storage vessel
On the contribution of pre-trained models to accuracy and utility in modeling distributed energy resources
Kazmi, Hussain, Pinson, Pierre
Despite their growing popularity, data-driven models of real-world dynamical systems require lots of data. However, due to sensing limitations as well as privacy concerns, this data is not always available, especially in domains such as energy. Pre-trained models using data gathered in similar contexts have shown enormous potential in addressing these concerns: they can improve predictive accuracy at a much lower observational data expense. Theoretically, due to the risk posed by negative transfer, this improvement is however neither uniform for all agents nor is it guaranteed. In this paper, using data from several distributed energy resources, we investigate and report preliminary findings on several key questions in this regard. First, we evaluate the improvement in predictive accuracy due to pre-trained models, both with and without fine-tuning. Subsequently, we consider the question of fairness: do pre-trained models create equal improvements for heterogeneous agents, and how does this translate to downstream utility? Answering these questions can help enable improvements in the creation, fine-tuning, and adoption of such pre-trained models.
Valuing knowledge, information and agency in Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning: a case study in smart buildings
Kazmi, Hussain, Suykens, Johan, Driesen, Johan
Increasing energy efficiency in buildings can reduce costs and emissions substantially. Historically, this has been treated as a local, or single-agent, optimization problem. However, many buildings utilize the same types of thermal equipment e.g. electric heaters and hot water vessels. During operation, occupants in these buildings interact with the equipment differently thereby driving them to diverse regions in the state-space. Reinforcement learning agents can learn from these interactions, recorded as sensor data, to optimize the overall energy efficiency. However, if these agents operate individually at a household level, they can not exploit the replicated structure in the problem. In this paper, we demonstrate that this problem can indeed benefit from multi-agent collaboration by making use of targeted exploration of the state-space allowing for better generalization. We also investigate trade-offs between integrating human knowledge and additional sensors. Results show that savings of over 40% are possible with collaborative multi-agent systems making use of either expert knowledge or additional sensors with no loss of occupant comfort. We find that such multi-agent systems comfortably outperform comparable single agent systems.
Deep Reinforcement Learning based Optimal Control of Hot Water Systems
Kazmi, Hussain, Mehmood, Fahad, Lodeweyckx, Stefan, Driesen, Johan
Energy consumption for hot water production is a major draw in high efficiency buildings. Optimizing this has typically been approached from a thermodynamics perspective, decoupled from occupant influence. Furthermore, optimization usually presupposes existence of a detailed dynamics model for the hot water system. These assumptions lead to suboptimal energy efficiency in the real world. In this paper, we present a novel reinforcement learning based methodology which optimizes hot water production. The proposed methodology is completely generalizable, and does not require an offline step or human domain knowledge to build a model for the hot water vessel or the heating element. Occupant preferences too are learnt on the fly. The proposed system is applied to a set of 32 houses in the Netherlands where it reduces energy consumption for hot water production by roughly 20% with no loss of occupant comfort. Extrapolating, this translates to absolute savings of roughly 200 kWh for a single household on an annual basis. This performance can be replicated to any domestic hot water system and optimization objective, given that the fairly minimal requirements on sensor data are met. With millions of hot water systems operational worldwide, the proposed framework has the potential to reduce energy consumption in existing and new systems on a multi Gigawatt-hour scale in the years to come.