stopping time
Sequential Structure-Sensitive Residual Diagnostics for PDE Inverse Problems
Computational models in science and engineering are often assessed by checking whether the residual norm is consistent with the assumed noise level. This can be misleading in smoothing inverse problems: structured model errors may be attenuated in observation space, leaving residual magnitudes below practitioner discrepancy thresholds while coherent residual patterns remain. As a result, residual-norm diagnostics can accept fitted models that still give biased parameters, predictions, or quantities of interest. We propose a structure-sensitive sequential diagnostic based on e-processes. The method uses a portfolio of spatial residual-pattern experts, updates their likelihood-ratio wealth as observations are processed, and rejects the fitted model when the aggregate wealth crosses a prescribed threshold, giving anytime-valid type-I error control for a fixed fitted model. We compare the method with Morozov discrepancy checks, fixed-sample residual tests, and batch projection tests. Across three inverse problems (elliptic diffusion, two-dimensional Stokes flow, and a glaciological ice-stream inversion implemented in the community finite-element model icepack) we demonstrate how standard discrepancy checks accept misspecified fits that produce materially wrong quantities of interest. Structure-sensitive batch tests detect these failures using the full dataset, while the e-process detects them earlier from a fraction of the observations. After rejection, the expert wealth attributes the evidence to residual patterns in the chosen dictionary and provides a basis for exploratory model correction.
Accelerating Optimization via Differentiable Stopping Time
A common approach for accelerating optimization algorithms is to minimize the loss achieved in a fixed time, which enables a differentiable framework with respect to the algorithm's hyperparameters. In contrast, the complementary objective of minimizing the time to reach a target loss is traditionally considered non-differentiable. To address this limitation, we propose a differentiable discrete stopping time and theoretically justify it based on its connection to continuous differential equations. We design an efficient algorithm to compute its sensitivities, thereby enabling a new differentiable formulation for directly accelerating algorithms. We demonstrate its effectiveness in applications such as online hyperparameter tuning and learning to optimize. Our proposed methods show superior performance in comprehensive experiments across various problems, which confirms their effectiveness.
Accelerating Optimization via Differentiable Stopping Time
Xie, Zhonglin, Fong, Yiman, Yuan, Haoran, Wen, Zaiwen
Optimization is an important module of modern machine learning applications. Tremendous efforts have been made to accelerate optimization algorithms. A common formulation is achieving a lower loss at a given time. This enables a differentiable framework with respect to the algorithm hyperparameters. In contrast, its dual, minimizing the time to reach a target loss, is believed to be non-differentiable, as the time is not differentiable. As a result, it usually serves as a conceptual framework or is optimized using zeroth-order methods. To address this limitation, we propose a differentiable stopping time and theoretically justify it based on differential equations. An efficient algorithm is designed to backpropagate through it. As a result, the proposed differentiable stopping time enables a new differentiable formulation for accelerating algorithms. We further discuss its applications, such as online hyperparameter tuning and learning to optimize. Our proposed methods show superior performance in comprehensive experiments across various problems, which confirms their effectiveness.
Identifying the Best Transition Law
Ahmadipour, Mehrasa, Crepon, รฉlise, Garivier, Aurรฉlien
Motivated by recursive learning in Markov Decision Processes, this paper studies best-arm identification in bandit problems where each arm's reward is drawn from a multinomial distribution with a known support. We compare the performance { reached by strategies including notably LUCB without and with use of this knowledge. } In the first case, we use classical non-parametric approaches for the confidence intervals. In the second case, where a probability distribution is to be estimated, we first use classical deviation bounds (Hoeffding and Bernstein) on each dimension independently, and then the Empirical Likelihood method (EL-LUCB) on the joint probability vector. The effectiveness of these methods is demonstrated through simulations on scenarios with varying levels of structural complexity.
Deep Learning Algorithms for Mean Field Optimal Stopping in Finite Space and Discrete Time
Magnino, Lorenzo, Zhu, Yuchen, Lauriรจre, Mathieu
Optimal stopping is a fundamental problem in optimization that has found applications in risk management, finance, economics, and recently in the fields of computer science. We extend the standard framework to a multi-agent setting, named multi-agent optimal stopping (MAOS), where a group of agents cooperatively solves finite-space, discrete-time optimal stopping problems. Solving the finite-agent case is computationally prohibitive when the number of agents is very large, so this work studies the mean field optimal stopping (MFOS) problem, obtained as the number of agents approaches infinity. We prove that MFOS provides a good approximate solution to MAOS. We also prove a dynamic programming principle (DPP), based on the theory of mean field control. We then propose two deep learning methods: one simulates full trajectories to learn optimal decisions, whereas the other leverages DPP with backward induction; both methods train neural networks for the optimal stopping decisions. We demonstrate the effectiveness of these approaches through numerical experiments on 6 different problems in spatial dimension up to 300. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to study MFOS in finite space and discrete time, and to propose efficient and scalable computational methods for this type of problem.
Fast and Regret Optimal Best Arm Identification: Fundamental Limits and Low-Complexity Algorithms
This paper considers a stochastic Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) problem with dual objectives: (i) quick identification and commitment to the optimal arm, and (ii) reward maximization throughout a sequence of $T$ consecutive rounds. Though each objective has been individually well-studied, i.e., best arm identification for (i) and regret minimization for (ii), the simultaneous realization of both objectives remains an open problem, despite its practical importance. This paper introduces \emph{Regret Optimal Best Arm Identification} (ROBAI) which aims to achieve these dual objectives. To solve ROBAI with both pre-determined stopping time and adaptive stopping time requirements, we present an algorithm called EOCP and its variants respectively, which not only achieve asymptotic optimal regret in both Gaussian and general bandits, but also commit to the optimal arm in $\mathcal{O}(\log T)$ rounds with pre-determined stopping time and $\mathcal{O}(\log^2 T)$ rounds with adaptive stopping time. We further characterize lower bounds on the commitment time (equivalent to the sample complexity) of ROBAI, showing that EOCP and its variants are sample optimal with pre-determined stopping time, and almost sample optimal with adaptive stopping time. Numerical results confirm our theoretical analysis and reveal an interesting "over-exploration" phenomenon carried by classic UCB algorithms, such that EOCP has smaller regret even though it stops exploration much earlier than UCB, i.e., $\mathcal{O}(\log T)$ versus $\mathcal{O}(T)$, which suggests over-exploration is unnecessary and potentially harmful to system performance.
On Optimal Early Stopping: Over-informative versus Under-informative Parametrization
Shen, Ruoqi, Gao, Liyao, Ma, Yi-An
Early stopping is a simple and widely used method to prevent over-training neural networks. We develop theoretical results to reveal the relationship between the optimal early stopping time and model dimension as well as sample size of the dataset for certain linear models. Our results demonstrate two very different behaviors when the model dimension exceeds the number of features versus the opposite scenario. While most previous works on linear models focus on the latter setting, we observe that the dimension of the model often exceeds the number of features arising from data in common deep learning tasks and propose a model to study this setting. We demonstrate experimentally that our theoretical results on optimal early stopping time corresponds to the training process of deep neural networks.