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 robust optimization


Semi-infinite Nonconvex Constrained Min-Max Optimization

Neural Information Processing Systems

Semi-Infinite Programming (SIP) has emerged as a powerful framework for modeling problems with infinite constraints, however, its theoretical development in the context of nonconvex and large-scale optimization remains limited. In this paper, we investigate a class of nonconvex min-max optimization problems with nonconvex infinite constraints, motivated by applications such as adversarial robustness and safety-constrained learning. We propose a novel inexact dynamic barrier primal-dual algorithm and establish its convergence properties.


Bootstrap Your Uncertainty: Adaptive Robust Classification Driven by Optimal-Transport

Neural Information Processing Systems

Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) offers a promising framework by optimizing worst-case performance over a set of candidate distributions, referred to as the uncertainty set. However, the efficacy of DRO heavily depends on the design of the uncertainty set, and existing methods often perform suboptimally due to an inappropriate or inflexible uncertainty set. In this work, we first propose a novel perspective that casts entropy-regularized Wasserstein DRO as a dynamic process of distributional exploration and semantic alignment, both driven by optimal transport (OT). This unified viewpoint yields two key new techniques: semantic calibration, which bootstraps semantically meaningful transport costs via inverse OT, and adaptive refinement, which adjusts uncertainty set using OT-driven feedback. Together, these components form an exploration-and-feedback system, where the transport costs and uncertainty set evolve jointly during training, enabling the model to better adapt to potential distribution shifts. Moreover, we provide an in-depth analysis of this adaptive process and prove theoretical guarantees of convergence. Finally, we present our experimental results across diverse distribution shift scenarios, which demonstrate that our approach significantly outperforms existing methods, achieving state-ofthe-art robustness.


Seeing through Uncertainty: Robust Task-Oriented Optimization in Visual Navigation

Neural Information Processing Systems

Visual navigation is a fundamental problem in embodied AI, yet practical deployments demand long-horizon planning capabilities to address multi-objective tasks. A major bottleneck is data scarcity: policies learned from limited data often overfit and fail to generalize OOD. Existing neural network-based agents typically increase architectural complexity that paradoxically become counterproductive in the smallsample regime. This paper introduce NEURO, a integrated learning-to-optimize framework that tightly couples perception networks with downstream task-level robust optimization. Specifically, NEURO addresses core difficulties in this integration: (i) it transforms noisy visual predictions under data scarcity into convex uncertainty sets using Partially Input Convex Neural Networks (PICNNs) with conformal calibration, which directly parameterize the optimization constraints; and (ii) it reformulates planning under partial observability as a robust optimization problem, enabling uncertainty-aware policies that transfer across environments. Extensive experiments on both unordered and sequential multi-object navigation tasks demonstrate that NEURO establishes SoTA performance, particularly in generalization to unseen environments. Our work thus presents a significant advancement for developing robust, generalizable autonomous agents.


Conformal Risk-Averse Decision Making with Action Conditional Guarantee

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Reliable decision making pipelines powered by machine learning models require uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods that come with explicit safety guarantees. Conformal prediction provides such UQ by wrapping ML predictions into prediction sets, and recent work by Kiyani et al. (2025b) established that these sets can be translated into optimal risk-averse decision policies -- yet only inheriting marginal safety guarantees. We generalize and strengthen their results by (i) introducing action-conditional conformal prediction, which yields safety guarantees conditioned explicitly on each action taken by the decision maker, (ii) showing that action-conditional prediction sets serve as a proxy for the feasible decision space for risk-averse decision makers aiming to optimize action-conditional value-at-risk, and (iii) proposing a principled finite-sample algorithm based on pinball-loss minimization, connecting the framework of Gibbs et al. (2025) to action-conditional guarantees. Experiments on two real-world datasets confirm that our approach significantly improves action-conditional performance over conformal baselines.


Decision-Calibrated Conformal Uncertainty for Pacing Decisions in Streaming Advertising

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We develop a decision-calibrated conformal framework for pacing decisions in streaming advertising. Pacing depends on uncertain future inventory, demand pressure, incremental response, and member-experience load. Instead of calibrating a generic forecast residual, the framework measures forecast error by its largest impact on the policies that could actually be deployed. The main theorem shows that the proposed score is the smallest valid uncertainty measure that uniformly protects all deployable pacing policies. Geometrically, it is the support function of the signed policy sensitivity set. Split conformal calibration gives finite-sample coverage for this score. A high-dimensional separation theorem shows that traditional residual calibration can be arbitrarily more conservative by paying for nuisance inventory dimensions, and a robust pacing result combines inventory, response, and experience uncertainty. On public-data-calibrated pacing replays built from Criteo Uplift and KuaiRand datasets, traditional conformal pacing remains unresolved with high residual radii of 7236.7 on Criteo and 4629.4 on KuaiRand. With the proposed decision calibration approach, the uncertainty radii are reduced to 18.4 and 278.6 respectively, with separate margins for value, delivery, budget, and member load. On Criteo, the proposed method certifies a less aggressive pacing policy than the point-forecast baseline, and reduces held-out any-violation rate from 16.7% to 3.3%, with zero budget and member-load violations. On KuaiRand, the choice remains unresolved. In a nutshell, the paper establishes that forecasts, response estimates, and member-experience models should be judged by whether they shrink the uncertainty that the pacing decision uses, as this leads to confident decisions that are not overly conservative.



Statistical Guarantees for Distributionally Robust Optimization with Optimal Transport and OT-Regularized Divergences

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study finite-sample statistical performance guarantees for distributionally robust optimization (DRO) with optimal transport (OT) and OT-regularized divergence model neighborhoods. Specifically, we derive concentration inequalities for supervised learning via DRO-based adversarial training, as commonly employed to enhance the adversarial robustness of machine learning models. Our results apply to a wide range of OT cost functions, beyond the $p$-Wasserstein case studied by previous authors. In particular, our results are the first to: 1) cover soft-constraint norm-ball OT cost functions; soft-constraint costs have been shown empirically to enhance robustness when used in adversarial training, 2) apply to the combination of adversarial sample generation and adversarial reweighting that is induced by using OT-regularized $f$-divergence model neighborhoods; the added reweighting mechanism has also been shown empirically to further improve performance. In addition, even in the $p$-Wasserstein case, our bounds exhibit better behavior as a function of the DRO neighborhood size than previous results when applied to the adversarial setting.