We study the problem of estimating the arrival times of vertices in a uniform random recursive tree from its unlabeled structure. We adopt a pointwise perspective and analyze the distribution of the relative estimation error, and derive tail bounds that are uniform in both the vertex and the tree size. For the ranking induced by Jordan centrality, the probability that the estimate exceeds the true arrival time by a factor $S$ decays on the order of $1/S$, while the probability of underestimating the arrival time by a factor $1/S$ decays exponentially in $S$. We introduce a refined centrality measure whose overestimation tail decays on the order of $(\log S)/S^{2}$, at the cost of a heavier lower tail of order $1/S^{2}$. These results reveal a tradeoff between upper- and lower-tail performance in arrival-time estimation that is invisible to the previously studied risk functional. Nevertheless, the refined centrality measure attains the optimal order of the risk for all its parameter values.

The 2026 World Cup promises a global celebration. Many Arab fans may find themselves excluded. For the first time in World Cup history, eight Arab nations have qualified for this year's tournament, including Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iraq, and Jordan--double the number of teams that qualified for Qatar in 2022. Yet, the tournament is taking place at an unprecedented moment of heightened geopolitical tension. The US-Israel war with Iran, which began in February of this year, has caused ripple effects across Gulf states and neighboring countries in the Levant, including Lebanon, Palestine, and Jordan, reshaping the security around travel and mobility for fans and players hailing from the region. The US State Department has fully suspended visa issuance for nationals from countries with teams that qualified, including Iran and Haiti--despite it being the first time Haiti has qualified for a World Cup since 1974.

In this paper, we study differentially private mechanisms for functions whose outputs lie in a Euclidean Jordan algebra. Euclidean Jordan algebras capture many important mathematical structures and form the foundation of linear programming, second-order cone programming, and semidefinite programming. Our main contribution is a generic Gaussian mechanism for such functions, with sensitivity measured in ℓ2, ℓ1, and ℓ norms. Notably, this framework includes the important case where the function outputs are symmetric matrices, and sensitivity is measured in the Frobenius, nuclear, or spectral norm. We further derive private algorithms for solving symmetric cone programs under various settings, using a combination of the multiplicative weights update method and our generic Gaussian mechanism. As an application, we present differentially private algorithms for semidefinite programming, resolving a major open question posed by [Hsu, Roth, Roughgarden, and Ullman, ICALP 2014].

In this paper, we study differentially private mechanisms for functions whose outputs lie in a Euclidean Jordan algebra. Euclidean Jordan algebras capture many important mathematical structures and form the foundation of linear programming, second-order cone programming, and semidefinite programming. Our main contribution is a generic Gaussian mechanism for such functions, with sensitivity measured in $\ell_2$, $\ell_1$, and $\ell_\infty$ norms. Notably, this framework includes the important case where the function outputs are symmetric matrices, and sensitivity is measured in the Frobenius, nuclear, or spectral norm. We further derive private algorithms for solving symmetric cone programs under various settings, using a combination of the multiplicative weights update method and our generic Gaussian mechanism. As an application, we present differentially private algorithms for semidefinite programming, resolving a major open question posed by [Hsu, Roth, Roughgarden, and Ullman, ICALP 2014].

We study online estimation for high-dimensional generalized linear models with streaming data. First, for the non-distributed setting, we propose a gradient-enhanced surrogate loss that approximates the cumulative loss using only historical summaries, which modifies and improves upon the existing renewable estimation approach for the same model in the high-dimensional setting, and removes the batch-number constraint in previous studies. We then extend the method to distributed streaming data under the master-client architecture, where batches are partitioned across sites and only summaries (gradient vectors) are exchanged. Instead of directing applying the popular method of Jordan et al. (2019) to the surrogate quadratic loss, our adjusted approach does not require the clients to compute the full surrogate loss. We derive non-asymptotic error bounds under the high-dimensional scaling, without the stringent constraint on the number of batches in the previous studies. Simulation results under linear and logistic models, together with a real-data application, show improved accuracy over existing renewable estimators.

Follow this author to personalize your feed and get instant alerts. Follow Go to your personalized feed WHY FOLLOW? Smart Alerts: Get notified about major news as it happens. Has anyone, in or out of the dentist's chair, shined more brightly after losing teeth than Jack Hughes, the New Jersey Devils center, who at the Milano Cortina Olympics scored the game-winning goal in overtime to give Team USA a 2-1 win over Canada, and the Americans their first men's hockey gold medal since the 1980 Miracle on Ice? Despite a high-stick to the mouth from Canada's Sam Bennett late in the third period, Hughes played on and fired a left-wing rocket past goalkeeper Jordan Binnington to seal the victory.

Finding approximations to an intractable probability distribution π of interest (usually known only up to a normalizing constant) is a key problem in scientific computing. Variational Inference stands out as a particularly attractive tool for this task, owing to its statistical and computational efficiency, and it has been the framework underlying many advances in computational statistics over the past half century (Parisi, 1980; Hinton and Van Camp, 1993; Jordan et al., 1999; Bishop and Nasrabadi, 2006). The central idea is to seek a tractable approximation to π within a chosen family of tractable distributions Q by minimizing a divergence to π over that'variational' family. Often, it is convenient or well-motivated to work with the family of product (or tensor, or factorized) distributions Q = P m, and define optimality through minimisation of the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence (also'relative entropy') min KL(ϱ||π): ϱ P m . A key practical aspect of working with this particular loss function is that in solving the associated optimisation problem, one is only required to compute expectations under the tractable variational distribution ϱ, rather than under the intractable target distribution π. In Bayesian statistics, π typically represents the joint posterior distribution of latent variables z Z and some parameters β B given observed data y Y. In these cases, we often choose m = 2 and seek the best variational approximation µ(dz) ν(dβ) to π to solve min KL(µ ν||π): µ P(Z), ν P(B) . The coordinate ascent variational inference algorithm (CAVI, Bishop and Nasrabadi, 2006; Blei et al., 2017) solves this problem by iteratively minimizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence with respect to one element at a time: given a starting point ν0, it iterates µk:= argmin

A year to go until France chooses its next president, the big question is who can save the election from being a battle of the extremes. For now, and perhaps only for now, the answer is pretty clear. It is President Emmanuel Macron's former prime minister, Edouard Philippe. Latest opinion polls concur that the 55-year-old centre-right politician is the only figure capable of beating a hard-right candidate in round two of the vote next May, whether that is Marine Le Pen or her young deputy Jordan Bardella. In any other polled scenario, the other candidate would lose and France would have a populist-right head of state.

In this section, we shall show detailed derivations for the point-wise dependency estimation methods. Four approaches are discussed: Variational Bounds of Mutual Information, Density Matching, Probabilistic Classifier, and Density-Ratio Fitting. For convenience, we define Ω = X Y. We have PX,Y and PXPY (can also be written as PX PY) be the probability measures over σ algebras over Ω with their probability densities being the Radon-Nikodym derivatives (i.e., p(x,y) = dPX,Y/dµ and p(x)p(y) = dPXPY/dµwith µbeing the Lebesgue measure). These estimators have the logarithm of point-wise dependency (PMI) as the intermediate product, which we will show in the following. We denote Mbe any class of functions m: Ω R. Proposition 1 (INWJ and its neural estimation, restating Nguyen-Wainwright-Jordan bound [5, 18]).

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