Isfahan
Predictive Uncertainty in Short-Term PV Forecasting under Missing Data: A Multiple Imputation Approach
Pashmchi, Parastoo, Benoit, Jérôme, Kanagawa, Motonobu
Missing values are common in photovoltaic (PV) power data, yet the uncertainty they induce is not propagated into predictive distributions. We develop a framework that incorporates missing-data uncertainty into short-term PV forecasting by combining stochastic multiple imputation with Rubin's rule. The approach is model-agnostic and can be integrated with standard machine-learning predictors. Empirical results show that ignoring missing-data uncertainty leads to overly narrow prediction intervals. Accounting for this uncertainty improves interval calibration while maintaining comparable point prediction accuracy. These results demonstrate the importance of propagating imputation uncertainty in data-driven PV forecasting.
Exact Recovery in the Data Block Model
Asadi, Amir R., Davoodi, Akbar, Javadi, Ramin, Parvaresh, Farzad
Community detection in networks is a fundamental problem in machine learning and statistical inference, with applications in social networks, biological systems, and communication networks. The stochastic block model (SBM) serves as a canonical framework for studying community structure, and exact recovery, identifying the true communities with high probability, is a central theoretical question. While classical results characterize the phase transition for exact recovery based solely on graph connectivity, many real-world networks contain additional data, such as node attributes or labels. In this work, we study exact recovery in the Data Block Model (DBM), an SBM augmented with node-associated data, as formalized by Asadi, Abbe, and Verdú (2017). We introduce the Chernoff--TV divergence and use it to characterize a sharp exact recovery threshold for the DBM. We further provide an efficient algorithm that achieves this threshold, along with a matching converse result showing impossibility below the threshold. Finally, simulations validate our findings and demonstrate the benefits of incorporating vertex data as side information in community detection.
All the countries Israel attacked in 2025: Animated map
Why is Israel still in southern Lebanon? A war to shape Lebanon's future How many countries has Israel attacked in 2025? Israel has attacked more countries than any other country this year. In 2025, Israel attacked at least six countries, including Palestine, Iran, Lebanon, Qatar, Syria, and Yemen. It also carried out strikes in Tunisian, Maltese and Greek territorial waters on aid flotillas heading for Gaza.
Long-Term PM2.5 Forecasting Using a DTW-Enhanced CNN-GRU Model
Naeini, Amirali Ataee, Naeini, Arshia Ataee, Mohammadi, Fatemeh Karami, Ghaffarpasand, Omid
Reliable long-term forecasting of PM2.5 concentrations is critical for public health early-warning systems, yet existing deep learning approaches struggle to maintain prediction stability beyond 48 hours, especially in cities with sparse monitoring networks. This paper presents a deep learning framework that combines Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) for intelligent station similarity selection with a CNN-GRU architecture to enable extended-horizon PM2.5 forecasting in Isfahan, Iran, a city characterized by complex pollution dynamics and limited monitoring coverage. Unlike existing approaches that rely on computationally intensive transformer models or external simulation tools, our method integrates three key innovations: (i) DTW-based historical sampling to identify similar pollution patterns across peer stations, (ii) a lightweight CNN-GRU architecture augmented with meteorological features, and (iii) a scalable design optimized for sparse networks. Experimental validation using multi-year hourly data from eight monitoring stations demonstrates superior performance compared to state-of-the-art deep learning methods, achieving R2 = 0.91 for 24-hour forecasts. Notably, this is the first study to demonstrate stable 10-day PM2.5 forecasting (R2 = 0.73 at 240 hours) without performance degradation, addressing critical early-warning system requirements. The framework's computational efficiency and independence from external tools make it particularly suitable for deployment in resource-constrained urban environments.
MedVQA-TREE: A Multimodal Reasoning and Retrieval Framework for Sarcopenia Prediction
Moradbeiki, Pardis, Ghadiri, Nasser, Zahabi, Sayed Jalal, Wiil, Uffe Kock, Brockhattingen, Kristoffer Kittelmann, Ebrahimi, Ali
Accurate sarcopenia diagnosis via ultrasound remains challenging due to subtle imaging cues, limited labeled data, and the absence of clinical context in most models. We propose MedVQA-TREE, a multimodal framework that integrates a hierarchical image interpretation module, a gated feature-level fusion mechanism, and a novel multi-hop, multi-query retrieval strategy. The vision module includes anatomical classification, region segmentation, and graph-based spatial reasoning to capture coarse, mid-level, and fine-grained structures. A gated fusion mechanism selectively integrates visual features with textual queries, while clinical knowledge is retrieved through a UMLS-guided pipeline accessing PubMed and a sarcopenia-specific external knowledge base. MedVQA-TREE was trained and evaluated on two public MedVQA datasets (VQA-RAD and PathVQA) and a custom sarcopenia ultrasound dataset. The model achieved up to 99% diagnostic accuracy and outperformed previous state-of-the-art methods by over 10%. These results underscore the benefit of combining structured visual understanding with guided knowledge retrieval for effective AI-assisted diagnosis in sarcopenia.
Personalized Control for Lower Limb Prosthesis Using Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks
Mohasel, SeyedMojtaba, Aghaei, Alireza Afzal, Pew, Corey
Objective: This paper investigates the potential of learnable activation functions in Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) for personalized control in a lower-limb prosthesis. In addition, user-specific vs. pooled training data is evaluated to improve machine learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) performance for turn intent prediction. Method: Inertial measurement unit (IMU) data from the shank were collected from five individuals with lower-limb amputation performing turning tasks in a laboratory setting. Ability to classify an upcoming turn was evaluated for Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN), convolutional neural network (CNN), and fractional Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (FKAN). The comparison of MLP and KAN (for ML models) and FKAN and CNN (for DL models) assessed the effectiveness of learnable activation functions. Models were trained separately on user-specific and pooled data to evaluate the impact of training data on their performance. Results: Learnable activation functions in KAN and FKAN did not yield significant improvement compared to MLP and CNN, respectively. Training on user-specific data yielded superior results compared to pooled data for ML models ($p < 0.05$). In contrast, no significant difference was observed between user-specific and pooled training for DL models. Significance: These findings suggest that learnable activation functions may demonstrate distinct advantages in datasets involving more complex tasks and larger volumes. In addition, pooled training showed comparable performance to user-specific training in DL models, indicating that model training for prosthesis control can utilize data from multiple participants.
Revolutionizing Traffic Management with AI-Powered Machine Vision: A Step Toward Smart Cities
DolatAbadi, Seyed Hossein Hosseini, Hashemi, Sayyed Mohammad Hossein, Hosseini, Mohammad, AliHosseini, Moein-Aldin
The rapid urbanization of cities and increasing vehicular congestion have posed significant challenges to traffic management and safety. This study explores the transformative potential of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine vision technologies in revolutionizing traffic systems. By leveraging advanced surveillance cameras and deep learning algorithms, this research proposes a system for real-time detection of vehicles, traffic anomalies, and driver behaviors. The system integrates geospatial and weather data to adapt dynamically to environmental conditions, ensuring robust performance in diverse scenarios. Using YOLOv8 and YOLOv11 models, the study achieves high accuracy in vehicle detection and anomaly recognition, optimizing traffic flow and enhancing road safety. These findings contribute to the development of intelligent traffic management solutions and align with the vision of creating smart cities with sustainable and efficient urban infrastructure.
Co-evolution-based Metal-binding Residue Prediction with Graph Neural Networks
Rastegari, Sayedmohammadreza, Tabakhi, Sina, Liu, Xianyuan, Sang, Wei, Lu, Haiping
In computational structural biology, predicting metal-binding sites and their corresponding metal types is challenging due to the complexity of protein structures and interactions. Conventional sequence- and structure-based prediction approaches cannot capture the complex evolutionary relationships driving these interactions to facilitate understanding, while recent co-evolution-based approaches do not fully consider the entire structure of the co-evolved residue network. In this paper, we introduce MBGNN (Metal-Binding Graph Neural Network) that utilizes the entire co-evolved residue network and effectively captures the complex dependencies within protein structures via graph neural networks to enhance the prediction of co-evolved metal-binding residues and their associated metal types. Experimental results on a public dataset show that MBGNN outperforms existing co-evolution-based metal-binding prediction methods, and it is also competitive against recent sequence-based methods, showing the potential of integrating co-evolutionary insights with advanced machine learning to deepen our understanding of protein-metal interactions. The MBGNN code is publicly available at https://github.com/SRastegari/MBGNN.
Leveraging Machine Learning and Deep Learning Techniques for Improved Pathological Staging of Prostate Cancer
Ghalamkarian, Raziehsadat, Ghalamkarian, Marziehsadat, Ahmadi, MortezaAli, Ahmadi, Sayed Mohammad, Diyanat, Abolfazl
Prostate cancer (Pca) continues to be a leading cause of cancer-related mortality in men, and the limitations in precision of traditional diagnostic methods such as the Digital Rectal Exam (DRE), Prostate-Specific Antigen (PSA) testing, and biopsies underscore the critical importance of accurate staging detection in enhancing treatment outcomes and improving patient prognosis. This study leverages machine learning and deep learning approaches, along with feature selection and extraction methods, to enhance PCa pathological staging predictions using RNA sequencing data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Gene expression profiles from 486 tumors were analyzed using advanced algorithms, including Random Forest (RF), Logistic Regression (LR), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), and Support Vector Machine (SVM). The performance of the study is measured with respect to the F1-score, as well as precision and recall, all of which are calculated as weighted averages. The results reveal that the highest test F1-score, approximately 83%, was achieved by the Random Forest algorithm, followed by Logistic Regression at 80%, while both Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) scored around 79%. Furthermore, deep learning models with data augmentation achieved an accuracy of 71. 23%, while PCA-based dimensionality reduction reached an accuracy of 69.86%. This research highlights the potential of AI-driven approaches in clinical oncology, paving the way for more reliable diagnostic tools that can ultimately improve patient outcomes.
A machine learning approach for Premature Coronary Artery Disease Diagnosis according to Different Ethnicities in Iran
Roshanzamir, Mohamad, Alizadehsani, Roohallah, Zarepur, Ehsan, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Nouri, Fatemeh, Roshanzamir, Mahdi, Khosravi, Alireza, Nouhi, Fereidoon, Sarrafzadegan, Nizal
Premature coronary artery disease (PCAD) refers to the early onset of the disease, usually before the age of 55 for men and 65 for women. Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) develops when coronary arteries, the major blood vessels supplying the heart with blood, oxygen, and nutrients, become clogged or diseased. This is often due to many risk factors, including lifestyle and cardiometabolic ones, but few studies were done on ethnicity as one of these risk factors, especially in PCAD. In this study, we tested the rank of ethnicity among the major risk factors of PCAD, including age, gender, body mass index (BMI), visceral obesity presented as waist circumference (WC), diabetes mellitus (DM), high blood pressure (HBP), high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and smoking in a large national sample of patients with PCAD from different ethnicities. All patients who met the age criteria underwent coronary angiography to confirm CAD diagnosis. The weight of ethnicity was compared to the other eight features using feature weighting algorithms in PCAD diagnosis. In addition, we conducted an experiment where we ran predictive models (classification algorithms) to predict PCAD. We compared the performance of these models under two conditions: we trained the classification algorithms, including or excluding ethnicity. This study analyzed various factors to determine their predictive power influencing PCAD prediction. Among these factors, gender and age were the most significant predictors, with ethnicity being the third most important. The results also showed that if ethnicity is used as one of the input risk factors for classification algorithms, it can improve their efficiency. Our results show that ethnicity ranks as an influential factor in predicting PCAD. Therefore, it needs to be addressed in the PCAD diagnostic and preventive measures.