency. We focus on a highly heterogeneous regime in which clients share only partial structure and a substantial subset may be contaminated. We propose Collaborative Low-rank Alignment and Identifiable Recovery (CLAIR), a contamination-aware framework that relies only on preliminary local estimators. Its formulation applies broadly, from linear regression to neural network and LLM modules, whenever local adaptation can be represented by matrix-valued updates. CLAIR recovers the shared LoRA subspace and detects contaminated clients via a structured low-rank plus block-sparse decomposition. We prove exact recovery of the shared LoRA subspace in the noiseless case, stable recovery under preliminary estimation error, and consistent collaborative-set recovery under mild separation conditions. We further quantify the gain from CLAIR refinement: it reduces off-subspace estimation error through cross-client averaging while preserving client-specific variation within the shared LoRA subspace, thus improves over local fine-tuning whenever this oracle gain outweighs the costs of subspace estimation and benign-client heterogeneity. Empirically, we demonstrate the benefits of CLAIR by fine-tuning a Transformer architecture on a text-copying task. The results show accurate contamination detection and improved benign-client performance compared with local fine-tuning and non-robust federated averaging.
Neural Negative Binomial Regression for Weekly Seismicity Forecasting: Per-Cell Dispersion Estimation and Tail Risk Assessment
Earthquake forecasting is a critical task for natural risk management, infrastructure resilience planning, and emergency response operations. For Central Asia, and the Tian Shan mountain system in particular, this problem carries heightened importance due to high tectonic activity, complex geodynamics, and pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity of seismic processes. In the applied setting, the goal is not a deterministic forecast of individual events, but a macroscopic forecast of seismicity intensity: estimating the expected number of earthquakes with magnitude M 3.0 on a spatial grid at a weekly horizon. Historically, count data forecasting in fixed spatiotemporal cells has been formulated within the Poisson framework. However, its key assumption--equality of the conditional mean and conditional variance--is systematically violated in real seismological data. Earthquakes exhibit pronounced clustering associated with swarm activity, foreshock-aftershock sequences, and episodes of anomalous activity, resulting in overdispersion in which the variance substantially exceeds the mean. Under these conditions, uncritical application of the Poisson distribution leads to biased uncertainty estimates and, consequently, to underestimation of the risk of extreme scenarios. Despite the widespread adoption of machine learning methods in seismological problems, a substantial portion of existing work remains methodologically vulnerable. On one hand, several approaches apply continuous regression loss functions and metrics (e.g., MSE), ignoring the
A Bipartisan Amendment Would End Police License Plate Tracking Nationwide
One line tucked into a federal highway bill would strip funds from cities and states unless they kill their automated plate tracking programs--effectively banning the tech for all but toll collection. US lawmakers plan to introduce an amendment Thursday at a House committee markup hearing that would prohibit any recipient of federal highway funding from using automated license plate readers for any purpose other than tolling--a sweeping restriction that, if adopted, would bring an immediate end to state and local ALPR programs across the United States. The amendment, obtained first by WIRED, is sponsored by Representative Scott Perry, a Pennsylvania Republican and Freedom Caucus member, and Representative Jesús "Chuy" García, an Illinois progressive whose state has become a flash point in the national fight over ALPR misuse. The House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee will mark up the underlying bill--a $580 billion, five-year reauthorization of federal surface transportation programs--at 10 am ET on Thursday. Neither Perry nor García's offices immediately responded to WIRED's request for comment. The amendment runs a single sentence: "A recipient of assistance under Title 23, United States Code, may not use automated license plate readers for any purpose other than tolling."
PMOS shows us why many scientific terms need to be renamed
What do researchers of artificial intelligence, medicine and climate change have in common? They could all learn from the story of Rumpelstiltskin. As the fairy tale teaches us, knowing something's "true name", an ancient concept in folklore, gives us power over it. While this may not seem very scientific, psychologists have repeatedly found that your name changes how people perceive you . The same may be true for scientific terms. Take "artificial intelligence": while the technology is undeniably impressive, much of the drama around AI might have been avoided if we used the less grandiose name "machine learning".