We propose a topological framework for the detection of Hopf bifurcations directly from time series, based on persistent homology applied to phase space reconstructions via Takens embedding within the framework of Topological Data Analysis. The central idea is that changes in the dynamical regime are reflected in the emergence or disappearance of a dominant one-dimensional homological features in the reconstructed attractor. To quantify this behavior, we introduce a simple and interpretable scalar topological functional defined as the maximum persistence of homology classes in dimension one. This functional is used to construct a computable criterion for identifying critical parameters in families of dynamical systems without requiring knowledge of the underlying equations. The proposed approach is validated on representative systems of increasing complexity, showing consistent detection of the bifurcation point. The results support the interpretation of dynamical transitions as topological phase transitions and demonstrate the potential of topological data analysis as a model-free tool for the quantitative analysis of nonlinear time series.

However, PDs are point multi-sets which can not be used in machine learning algorithms for vector data.

Neural Information Processing Systems http://nips.cc/

The problem of (point) forecastingunivariate time series is considered.

Persistent homology hasbecome animportant tool forextracting geometric and topological features from data, whose multi-scale features are summarized in a persistencediagram.

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) provides a pipeline to extract quantitative topological descriptors from structured objects. This enables the definition of topological loss functions, which assert to what extent a given object exhibits some topological properties. These losses can then be used to perform topological optimization via gradient descent routines. While theoretically sounded, topological optimization faces an important challenge: gradients tend to be extremely sparse, in the sense that the loss function typically depends on only very few coordinates of the input object, yielding dramatically slow optimization schemes in practice. Focusing on the central case of topological optimization for point clouds, we propose in this work to overcome this limitation using diffeomorphic interpolation, turning sparse gradients into smooth vector fields defined on the whole space, with quantifiable Lipschitz constants. In particular, we show that our approach combines efficiently with subsampling techniques routinely used in TDA, as the diffeomorphism derived from the gradient computed on a subsample can be used to update the coordinates of the full input object, allowing us to perform topological optimization on point clouds at an unprecedented scale. Finally, we also showcase the relevance of our approach for black-box autoencoder (AE) regularization, where we aim at enforcing topological priors on the latent spaces associated to fixed, pre-trained, black-box AE models, and where we show that learning a diffeomorphic flow can be done once and then re-applied to new data in linear time (while vanilla topological optimization has to be re-run from scratch). Moreover, reverting the flow allows us to generate data by sampling the topologically-optimized latent space directly, yielding better interpretability of the model.

We further design an effective mechanism to inject PH information into GP at both feature and topology levels, with a novel topology-preserving loss function.

For a given set of points, define a value called "weight" for each point in (a),