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 robust optimisation


When can you trust feature selection? -- I: A condition-based analysis of LASSO and generalised hardness of approximation

Bastounis, Alexander, Cucker, Felipe, Hansen, Anders C.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The arrival of AI techniques in computations, with the potential for hallucinations and non-robustness, has made trustworthiness of algorithms a focal point. However, trustworthiness of the many classical approaches are not well understood. This is the case for feature selection, a classical problem in the sciences, statistics, machine learning etc. Here, the LASSO optimisation problem is standard. Despite its widespread use, it has not been established when the output of algorithms attempting to compute support sets of minimisers of LASSO in order to do feature selection can be trusted. In this paper we establish how no (randomised) algorithm that works on all inputs can determine the correct support sets (with probability $> 1/2$) of minimisers of LASSO when reading approximate input, regardless of precision and computing power. However, we define a LASSO condition number and design an efficient algorithm for computing these support sets provided the input data is well-posed (has finite condition number) in time polynomial in the dimensions and logarithm of the condition number. For ill-posed inputs the algorithm runs forever, hence, it will never produce a wrong answer. Furthermore, the algorithm computes an upper bound for the condition number when this is finite. Finally, for any algorithm defined on an open set containing a point with infinite condition number, there is an input for which the algorithm will either run forever or produce a wrong answer. Our impossibility results stem from generalised hardness of approximation -- within the Solvability Complexity Index (SCI) hierarchy framework -- that generalises the classical phenomenon of hardness of approximation.


Provably Robust and Plausible Counterfactual Explanations for Neural Networks via Robust Optimisation

Jiang, Junqi, Lan, Jianglin, Leofante, Francesco, Rago, Antonio, Toni, Francesca

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Counterfactual Explanations (CEs) have received increasing interest as a major methodology for explaining neural network classifiers. Usually, CEs for an input-output pair are defined as data points with minimum distance to the input that are classified with a different label than the output. To tackle the established problem that CEs are easily invalidated when model parameters are updated (e.g. retrained), studies have proposed ways to certify the robustness of CEs under model parameter changes bounded by a norm ball. However, existing methods targeting this form of robustness are not sound or complete, and they may generate implausible CEs, i.e., outliers wrt the training dataset. In fact, no existing method simultaneously optimises for proximity and plausibility while preserving robustness guarantees. In this work, we propose Provably RObust and PLAusible Counterfactual Explanations (PROPLACE), a method leveraging on robust optimisation techniques to address the aforementioned limitations in the literature. We formulate an iterative algorithm to compute provably robust CEs and prove its convergence, soundness and completeness. Through a comparative experiment involving six baselines, five of which target robustness, we show that PROPLACE achieves state-of-the-art performances against metrics on three evaluation aspects.


A Bayesian Approach for the Robust Optimisation of Expensive-To-Evaluate Functions

Sanders, Nicholas D., Everson, Richard M., Fieldsend, Jonathan E., Rahat, Alma A. M.

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many expensive black-box optimisation problems are sensitive to their inputs. In these problems it makes more sense to locate a region of good designs, than a single, possible fragile, optimal design. Expensive black-box functions can be optimised effectively with Bayesian optimisation, where a Gaussian process is a popular choice as a prior over the expensive function. We propose a method for robust optimisation using Bayesian optimisation to find a region of design space in which the expensive function's performance is insensitive to the inputs whilst retaining a good quality. This is achieved by sampling realisations from a Gaussian process modelling the expensive function and evaluating the improvement for each realisation. The expectation of these improvements can be optimised cheaply with an evolutionary algorithm to determine the next location at which to evaluate the expensive function. We describe an efficient process to locate the optimum expected improvement. We show empirically that evaluating the expensive function at the location in the candidate sweet spot about which the model is most uncertain or at random yield the best convergence in contrast to exploitative schemes. We illustrate our method on six test functions in two, five, and ten dimensions, and demonstrate that it is able to outperform a state-of-the-art approach from the literature.