Africa
Online estimation methods for irregular autoregressive models
Elorrieta, Felipe, Osses, Lucas, Cáceres, Matias, Eyheramendy, Susana, Palma, Wilfredo
In the last decades, due to the huge technological growth observed, it has become increasingly common that a collection of temporal data rapidly accumulates in vast amounts. This provides an opportunity for extracting valuable information through the estimation of increasingly precise models. But at the same time it imposes the challenge of continuously updating the models as new data become available. Currently available methods for addressing this problem, the so-called online learning methods, use current parameter estimations and novel data to update the estimators. These approaches avoid using the full raw data and speeding up the computations. In this work we consider three online learning algorithms for parameters estimation in the context of time series models. In particular, the methods implemented are: gradient descent, Newton-step and Kalman filter recursions. These algorithms are applied to the recently developed irregularly observed autoregressive (iAR) model. The estimation accuracy of the proposed methods is assessed by means of Monte Carlo experiments. The results obtained show that the proposed online estimation methods allow for a precise estimation of the parameters that generate the data both for the regularly and irregularly observed time series. These online approaches are numerically efficient, allowing substantial computational time savings. Moreover, we show that the proposed methods are able to adapt the parameter estimates quickly when the time series behavior changes, unlike batch estimation methods.
Filtering Context Mitigates Scarcity and Selection Bias in Political Ideology Prediction
Chen, Chen, Walker, Dylan, Saligrama, Venkatesh
We propose a novel supervised learning approach for political ideology prediction (PIP) that is capable of predicting out-of-distribution inputs. This problem is motivated by the fact that manual data-labeling is expensive, while self-reported labels are often scarce and exhibit significant selection bias. We propose a novel statistical model that decomposes the document embeddings into a linear superposition of two vectors; a latent neutral \emph{context} vector independent of ideology, and a latent \emph{position} vector aligned with ideology. We train an end-to-end model that has intermediate contextual and positional vectors as outputs. At deployment time, our model predicts labels for input documents by exclusively leveraging the predicted positional vectors. On two benchmark datasets we show that our model is capable of outputting predictions even when trained with as little as 5\% biased data, and is significantly more accurate than the state-of-the-art. Through crowd-sourcing we validate the neutrality of contextual vectors, and show that context filtering results in ideological concentration, allowing for prediction on out-of-distribution examples.
Partitioning Distributed Compute Jobs with Reinforcement Learning and Graph Neural Networks
Parsonson, Christopher W. F., Shabka, Zacharaya, Ottino, Alessandro, Zervas, Georgios
From natural language processing to genome sequencing, large-scale machine learning models are bringing advances to a broad range of fields. Many of these models are too large to be trained on a single machine, and instead must be distributed across multiple devices. This has motivated the research of new compute and network systems capable of handling such tasks. In particular, recent work has focused on developing management schemes which decide how to allocate distributed resources such that some overall objective, such as minimising the job completion time (JCT), is optimised. However, such studies omit explicit consideration of how much a job should be distributed, usually assuming that maximum distribution is desirable. In this work, we show that maximum parallelisation is sub-optimal in relation to user-critical metrics such as throughput and blocking rate. To address this, we propose PAC-ML (partitioning for asynchronous computing with machine learning). PAC-ML leverages a graph neural network and reinforcement learning to learn how much to partition computation graphs such that the number of jobs which meet arbitrary user-defined JCT requirements is maximised. In experiments with five real deep learning computation graphs on a recently proposed optical architecture across four user-defined JCT requirement distributions, we demonstrate PAC-ML achieving up to 56.2% lower blocking rates in dynamic job arrival settings than the canonical maximum parallelisation strategy used by most prior works.
Semantic rule Web-based Diagnosis and Treatment of Vector-Borne Diseases using SWRL rules
Chandra, Ritesh, Tiwari, Sadhana, Agarwal, Sonali, Singh, Navjot
Vector-borne diseases (VBDs) are a kind of infection caused through the transmission of vectors generated by the bites of infected parasites, bacteria, and viruses, such as ticks, mosquitoes, triatomine bugs, blackflies, and sandflies. If these diseases are not properly treated within a reasonable time frame, the mortality rate may rise. In this work, we propose a set of ontologies that will help in the diagnosis and treatment of vector-borne diseases. For developing VBD's ontology, electronic health records taken from the Indian Health Records website, text data generated from Indian government medical mobile applications, and doctors' prescribed handwritten notes of patients are used as input. This data is then converted into correct text using Optical Character Recognition (OCR) and a spelling checker after pre-processing. Natural Language Processing (NLP) is applied for entity extraction from text data for making Resource Description Framework (RDF) medical data with the help of the Patient Clinical Data (PCD) ontology. Afterwards, Basic Formal Ontology (BFO), National Vector Borne Disease Control Program (NVBDCP) guidelines, and RDF medical data are used to develop ontologies for VBDs, and Semantic Web Rule Language (SWRL) rules are applied for diagnosis and treatment. The developed ontology helps in the construction of decision support systems (DSS) for the NVBDCP to control these diseases.
Time Series Forecasting via Semi-Asymmetric Convolutional Architecture with Global Atrous Sliding Window
The proposed method in this paper is designed to address the problem of time series forecasting. Although some exquisitely designed models achieve excellent prediction performances, how to extract more useful information and make accurate predictions is still an open issue. Most of modern models only focus on a short range of information, which are fatal for problems such as time series forecasting which needs to capture long-term information characteristics. As a result, the main concern of this work is to further mine relationship between local and global information contained in time series to produce more precise predictions. In this paper, to satisfactorily realize the purpose, we make three main contributions that are experimentally verified to have performance advantages. Firstly, original time series is transformed into difference sequence which serves as input to the proposed model. And secondly, we introduce the global atrous sliding window into the forecasting model which references the concept of fuzzy time series to associate relevant global information with temporal data within a time period and utilizes central-bidirectional atrous algorithm to capture underlying-related features to ensure validity and consistency of captured data. Thirdly, a variation of widely-used asymmetric convolution which is called semi-asymmetric convolution is devised to more flexibly extract relationships in adjacent elements and corresponding associated global features with adjustable ranges of convolution on vertical and horizontal directions. The proposed model in this paper achieves state-of-the-art on most of time series datasets provided compared with competitive modern models.
Redesigning Electronic Health Record Systems to Support Developing Countries
Tshimula, Jean Marie, Nkashama, D'Jeff K., Kalala, Kalonji, Dialufuma, Maximilien V., Didier, Mbuyi Mukendi, Kanda, Hugues, Muabila, Jean Tshibangu, Mayemba, Christian N.
Electronic Health Record (EHR) has become an essential tool in the healthcare ecosystem, providing authorized clinicians with patients' health-related information for better treatment. While most developed countries are taking advantage of EHRs to improve their healthcare system, it remains challenging in developing countries to support clinical decision-making and public health using a computerized patient healthcare information system. This paper proposes a novel EHR architecture suitable for developing countries--an architecture that fosters inclusion and provides solutions tailored to all social classes and socioeconomic statuses. Our architecture foresees an internet-free (offline) solution to allow medical transactions between healthcare organizations, and the storage of EHRs in geographically underserved and rural areas. Moreover, we discuss how artificial intelligence can leverage anonymous health-related information to enable better public health policy and surveillance.
Diffuser: Efficient Transformers with Multi-hop Attention Diffusion for Long Sequences
Feng, Aosong, Li, Irene, Jiang, Yuang, Ying, Rex
Efficient Transformers have been developed for long sequence modeling, due to their subquadratic memory and time complexity. Sparse Transformer is a popular approach to improving the efficiency of Transformers by restricting self-attention to locations specified by the predefined sparse patterns. However, leveraging sparsity may sacrifice expressiveness compared to full-attention, when important token correlations are multiple hops away. To combine advantages of both the efficiency of sparse transformer and the expressiveness of full-attention Transformer, we propose \textit{Diffuser}, a new state-of-the-art efficient Transformer. Diffuser incorporates all token interactions within one attention layer while maintaining low computation and memory costs. The key idea is to expand the receptive field of sparse attention using Attention Diffusion, which computes multi-hop token correlations based on all paths between corresponding disconnected tokens, besides attention among neighboring tokens. Theoretically, we show the expressiveness of Diffuser as a universal sequence approximator for sequence-to-sequence modeling, and investigate its ability to approximate full-attention by analyzing the graph expander property from the spectral perspective. Experimentally, we investigate the effectiveness of Diffuser with extensive evaluations, including language modeling, image modeling, and Long Range Arena (LRA). Evaluation results show that Diffuser achieves improvements by an average of 0.94% on text classification tasks and 2.30% on LRA, with 1.67$\times$ memory savings compared to state-of-the-art benchmarks, which demonstrates superior performance of Diffuser in both expressiveness and efficiency aspects.
Friend-training: Learning from Models of Different but Related Tasks
Zhang, Mian, Jin, Lifeng, Song, Linfeng, Mi, Haitao, Zhou, Xiabing, Yu, Dong
Current self-training methods such as standard self-training, co-training, tri-training, and others often focus on improving model performance on a single task, utilizing differences in input features, model architectures, and training processes. However, many tasks in natural language processing are about different but related aspects of language, and models trained for one task can be great teachers for other related tasks. In this work, we propose friend-training, a cross-task self-training framework, where models trained to do different tasks are used in an iterative training, pseudo-labeling, and retraining process to help each other for better selection of pseudo-labels. With two dialogue understanding tasks, conversational semantic role labeling and dialogue rewriting, chosen for a case study, we show that the models trained with the friend-training framework achieve the best performance compared to strong baselines.
Low Complexity Adaptive Machine Learning Approaches for End-to-End Latency Prediction
Larrenie, Pierre, Bercher, Jean-François, Venard, Olivier, Lahsen-Cherif, Iyad
Software Defined Networks have opened the door to statistical and AI-based techniques to improve efficiency of networking. Especially to ensure a certain Quality of Service (QoS) for specific applications by routing packets with awareness on content nature (VoIP, video, files, etc.) and its needs (latency, bandwidth, etc.) to use efficiently resources of a network. Monitoring and predicting various Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) at any level may handle such problems while preserving network bandwidth. The question addressed in this work is the design of efficient, low-cost adaptive algorithms for KPI estimation, monitoring and prediction. We focus on end-to-end latency prediction, for which we illustrate our approaches and results on data obtained from a public generator provided after the recent international challenge on GNN [12]. In this paper, we improve our previously proposed low-cost estimators [6] by adding the adaptive dimension, and show that the performances are minimally modified while gaining the ability to track varying networks.
Double Sampling Randomized Smoothing
Li, Linyi, Zhang, Jiawei, Xie, Tao, Li, Bo
Neural networks (NNs) are known to be vulnerable against adversarial perturbations, and thus there is a line of work aiming to provide robustness certification for NNs, such as randomized smoothing, which samples smoothing noises from a certain distribution to certify the robustness for a smoothed classifier. However, as shown by previous work, the certified robust radius in randomized smoothing suffers from scaling to large datasets ("curse of dimensionality"). To overcome this hurdle, we propose a Double Sampling Randomized Smoothing (DSRS) framework, which exploits the sampled probability from an additional smoothing distribution to tighten the robustness certification of the previous smoothed classifier. Theoretically, under mild assumptions, we prove that DSRS can certify $\Theta(\sqrt d)$ robust radius under $\ell_2$ norm where $d$ is the input dimension, implying that DSRS may be able to break the curse of dimensionality of randomized smoothing. We instantiate DSRS for a generalized family of Gaussian smoothing and propose an efficient and sound computing method based on customized dual optimization considering sampling error. Extensive experiments on MNIST, CIFAR-10, and ImageNet verify our theory and show that DSRS certifies larger robust radii than existing baselines consistently under different settings. Code is available at https://github.com/llylly/DSRS.