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Artificial intelligence locates "invisible" water in Mali and Chad

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Using algorithms and artificial intelligence, a research team led by Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM) has designed a tool which, in its initial trials, proved capable of predicting those areas with best access to potable groundwater in Africa, with a success rate of close to 90%. In specific terms, the papers published in Hydrology and Earth System Science and Geocarto International describe the hydrogeological mapping performed by the MLMapper software in the regions of Bamako and Koulikoro (Mali) and the region of Ouaddaï (Chad), respectively. "Ensure access to water and sanitation for all" is Sustainable Development Goal 6. In sub-Saharan Africa, groundwater plays a fundamental role in the supply of drinking water, but the percentage of wells that strike water is very often lower than 30%. "This is mainly because of a lack of hydrogeological knowledge, with the practical consequence that millions of euros of humanitarian aid are lost in fruitless drilling operations", underlines Víctor Gómez-Escalonilla Canales, a researcher at UCM's Department of Geodynamics, Stratigraphy and Palaeontology.

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Preprocessing approaches in machine-learning-based groundwater potential mapping: an application to the Koulikoro and Bamako regions, Mali

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Abstract. Groundwater is crucial for domestic supplies in the Sahel, where the strategic importance of aquifers will increase in the coming years due to climate change. Groundwater potential mapping is a valuable tool to underpin water management in the region and, hence, to improve drinking water access. This paper presents a machine learning method to map groundwater potential. This is illustrated through its application in two administrative regions of Mali. A set of explanatory variables for the presence of groundwater is developed first. Scaling methods (standardization, normalization, maximum absolute value and max–min scaling) are used to avoid the pitfalls associated with reclassification. Noisy, collinear and counterproductive variables are identified and excluded from the input dataset. A total of 20 machine learning classifiers are then trained and tested on a large borehole database (n=3345) in order to find meaningful correlations between the presence or absence of groundwater and the explanatory variables. Maximum absolute value and standardization proved the most efficient scaling techniques, while tree-based algorithms (accuracy >0.85) consistently outperformed other classifiers. The borehole flow rate data were then used to calibrate the results beyond standard machine learning metrics, thereby adding robustness to the predictions. The southern part of the study area presents the better groundwater prospect, which is consistent with the geological and climatic setting. Outcomes lead to three major conclusions: (1) picking the best performers out of a large number of machine learning classifiers is recommended as a good methodological practice, (2) standard machine learning metrics should be complemented with additional hydrogeological indicators whenever possible and (3) variable scaling contributes to minimize expert bias.