surrogate representation
A Contrast Based Feature Selection Algorithm for High-dimensional Data set in Machine Learning
Feature selection is an important process in machine learning and knowledge discovery. By selecting the most informative features and eliminating irrelevant ones, the performance of learning algorithms can be improved and the extraction of meaningful patterns and insights from data can be facilitated. However, most existing feature selection methods, when applied to large datasets, encountered the bottleneck of high computation costs. To address this problem, we propose a novel filter feature selection method, ContrastFS, which selects discriminative features based on the discrepancies features shown between different classes. We introduce a dimensionless quantity as a surrogate representation to summarize the distributional individuality of certain classes, based on this quantity we evaluate features and study the correlation among them. We validate effectiveness and efficiency of our approach on several widely studied benchmark datasets, results show that the new method performs favorably with negligible computation in comparison with other state-of-the-art feature selection methods.
Long-term Causal Effects Estimation via Latent Surrogates Representation Learning
Cai, Ruichu, Chen, Weilin, Yang, Zeqin, Wan, Shu, Zheng, Chen, Yang, Xiaoqing, Guo, Jiecheng
Estimating long-term causal effects based on short-term surrogates is a significant but challenging problem in many real-world applications, e.g., marketing and medicine. Despite its success in certain domains, most existing methods estimate causal effects in an idealistic and simplistic way - ignoring the causal structure among short-term outcomes and treating all of them as surrogates. However, such methods cannot be well applied to real-world scenarios, in which the partially observed surrogates are mixed with their proxies among short-term outcomes. To this end, we develop our flexible method, Laser, to estimate long-term causal effects in the more realistic situation that the surrogates are observed or have observed proxies.Given the indistinguishability between the surrogates and proxies, we utilize identifiable variational auto-encoder (iVAE) to recover the whole valid surrogates on all the surrogates candidates without the need of distinguishing the observed surrogates or the proxies of latent surrogates. With the help of the recovered surrogates, we further devise an unbiased estimation of long-term causal effects. Extensive experimental results on the real-world and semi-synthetic datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method.
Long-Term Effect Estimation with Surrogate Representation
Cheng, Lu, Guo, Ruocheng, Liu, Huan
There are many scenarios where short- and long-term causal effects of an intervention are different. For example, low-quality ads may increase short-term ad clicks but decrease the long-term revenue via reduced clicks; search engines measured by inappropriate performance metrics may increase search query shares in a short-term but not long-term. This work therefore studies the long-term effect where the outcome of primary interest, or primary outcome, takes months or even years to accumulate. The observational study of long-term effect presents unique challenges. First, the confounding bias causes large estimation error and variance, which can further accumulate towards the prediction of primary outcomes. Second, short-term outcomes are often directly used as the proxy of the primary outcome, i.e., the surrogate. Notwithstanding its simplicity, this method entails the strong surrogacy assumption that is often impractical. To tackle these challenges, we propose to build connections between long-term causal inference and sequential models in machine learning. This enables us to learn surrogate representations that account for the temporal unconfoundedness and circumvent the stringent surrogacy assumption by conditioning on time-varying confounders in the latent space. Experimental results show that the proposed framework outperforms the state-of-the-art.