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Learn to Vaccinate: Combining Structure Learning and Effective Vaccination for Epidemic and Outbreak Control

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is a widely used model for the spread of information and infectious diseases, particularly non-immunizing ones, on a graph. Given a highly contagious disease, a natural question is how to best vaccinate individuals to minimize the disease's extinction time. While previous works showed that the problem of optimal vaccination is closely linked to the NP-hard Spectral Radius Minimization (SRM) problem, they assumed that the graph is known, which is often not the case in practice. In this work, we consider the problem of minimizing the extinction time of an outbreak modeled by an SIS model where the graph on which the disease spreads is unknown and only the infection states of the vertices are observed. To this end, we split the problem into two: learning the graph and determining effective vaccination strategies. We propose a novel inclusion-exclusion-based learning algorithm and, unlike previous approaches, establish its sample complexity for graph recovery. We then detail an optimal algorithm for the SRM problem and prove that its running time is polynomial in the number of vertices for graphs with bounded treewidth. This is complemented by an efficient and effective polynomial-time greedy heuristic for any graph. Finally, we present experiments on synthetic and real-world data that numerically validate our learning and vaccination algorithms.


Automatic Generation of Semantic Parts for Face Image Synthesis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Semantic image synthesis (SIS) refers to the problem of generating realistic imagery given a semantic segmentation mask that defines the spatial layout of object classes. Most of the approaches in the literature, other than the quality of the generated images, put effort in finding solutions to increase the generation diversity in terms of style i.e. texture. However, they all neglect a different feature, which is the possibility of manipulating the layout provided by the mask. Currently, the only way to do so is manually by means of graphical users interfaces. In this paper, we describe a network architecture to address the problem of automatically manipulating or generating the shape of object classes in semantic segmentation masks, with specific focus on human faces. Our proposed model allows embedding the mask class-wise into a latent space where each class embedding can be independently edited. Then, a bi-directional LSTM block and a convolutional decoder output a new, locally manipulated mask. We report quantitative and qualitative results on the CelebMask-HQ dataset, which show our model can both faithfully reconstruct and modify a segmentation mask at the class level. Also, we show our model can be put before a SIS generator, opening the way to a fully automatic generation control of both shape and texture.


Computational modeling of Human-nCoV protein-protein interaction network

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

COVID-19 has created a global pandemic with high morbidity and mortality in 2020. Novel coronavirus (nCoV), also known as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV2), is responsible for this deadly disease. International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses (ICTV) has declared that nCoV is highly genetically similar to SARS-CoV epidemic in 2003 (89% similarity). Limited number of clinically validated Human-nCoV protein interaction data is available in the literature. With this hypothesis, the present work focuses on developing a computational model for nCoV-Human protein interaction network, using the experimentally validated SARS-CoV-Human protein interactions. Initially, level-1 and level-2 human spreader proteins are identified in SARS-CoV-Human interaction network, using Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model. These proteins are considered as potential human targets for nCoV bait proteins. A gene-ontology based fuzzy affinity function has been used to construct the nCoV-Human protein interaction network at 99.98% specificity threshold. This also identifies the level-1 human spreaders for COVID-19 in human protein-interaction network. Level-2 human spreaders are subsequently identified using the SIS model. The derived host-pathogen interaction network is finally validated using 7 potential FDA listed drugs for COVID-19 with significant overlap between the known drug target proteins and the identified spreader proteins.


Efficient Estimation of Influence Functions for SIS Model on Social Networks

AAAI Conferences

We address the problem of efficiently estimating the influence function of initially activated nodes in a social network under the susceptible / infected / susceptible (SIS) model, a diffusion model where nodes are allowed to be activated multiple times. The computational complexity drastically increases because of this multiple activation property. We solve this problem by constructing a layered graph from the original social network with each layer added on top as the time proceeds, and applying the bond percolation with a pruning strategy. We show that the computational complexity of the proposed method is much smaller than the conventional naive probabilistic simulation method by a theoretical analysis and confirm this by applying the proposed method to two real world networks.