Welcome to the latest issue of your guide to AI, an editorialized newsletter covering key developments in AI research, industry, geopolitics and startups during January 2023. This one is a monster so it might get clipped in your inbox (read the online version in case!). Nathan wrote an oped in The Times for why university spinouts are a critical engine for our technology industry and why spinout policy needs urgent reform. The Times Higher Education profiled our open source data term database, spinout.fyi. Nathan commented on The Financial Times' Big Read on The growing tensions around spinouts at British universities. The State of AI Report provided two key figures to The Economist's piece on The race of the AI labs heats up. Register for next year's RAAIS, a full-day event in London that explores research frontiers and real-world applications of AI-first technology at the world's best companies. As usual, we love hearing what you're up to and what's on your mind, just hit reply or forward to your friends:-) BioNTech acquired London and Tunis-based AI startup InstaDeep for $680M (cash stock) - this was a huge deal.

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has emerged as the quintessential method in a data scientist's toolbox. Much progress has been made in the last two decades toward understanding the iteration complexity of SGD (in expectation and high-probability) in the learning theory and optimization literature. However, using SGD for high-stakes applications requires careful quantification of the associated uncertainty. Toward that end, in this work, we establish high-dimensional Central Limit Theorems (CLTs) for linear functionals of online least-squares SGD iterates under a Gaussian design assumption. Our main result shows that a CLT holds even when the dimensionality is of order exponential in the number of iterations of the online SGD, thereby enabling high-dimensional inference with online SGD. Our proof technique involves leveraging Berry-Esseen bounds developed for martingale difference sequences and carefully evaluating the required moment and quadratic variation terms through recent advances in concentration inequalities for product random matrices. We also provide an online approach for estimating the variance appearing in the CLT (required for constructing confidence intervals in practice) and establish consistency results in the high-dimensional setting.

Deducing the contribution of each agent and assigning the corresponding reward to them is a crucial problem in cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL). Previous studies try to resolve the issue through designing an intrinsic reward function, but the intrinsic reward is simply combined with the environment reward by summation in these studies, which makes the performance of their MARL framework unsatisfactory. We propose a novel method named Attention Individual Intrinsic Reward Mixing Network (AIIR-MIX) in MARL, and the contributions of AIIR-MIX are listed as follows:(a) we construct a novel intrinsic reward network based on the attention mechanism to make teamwork more effective. (b) we propose a Mixing network that is able to combine intrinsic and extrinsic rewards non-linearly and dynamically in response to changing conditions of the environment. We compare AIIR-MIX with many State-Of-The-Art (SOTA) MARL methods on battle games in StarCraft II. And the results demonstrate that AIIR-MIX performs admirably and can defeat the current advanced methods on average test win rate. To validate the effectiveness of AIIR-MIX, we conduct additional ablation studies. The results show that AIIR-MIX can dynamically assign each agent a real-time intrinsic reward in accordance with their actual contribution.

Unsupervised meta-learning aims to learn the meta knowledge from unlabeled data and rapidly adapt to novel tasks. However, existing approaches may be misled by the context-bias (e.g. background) from the training data. In this paper, we abstract the unsupervised meta-learning problem into a Structural Causal Model (SCM) and point out that such bias arises due to hidden confounders. To eliminate the confounders, we define the priors are \textit{conditionally} independent, learn the relationships between priors and intervene on them with casual factorization. Furthermore, we propose Causal Meta VAE (CMVAE) that encodes the priors into latent codes in the causal space and learns their relationships simultaneously to achieve the downstream few-shot image classification task. Results on toy datasets and three benchmark datasets demonstrate that our method can remove the context-bias and it outperforms other state-of-the-art unsupervised meta-learning algorithms because of bias-removal. Code is available at \url{https://github.com/GuodongQi/CMVAE}

Content moderation is the process of flagging content based on pre-defined platform rules. There has been a growing need for AI moderators to safeguard users as well as protect the mental health of human moderators from traumatic content. While prior works have focused on identifying hateful/offensive language, they are not adequate for meeting the challenges of content moderation since 1) moderation decisions are based on violation of rules, which subsumes detection of offensive speech, and 2) such rules often differ across communities which entails an adaptive solution. We propose to study the challenges of content moderation by introducing a multilingual dataset of 1.8 Million Reddit comments spanning 56 subreddits in English, German, Spanish and French. We perform extensive experimental analysis to highlight the underlying challenges and suggest related research problems such as cross-lingual transfer, learning under label noise (human biases), transfer of moderation models, and predicting the violated rule. Our dataset and analysis can help better prepare for the challenges and opportunities of auto moderation.

Federated Learning (FL) is a learning paradigm that protects privacy by keeping client data on edge devices. However, optimizing FL in practice can be difficult due to the diversity and heterogeneity of the learning system. Despite recent research efforts to improve the optimization of heterogeneous data, the impact of time-evolving heterogeneous data in real-world scenarios, such as changing client data or intermittent clients joining or leaving during training, has not been studied well. In this work, we propose Continual Federated Learning (CFL), a flexible framework for capturing the time-evolving heterogeneity of FL. CFL can handle complex and realistic scenarios, which are difficult to evaluate in previous FL formulations, by extracting information from past local data sets and approximating local objective functions. We theoretically demonstrate that CFL methods have a faster convergence rate than FedAvg in time-evolving scenarios, with the benefit depending on approximation quality. Through experiments, we show that our numerical findings match the convergence analysis and that CFL methods significantly outperform other state-of-the-art FL baselines.

Abstract: The release of toxic gases by industries, emissions from vehicles, and an increase in the concentration of harmful gases and particulate matter in the atmosphere are all contributing factors to the deterioration of the quality of the air. Factors such as industries, urbanization, population growth, and the increased use of vehicles contribute to the rapid increase in pollution levels, which can adversely impact human health. This paper presents a model for forecasting the air quality index in Nigeria using the Bi-directional LSTM model. The air pollution data was downloaded from an online database (UCL). The dataset was pre-processed using both pandas tools in python.

As you can see from this interview of Moonlair360, ultimate Content Creator Bro, ChatGPT is the new Tinder. This crazy dude, to whom I happen to be distantly related, has figured out the percentages to respond to every Tinder match with ChatGPT. I use it for news writing. ChatGPT can't replace investigative journalism, but it's perfect for the regurgitated not-so-happy meals put out as news on platforms that shall remain unnamed. They know who they are. I give my new best friend -- ChatGP T-- a topic on a local subject, and watch it spit out content like the coins from the slot machine that one time you hit it big.

Pre-trained language models have led to a new state-of-the-art in many NLP tasks. However, for topic modeling, statistical generative models such as LDA are still prevalent, which do not easily allow incorporating contextual word vectors. They might yield topics that do not align very well with human judgment. In this work, we propose a novel topic modeling and inference algorithm. We suggest a bag of sentences (BoS) approach using sentences as the unit of analysis. We leverage pre-trained sentence embeddings by combining generative process models with clustering. We derive a fast inference algorithm based on expectation maximization, hard assignments, and an annealing process. Our evaluation shows that our method yields state-of-the art results with relatively little computational demands. Our methods is more flexible compared to prior works leveraging word embeddings, since it provides the possibility to customize topic-document distributions using priors. Code is at \url{https://github.com/JohnTailor/BertSenClu}.

The use of AI/ML capabilities for improving HCI/UX work and delivering better UX in solutions is becoming a trend (Abbas et al., 2022; Wu et al., 2019; Nikiforova et al., 2021) and creates many new opportunities for HCI/UX professionals (Holmquist, 2017; Yang et al., 2020). Some even speculate "AI/ML is the new UX" (Yang et al., 2018). Researchers proposed that AI can perform as an assistant, collaborator, researcher, or facilitator (Bertão & Joo, 2021; Main & Grierson, 2020). AI technology will change the role of designers in the design process and generate an opportunity for creative collaboration between AI and designers (McCormack et al., 2020). Also, companies are moving fast to adopt AI for improving customer experience (CX).