Offline policy learning has received growing attention in causal inference. The primary objective is to learn a policy (individualized treatment rule) as a mapping from covariates to treatment that maximizes the empirical welfare defined as the mean of scalar-valued potential outcomes. In this paper, we study offline policy learning with distribution-valued outcomes, where each potential outcome is a probability measure on $\mathbb{R}$ and the reward is defined through a utility functional applied to the Wasserstein barycenter of induced outcome distributions. We establish statistical guarantees for the policy learning framework based on both Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) and Doubly Robust (DR) estimators. By handling the challenging uniform deviation over the product of the combinatorial policy class and the infinite-dimensional quantile domain, we prove that the finite-sample regret has leading dependence $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{\mathrm{N\text{-}dim}(Π)/N})$. In the one-dimensional Wasserstein setting and under the stated regularity conditions, the leading regret rate is still governed by the policy-class complexity. Moreover, we provide a minimax lower bound establishing the sharpness of the leading dependence on $N$ and $\mathrm{N\text{-}dim}(Π)$.

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a major statistical analysis and machine learning tool for dimensional reduction and visualization of high-dimensional datasets [1]. Classical PCA in the Euclidean space is to find the eigenvectors associated with the top eigenvalues of the covariance matrix. Geometrically, PCA can be interpreted as finding the orthogonal directions that maximize the projected data variance to the linear subspace spanned by those directions. Recently, efforts for extending the Euclidean PCA to capture variations for a collection of probability measures have been made [2, 3, 4]. Since the Wasserstein space is an infinite-dimensional curved space, one challenge is to define a proper notion of principal mode of variations in the space of probability measures. In this paper, we take a variational and dynamical perspective of the Euclidean PCA that has robust generalization to the Wasserstein geometry. Specifically, given input data points x1,...,xn in the Euclidean space Rm, performing the standard PCA to find the first principal mode of variation gt = xn +tv passing through the mean xn = n 1 Pn i=1 xi can be reformulated as minimizing the residuals by projecting each data point in the direction v: ˆv1 = argmin

Wasserstein barycenters have become popular due to their ability to represent the average of probability measures in a geometrically meaningful way. In this paper, we present an algorithm to approximate the Wasserstein-2 barycenters of continuous measures via a generative model. Previous approaches rely on regularization (entropic/quadratic) which introduces bias or on input convex neural networks which are not expressive enough for large-scale tasks. In contrast, our algorithm does not introduce bias and allows using arbitrary neural networks. In addition, based on the celebrity faces dataset, we construct Ave, celeba!

In many machine learning applications on signals and biomedical data, especially electroencephalogram (EEG), one major challenge is the variability of the data across subjects, sessions, and hardware devices. In this work, we propose a new method called Convolutional Monge Mapping Normalization (CMMN), which consists in filtering the signals in order to adapt their power spectrum density (PSD) to a Wasserstein barycenter estimated on training data. CMMN relies on novel closed-form solutions for optimal transport mappings and barycenters and provides individual test time adaptation to new data without needing to retrain a prediction model. Numerical experiments on sleep EEG data show that CMMN leads to significant and consistent performance gains independent from the neural network architecture when adapting between subjects, sessions, and even datasets collected with different hardware. Notably our performance gain is on par with much more numerically intensive Domain Adaptation (DA) methods and can be used in conjunction with those for even better performances.

We review recently proposed Bayesian approaches for clustering high-dimensional data. After identifying the main limitations of available approaches, we introduce an alternative framework based on vertical consensus inference (VCI) to mitigate the curse of dimensionality in high-dimensional Bayesian clustering. VCI builds on the idea of consensus Monte Carlo by dividing the data into multiple shards (smaller subsets of variables), performing posterior inference on each shard, and then combining the shard-level posteriors to obtain a consensus posterior. The key distinction is that VCI splits the data vertically, producing vertical shards that retain the same number of observations but have lower dimensionality. We use an entropic regularized Wasserstein barycenter to define a consensus posterior. The shard-specific barycenter weights are constructed to favor shards that provide meaningful partitions, distinct from a trivial single cluster or all singleton clusters, favoring balanced cluster sizes and precise shard-specific posterior random partitions. We show that VCI can be interpreted as a variational approximation to the posterior under a hierarchical model with a generalized Bayes prior. For relatively low-dimensional problems, experiments suggest that VCI closely approximates inference based on clustering the entire multivariate data. For high-dimensional data and in the presence of many noninformative dimensions, VCI introduces a new framework for model-based and principled inference on random partitions. Although our focus here is on random partitions, VCI can be applied to any dimension-independent parameters and serves as a bridge to emerging areas in statistics such as consensus Monte Carlo, optimal transport, variational inference, and generalized Bayes.

Efficiently aggregating data from different sources is a challenging problem, particularly when samples from each source are distributed differently. These differences can be inherent to the inference task or present for other reasons: sensors in a sensor network may be placed far apart, affecting their individual measurements. Conversely, it is computationally advantageous to split Bayesian inference tasks across subsets of data, but data need not be identically distributed across subsets. One principled way to fuse probability distributions is via the lens of optimal transport: the Wasserstein barycenter is a single distribution that summarizes a collection of input measures while respecting their geometry. However, computing the barycenter scales poorly and requires discretization of all input distributions and the barycenter itself.

While OT commonly seeks at computing the transport plan that minimizes the cost of moving between two distributions, it can naturally be extended to the multi-marginal setting (mOT) when considering several distributions.

Sampling and inference algorithms behave poorly as the number of modes increases, andthisproblem isonlyexacerbated inthiscontextsinceincreasing thenumber ofcomponents in the mixture model leads to a super-exponential increase in the number of modes of the posterior.