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 water demand


A Novel Deep Neural Network Architecture for Real-Time Water Demand Forecasting

Salloom, Tony, Kaynak, Okyay, He, Wei

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Short-term water demand forecasting (StWDF) is the foundation stone in the derivation of an optimal plan for controlling water supply systems. Deep learning (DL) approaches provide the most accurate solutions for this purpose. However, they suffer from complexity problem due to the massive number of parameters, in addition to the high forecasting error at the extreme points. In this work, an effective method to alleviate the error at these points is proposed. It is based on extending the data by inserting virtual data within the actual data to relieve the nonlinearity around them. To our knowledge, this is the first work that considers the problem related to the extreme points. Moreover, the water demand forecasting model proposed in this work is a novel DL model with relatively low complexity. The basic model uses the gated recurrent unit (GRU) to handle the sequential relationship in the historical demand data, while an unsupervised classification method, k -means, is introduced for the creation of new features to enhance the prediction accuracy with less number of parameters. Real data obtained from two different water plants in China are used to train and verify the model proposed. The prediction results and the comparison with the state-of-the-art illustrate that the method proposed reduces the complexity of the model six times of what achieved in the literature while conserving the same accuracy. Furthermore, it is found that extending the data set significantly reduces the error by about 30%. However, it increases the training time. Introduction Water scarcity has become a threat to humankind in recent decades. Many efforts in all possible directions are being made to compensate for this growing problem (Northey et al., 2016; González-Zeas et al., 2019). The major reliable strategies for that include water treatment (Zinatloo-Ajabshir et al., 2020a), water desalination, and optimization of water management systems. Nanotechnology is the most powerful technology employed for water treatment, where researchers have done impressive work (Zinatloo-Ajabshir et al., 2020b, 2017; Moshtaghi et al., 2016). On the other hand, StWDF is the foundation stone of the optimization of water management systems.


Decomposition of Water Demand Patterns Using Skewed Gaussian Distributions for Behavioral Insights and Operational Planning

Elkayam, Roy

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study presents a novel approach for decomposing urban water demand patterns using Skewed Gaussian Distributions (SGD) to derive behavioral insights and support operational planning. Hourly demand profiles contain critical information for both long-term infrastructure design and daily operations, influencing network pressures, water quality, energy consumption, and overall reliability. By breaking down each daily demand curve into a baseline component and distinct peak components, the proposed SGD method characterizes each peak with interpretable parameters, including peak amplitude, timing (mean), spread (duration), and skewness (asymmetry), thereby reconstructing the observed pattern and uncovering latent usage dynamics. This detailed peak-level decomposition enables both operational applications, e.g. anomaly and leakage detection, real-time demand management, and strategic analyses, e.g. identifying behavioral shifts, seasonal influences, or policy impacts on consumption patterns. Unlike traditional symmetric Gaussian or purely statistical time-series models, SGDs explicitly capture asymmetric peak shapes such as sharp morning surges followed by gradual declines, improving the fidelity of synthetic pattern generation and enhancing the detection of irregular consumption behavior. The method is demonstrated on several real-world datasets, showing that SGD outperforms symmetric Gaussian models in reconstruction accuracy, reducing root-mean-square error by over 50% on average, while maintaining physical interpretability. The SGD framework can also be used to construct synthetic demand scenarios by designing daily peak profiles with chosen characteristics. All implementation code is publicly available at: https://github.com/Relkayam/water-demand-decomposition-sgd


Integrated Water Resource Management in the Segura Hydrographic Basin: An Artificial Intelligence Approach

Otamendi, Urtzi, Maiza, Mikel, Olaizola, Igor G., Sierra, Basilio, Flores, Markel, Quartulli, Marco

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Managing resources effectively in uncertain demand, variable availability, and complex governance policies is a significant challenge. This paper presents a paradigmatic framework for addressing these issues in water management scenarios by integrating advanced physical modelling, remote sensing techniques, and Artificial Intelligence algorithms. The proposed approach accurately predicts water availability, estimates demand, and optimizes resource allocation on both short- and long-term basis, combining a comprehensive hydrological model, agronomic crop models for precise demand estimation, and Mixed-Integer Linear Programming for efficient resource distribution. In the study case of the Segura Hydrographic Basin, the approach successfully allocated approximately 642 million cubic meters ($hm^3$) of water over six months, minimizing the deficit to 9.7% of the total estimated demand. The methodology demonstrated significant environmental benefits, reducing CO2 emissions while optimizing resource distribution. This robust solution supports informed decision-making processes, ensuring sustainable water management across diverse contexts. The generalizability of this approach allows its adaptation to other basins, contributing to improved governance and policy implementation on a broader scale. Ultimately, the methodology has been validated and integrated into the operational water management practices in the Segura Hydrographic Basin in Spain.


The Pump Scheduling Problem: A Real-World Scenario for Reinforcement Learning

Donâncio, Henrique, Vercouter, Laurent, Roclawski, Harald

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) has achieved remarkable success in scenarios such as games and has emerged as a potential solution for control tasks. That is due to its ability to leverage scalability and handle complex dynamics. However, few works have targeted environments grounded in real-world settings. Indeed, real-world scenarios can be challenging, especially when faced with the high dimensionality of the state space and unknown reward function. We release a testbed consisting of an environment simulator and demonstrations of human operation concerning pump scheduling of a real-world water distribution facility to facilitate research. The pump scheduling problem can be viewed as a decision process to decide when to operate pumps to supply water while limiting electricity consumption and meeting system constraints. To provide a starting point, we release a well-documented codebase, present an overview of some challenges that can be addressed and provide a baseline representation of the problem.


How AI Is Transforming The Water Sector

#artificialintelligence

Human settlement has always been dependent on a stable supply of clean water nearby. With the increase in global population and a decline in the quality of our freshwater resources, we are constantly looking for technologies that will ensure a reliable supply of clean water. The Union Budget 2021-22 announced Jal Jeevan Mission (Urban) to bring safe water to 2.86 Cr households through tap connection. This in line with the Centre's rural water supply project launched in 2019. Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced an outlay of INR 50,011 Cr for this scheme.


Data Pre-Processing and Evaluating the Performance of Several Data Mining Methods for Predicting Irrigation Water Requirement

Khan, Mahmood A., Islam, Md Zahidul, Hafeez, Mohsin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent drought and population growth are planting unprecedented demand for the use of available limited water resources. Irrigated agriculture is one of the major consumers of freshwater. A large amount of water in irrigated agriculture is wasted due to poor water management practices. To improve water management in irrigated areas, models for estimation of future water requirements are needed. Developing a model for forecasting irrigation water demand can improve water management practices and maximise water productivity. Data mining can be used effectively to build such models. In this study, we prepare a dataset containing information on suitable attributes for forecasting irrigation water demand. The data is obtained from three different sources namely meteorological data, remote sensing images and water delivery statements. In order to make the prepared dataset useful for demand forecasting and pattern extraction, we pre-process the dataset using a novel approach based on a combination of irrigation and data mining knowledge. We then apply and compare the effectiveness of different data mining methods namely decision tree (DT), artificial neural networks (ANNs), systematically developed forest (SysFor) for multiple trees, support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression, and the traditional Evapotranspiration (ETc) methods and evaluate the performance of these models to predict irrigation water demand. Our experimental results indicate the usefulness of data pre-processing and the effectiveness of different classifiers. Among the six methods we used, SysFor produces the best prediction with 97.5% accuracy followed by a decision tree with 96% and ANN with 95% respectively by closely matching the predictions with actual water usage. Therefore, we recommend using SysFor and DT models for irrigation water demand forecasting.


AI for Social Good: 7 Inspiring Examples - Springboard Blog

#artificialintelligence

Over the past decade, rapid advancements have made it possible for AI systems to do things we once only dreamed about. However, much of the hype around AI and machine learning tends to focus on its potential for business, productivity, and profits. Perhaps there should be more spotlight on how we can use AI for good. AI has the power to tackle many of the biggest problems on the planet and could make a huge impact on sustainability, our environment, and even humanity itself. As you'll see from the real-life examples in this post, robots, and humans are already showing they can be an incredible team.


A Water Demand Prediction Model for Central Indiana

Shah, Setu ( Indiana University Purdue University - Indianapolis ) | Hosseini, Mahmood ( Indiana University Purdue University - Indianapolis ) | Miled, Zina Ben (Indiana University Purdue University - Indianapolis) | Shafer, Rebecca ( Citizens Energy Group ) | Berube, Steve ( Citizens Energy Group )

AAAI Conferences

Due to the limited natural water resources and the increase in population, managing water consumption is becoming an increasingly important subject worldwide. In this paper, we present and compare different machine learning models that are able to predict water demand for Central Indiana. The models are developed for two different time scales: daily and monthly. The input features for the proposed model include weather conditions (temperature, rainfall, snow), social features (holiday, median income), date (day of the year, month), and operational features (number of customers, previous water demand levels). The importance of these input features as accurate predictors is investigated. The results show that daily and monthly models based on recurrent neural networks produced the best results with an average error in prediction of 1.69% and 2.29%, respectively for 2016. These models achieve a high accuracy with a limited set of input features.