subjective opinion
Voxeland: Probabilistic Instance-Aware Semantic Mapping with Evidence-based Uncertainty Quantification
Matez-Bandera, Jose-Luis, Ojeda, Pepe, Monroy, Javier, Gonzalez-Jimenez, Javier, Ruiz-Sarmiento, Jose-Raul
Robots in human-centered environments require accurate scene understanding to perform high-level tasks effectively. This understanding can be achieved through instance-aware semantic mapping, which involves reconstructing elements at the level of individual instances. Neural networks, the de facto solution for scene understanding, still face limitations such as overconfident incorrect predictions with out-of-distribution objects or generating inaccurate masks.Placing excessive reliance on these predictions makes the reconstruction susceptible to errors, reducing the robustness of the resulting maps and hampering robot operation. In this work, we propose Voxeland, a probabilistic framework for incrementally building instance-aware semantic maps. Inspired by the Theory of Evidence, Voxeland treats neural network predictions as subjective opinions regarding map instances at both geometric and semantic levels. These opinions are aggregated over time to form evidences, which are formalized through a probabilistic model. This enables us to quantify uncertainty in the reconstruction process, facilitating the identification of map areas requiring improvement (e.g. reobservation or reclassification). As one strategy to exploit this, we incorporate a Large Vision-Language Model (LVLM) to perform semantic level disambiguation for instances with high uncertainty. Results from the standard benchmarking on the publicly available SceneNN dataset demonstrate that Voxeland outperforms state-of-the-art methods, highlighting the benefits of incorporating and leveraging both instance- and semantic-level uncertainties to enhance reconstruction robustness. This is further validated through qualitative experiments conducted on the real-world ScanNet dataset.
Opinion-Guided Reinforcement Learning
Dagenais, Kyanna, David, Istvan
Human guidance is often desired in reinforcement learning to improve the performance of the learning agent. However, human insights are often mere opinions and educated guesses rather than well-formulated arguments. While opinions are subject to uncertainty, e.g., due to partial informedness or ignorance about a problem, they also emerge earlier than hard evidence could be produced. Thus, guiding reinforcement learning agents through opinions offers the potential for more performant learning processes, but comes with the challenge of modeling and managing opinions in a formal way. In this article, we present a method to guide reinforcement learning agents through opinions. To this end, we provide an end-to-end method to model and manage advisors' opinions. To assess the utility of the approach, we evaluate it with synthetic and human advisors, at different levels of uncertainty, and under multiple advise strategies. Our results indicate that opinions, even if uncertain, improve the performance of reinforcement learning agents, resulting in higher rewards, more efficient exploration, and a better reinforced policy. Although we demonstrate our approach in a simplified topological running example, our approach is applicable to complex problems with higher dimensions as well.
Multidimensional Uncertainty Quantification for Deep Neural Networks
Deep neural networks (DNNs) have received tremendous attention and achieved great success in various applications, such as image and video analysis, natural language processing, recommendation systems, and drug discovery. However, inherent uncertainties derived from different root causes have been realized as serious hurdles for DNNs to find robust and trustworthy solutions for real-world problems. A lack of consideration of such uncertainties may lead to unnecessary risk. For example, a self-driving autonomous car can misdetect a human on the road. A deep learning-based medical assistant may misdiagnose cancer as a benign tumor. In this work, we study how to measure different uncertainty causes for DNNs and use them to solve diverse decision-making problems more effectively. In the first part of this thesis, we develop a general learning framework to quantify multiple types of uncertainties caused by different root causes, such as vacuity (i.e., uncertainty due to a lack of evidence) and dissonance (i.e., uncertainty due to conflicting evidence), for graph neural networks. We provide a theoretical analysis of the relationships between different uncertainty types. We further demonstrate that dissonance is most effective for misclassification detection and vacuity is most effective for Out-of-Distribution (OOD) detection. In the second part of the thesis, we study the significant impact of OOD objects on semi-supervised learning (SSL) for DNNs and develop a novel framework to improve the robustness of existing SSL algorithms against OODs. In the last part of the thesis, we create a general learning framework to quantity multiple uncertainty types for multi-label temporal neural networks. We further develop novel uncertainty fusion operators to quantify the fused uncertainty of a subsequence for early event detection.
How automation can streamline and reduce bias in the funding process
Over time, the route to external financing has become a standardized, inefficient process. Founders will go to venture capitalists or wealthy'angels', map out their vision and ask for funding in return for a stake in the business. Investors will do their own research and deals will always hinge on subjectivity. Entrepreneurs must persuade investors that their company mission warrants backing and that they, as individuals, are capable of making it a reality. Despite the advanced technologies and sectors that investors bankroll, these existing methods are outdated and not fit for purpose.
Multidimensional Uncertainty-Aware Evidential Neural Networks
Hu, Yibo, Ou, Yuzhe, Zhao, Xujiang, Cho, Jin-Hee, Chen, Feng
Traditional deep neural networks (NNs) have significantly contributed to the state-of-the-art performance in the task of classification under various application domains. However, NNs have not considered inherent uncertainty in data associated with the class probabilities where misclassification under uncertainty may easily introduce high risk in decision making in real-world contexts (e.g., misclassification of objects in roads leads to serious accidents). Unlike Bayesian NN that indirectly infer uncertainty through weight uncertainties, evidential NNs (ENNs) have been recently proposed to explicitly model the uncertainty of class probabilities and use them for classification tasks. An ENN offers the formulation of the predictions of NNs as subjective opinions and learns the function by collecting an amount of evidence that can form the subjective opinions by a deterministic NN from data. However, the ENN is trained as a black box without explicitly considering inherent uncertainty in data with their different root causes, such as vacuity (i.e., uncertainty due to a lack of evidence) or dissonance (i.e., uncertainty due to conflicting evidence). By considering the multidimensional uncertainty, we proposed a novel uncertainty-aware evidential NN called WGAN-ENN (WENN) for solving an out-of-distribution (OOD) detection problem. We took a hybrid approach that combines Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network (WGAN) with ENNs to jointly train a model with prior knowledge of a certain class, which has high vacuity for OOD samples. Via extensive empirical experiments based on both synthetic and real-world datasets, we demonstrated that the estimation of uncertainty by WENN can significantly help distinguish OOD samples from boundary samples. WENN outperformed in OOD detection when compared with other competitive counterparts.
Unfairness towards subjective opinions in Machine Learning
Balayn, Agathe, Bozzon, Alessandro, Szlavik, Zoltan
Despite the high interest for Machine Learning (ML) in academia and industry, many issues related to the application of ML to real-life problems are yet to be addressed. Here we put forward one limitation which arises from a lack of adaptation of ML models and datasets to specific applications. We formalise a new notion of unfairness as exclusion of opinions. We propose ways to quantify this unfairness, and aid understanding its causes through visualisation. These insights into the functioning of ML-based systems hint at methods to mitigate unfairness.
Quantifying Classification Uncertainty using Regularized Evidential Neural Networks
Zhao, Xujiang, Ou, Yuzhe, Kaplan, Lance, Chen, Feng, Cho, Jin-Hee
Traditional deep neural nets (NNs) have shown the state-of-the-art performance in the task of classification in various applications. However, NNs have not considered any types of uncertainty associated with the class probabilities to minimize risk due to misclassification under uncertainty in real life. Unlike Bayesian neural nets indirectly infering uncertainty through weight uncertainties, evidential neural networks (ENNs) have been recently proposed to support explicit modeling of the uncertainty of class probabilities. It treats predictions of an NN as subjective opinions and learns the function by collecting the evidence leading to these opinions by a deterministic NN from data. However, an ENN is trained as a black box without explicitly considering different types of inherent data uncertainty, such as vacuity (uncertainty due to a lack of evidence) or dissonance (uncertainty due to conflicting evidence). This paper presents a new approach, called a {\em regularized ENN}, that learns an ENN based on regularizations related to different characteristics of inherent data uncertainty. Via the experiments with both synthetic and real-world datasets, we demonstrate that the proposed regularized ENN can better learn of an ENN modeling different types of uncertainty in the class probabilities for classification tasks.
Uncertainty Aware AI ML: Why and How
Kaplan, Lance, Cerutti, Federico, Sensoy, Murat, Preece, Alun, Sullivan, Paul
This paper argues the need for research to realize uncertainty-aware artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI\&ML) systems for decision support by describing a number of motivating scenarios. Furthermore, the paper defines uncertainty-awareness and lays out the challenges along with surveying some promising research directions. A theoretical demonstration illustrates how two emerging uncertainty-aware ML and AI technologies could be integrated and be of value for a route planning operation.