unreliable route
A Bayesian latent class reinforcement learning framework to capture adaptive, feedback-driven travel behaviour
Sfeir, Georges, Hess, Stephane, Hancock, Thomas O., Rodrigues, Filipe, Rad, Jamal Amani, Bliemer, Michiel, Beck, Matthew, Khan, Fayyaz
Many travel decisions involve a degree of experience formation, where individuals learn their preferences over time. At the same time, there is extensive scope for heterogeneity across individual travellers, both in their underlying preferences and in how these evolve. The present paper puts forward a Latent Class Reinforcement Learning (LCRL) model that allows analysts to capture both of these phenomena. We apply the model to a driving simulator dataset and estimate the parameters through Variational Bayes. We identify three distinct classes of individuals that differ markedly in how they adapt their preferences: the first displays context-dependent preferences with context-specific exploitative tendencies; the second follows a persistent exploitative strategy regardless of context; and the third engages in an exploratory strategy combined with context-specific preferences.
- Asia > Middle East > Jordan (0.05)
- Oceania > Australia > New South Wales > Sydney (0.04)
- North America > United States > Iowa (0.04)
- (2 more...)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Reinforcement Learning (0.87)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Uncertainty > Bayesian Inference (0.67)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning (0.67)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Learning Graphical Models > Directed Networks > Bayesian Learning (0.67)