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Concentration and excess risk bounds for imbalanced classification with synthetic oversampling

Neural Information Processing Systems

Synthetic oversampling of minority examples using SMOTE and its variants is a leading strategy for addressing imbalanced classification problems. Despite the success of this approach in practice, its theoretical foundations remain underexplored. We develop a theoretical framework to analyze the behavior of SMOTE and related methods when classifiers are trained on synthetic data. We first derive a uniform concentration bound on the discrepancy between the empirical risk over synthetic minority samples and the population risk on the true minority distribution. We then provide a nonparametric excess risk guarantee for kernel-based classifiers trained using such synthetic data. These results lead to practical guidelines for better parameter tuning of both SMOTE and the downstream learning algorithm. Numerical experiments are provided to illustrate and support the theoretical findings.


A First-Order Mean Field Control Analysis of Transformer Layers under Cross-Entropy Training

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study Transformer-type residual layers under cross-entropy training through a continuous-depth mean field control viewpoint. Depth is treated as time, layer parameters as controls, and the residual Transformer recursion as an explicit Euler scheme for a controlled hidden-state flow. For fixed controls, we prove an $O(\varepsilon)$ pathwise approximation of finite-depth trajectories by the continuous flow and combine this with high-probability sampling bounds for the empirical cross-entropy risk. We formulate the limiting population problem as a first-order transport control problem for the law of hidden states and derive a Pontryagin condition whose terminal adjoint contains the softmax residual. We also give finite-class and metric-entropy uniform estimates, compare optimal values, and discuss existence, stability, continuous-to-discrete recovery, initialization, and range estimates for continuous minimizers.


Epistemic Uncertainty Is Not the Reducible Kind

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The standard taxonomy of predictive uncertainty defines epistemic uncertainty as the part removable by collecting more data, while the standard measure identifies it with a mutual-information term. We prove the definition and the measure are extensionally inconsistent. On an explicit construction, the measure assigns all uncertainty to the epistemic class, yet no quantity of training data reduces it. Reducibility is instead a property of the pair (uncertainty, acquisition class), and the dichotomy resolves into three parts: aleatoric, sample-reducible epistemic, and mechanism-reducible epistemic uncertainty. An exact identity for the value of an observation shows that in-distribution data never reduces mechanism-irreducible uncertainty and generically increases it. Ensemble disagreement, the deployed epistemic estimate, tracks the training procedure rather than the epistemic term. It collapses to zero beneath a positive truth under consistent training, and equals hyperparameter-scaled initialization noise under interpolation. A finite-sample falsification test and seed-swept experiments confirm the theory.


Limitations of Learning Tanh Neural Networks with Finite Precision

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We investigate limitations of learning $\tanh$ neural networks from point evaluations under finite-precision computations and $L^p$ accuracy guarantees, building on Berner, Grohs, and Voigtländer (2023). Our approach is based on a novel construction of sharply localized bump functions via iterated $\tanh$ activations. Using this mechanism, we show that, in a finite-precision setting, no adaptive randomized algorithm based on $m$ samples can achieve a convergence rate higher than the Monte Carlo rate $O(m^{-1/p})$ in the $L^p$ norm, unless the sampling budget grows exponentially with the size of the network parameters and architecture. The results reveal fundamental limitations imposed by finite precision on the learnability of classes containing localized bump functions, extending previous results for ReLU networks to the $\tanh$ setting.


Range Penalization: Theoretical Insights with Applications in Federated Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper introduces range regularization for federated learning with linear systematic components to enhance statistical accuracy and induce cross-client regularity conducive to quantization, coding, and resource efficiency. Our approach identifies features with shared weights across different clients and adaptively clusters the weights of personalized features at extreme values, a process we refer to as polar clustering. Theoretical analysis of the associated estimators poses significant challenges due to the seminorm nature and non-decomposability of the regularizer. We develop new proof techniques for the nonasymptotic analysis of statistical accuracy and faithful pattern recovery. Moreover, a fast optimization algorithm that leverages varying degrees of local strong convexity is proposed to reduce iteration complexity. Experiments support the efficacy and efficiency of the proposed approach.


Relaxed Sparse Eigenvalue Conditions for Sparse Estimation via Non-convex Regularized Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Non-convex regularizers usually improve the performance of sparse estimation in practice. To prove this fact, we study the conditions of sparse estimations for the sharp concave regularizers which are a general family of non-convex regularizers including many existing regularizers. For the global solutions of the regularized regression, our sparse eigenvalue based conditions are weaker than that of L1-regularization for parameter estimation and sparseness estimation. For the approximate global and approximate stationary (AGAS) solutions, almost the same conditions are also enough. We show that the desired AGAS solutions can be obtained by coordinate descent (CD) based methods. Finally, we perform some experiments to show the performance of CD methods on giving AGAS solutions and the degree of weakness of the estimation conditions required by the sharp concave regularizers. Keywords: Sparse estimation, non-convex regularization, sparse eigenvalue, coordinate descent 1. Introduction High-dimensional estimation concerns the parameter estimation problems in which the dimensions of parameters are comparable to or larger than the sampling size.


When Do Fewer Coordinates Suffice in DP-SGD?

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Differentially private stochastic gradient descent (DP-SGD) injects noise into every updated coordinate, making the injected noise energy scale with the ambient parameter dimension \(d\). We ask when private training can update fewer coordinates without losing the signal needed for optimization. We propose \textsc{TP-TopK} (Two-Phase TopK DP-SGD), a two-phase method for coordinate-sparse private training without public data, in which a private warm-up phase identifies a coordinate support used to guide the main training phase. We give a criterion characterizing when coordinate restriction can be beneficial, show via a nonconvex stationarity bound that under this condition the relevant noise term scales with the active dimension \(k\) rather than the full parameter dimension \(d\), and provide a lower bound on the reliability of warm-up-based coordinate ranking. Experiments on MNIST, FMNIST, and CIFAR-10 show that learned coordinate supports can retain more gradient energy than size-matched random supports, with the largest gains when the active dimension is small and warm-up scores are informative.


Reward Transfer from Inverse Reinforcement Learning: A Coupled Minimax Approach

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Expert demonstrations, such as those from car drivers, help navigate environments with unknown rewards, but are often collected in controlled settings, such as closed-course test tracks, while learned control policies must be deployed in new environments, such as city streets. We can imitate experts to perform well in the same source environment where demonstrations are observed, and we may even use inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) to improve on simple behavior cloning (Ng and Russell, 2000; Abbeel and Ng, 2004; Ziebart et al., 2008; Fu et al., 2018; Geng et al., 2020). But the target environment may have a different transition law, discount factor, or soft-control regularization. For this, IRL is crucial: we can learn a reward from demonstrations in the source environment and transfer it to the target environment, learning a policy that optimizes the same reward function in a new setting (Fu et al., 2018; Schlaginhaufen and Kamgarpour, 2024). In this paper, we characterize how well this transfer can be done and which approaches are preferable. In particular, we show the value in a coupled approach that takes the target environment into account even when learning from the source. In ordinary offline control, the Bellman equation uses a known reward, so the main statistical error comes from target transitions.


Online Learning-to-Defer with Varying Experts

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Learning-to-Defer (L2D) methods route each query either to a predictive model or to external experts. While existing work studies this problem in batch settings, real-world deployments require handling streaming data, changing expert availability, and shifting expert distribution. We introduce the first online L2D algorithm for multiclass classification with bandit feedback and a dynamically varying pool of experts. Our method achieves regret guarantees of $O((n+n_e)T^{2/3})$ in general and $O((n+n_e)\sqrt{T})$ under a low-noise condition, where $T$ is the time horizon, $n$ is the number of labels, and $n_e$ is the number of distinct experts observed across rounds. The analysis builds on novel $\mathcal{H}$-consistency bounds for the online framework, combined with first-order methods for online convex optimization. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our approach effectively extends standard Learning-to-Defer to settings with varying expert availability and reliability.


A Theory of Saddle Escape in Deep Nonlinear Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In deep networks with small initialization, training exhibits long plateaus separated by sharp feature-acquisition transitions. Whereas shallow nonlinear networks and deep linear networks are well studied, extending these analyses to deep nonlinear networks remains challenging. We derive an exact identity for the imbalance of Frobenius norms of layer weight matrices that holds for any smooth activation and any differentiable loss and use this to classify activation functions into four universality classes. On the permutation-symmetric submanifold, the identity combines with an approximate balance law to reduce the full matrix flow to a scalar ODE, giving a critical-depth escape time law $τ_\star = Θ(\varepsilon^{-(r-2)})$ governed by the number $r$ of layers at the bottleneck scale rather than the total depth $L$. We find that this same $r-2$ exponent is recovered under He-normal initialization with $r$ bottleneck layers rescaled by $\varepsilon$, where the symmetry manifold is preserved by the flow but not attracting. We find close agreement between our theory and numerical simulations.