valley point
Statistical Modeling of Univariate Multimodal Data
Chasani, Paraskevi, Likas, Aristidis
Unimodality constitutes a key property indicating grouping behavior of the data around a single mode of its density. We propose a method that partitions univariate data into unimodal subsets through recursive splitting around valley points of the data density. For valley point detection, we introduce properties of critical points on the convex hull of the empirical cumulative density function (ecdf) plot that provide indications on the existence of density valleys. Next, we apply a unimodal data modeling approach that provides a statistical model for each obtained unimodal subset in the form of a Uniform Mixture Model (UMM). Consequently, a hierarchical statistical model of the initial dataset is obtained in the form of a mixture of UMMs, named as the Unimodal Mixture Model (UDMM). The proposed method is non-parametric, hyperparameter-free, automatically estimates the number of unimodal subsets and provides accurate statistical models as indicated by experimental results on clustering and density estimation tasks.
- North America > United States > Wyoming (0.04)
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- Information Technology > Data Science (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning > Clustering (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Learning Graphical Models > Directed Networks > Bayesian Learning (0.46)
Learning Non-Stationary Time-Series with Dynamic Pattern Extractions
Wang, Xipei, Zhang, Haoyu, Zhang, Yuanbo, Wang, Meng, Song, Jiarui, Lai, Tin, Khushi, Matloob
The era of information explosion had prompted the accumulation of a tremendous amount of time-series data, including stationary and non-stationary time-series data. State-of-the-art algorithms have achieved a decent performance in dealing with stationary temporal data. However, traditional algorithms that tackle stationary time-series do not apply to non-stationary series like Forex trading. This paper investigates applicable models that can improve the accuracy of forecasting future trends of non-stationary time-series sequences. In particular, we focus on identifying potential models and investigate the effects of recognizing patterns from historical data. We propose a combination of \rebuttal{the} seq2seq model based on RNN, along with an attention mechanism and an enriched set features extracted via dynamic time warping and zigzag peak valley indicators. Customized loss functions and evaluating metrics have been designed to focus more on the predicting sequence's peaks and valley points. Our results show that our model can predict 4-hour future trends with high accuracy in the Forex dataset, which is crucial in realistic scenarios to assist foreign exchange trading decision making. We further provide evaluations of the effects of various loss functions, evaluation metrics, model variants, and components on model performance.
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- Information Technology > Data Science > Data Mining (1.00)
- Information Technology > Modeling & Simulation (0.88)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (0.72)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Pattern Recognition (0.69)