Accurate trajectory prediction of road agents (e.g., pedestrians, vehicles) is an essential prerequisite for various intelligent systems applications, such as autonomous driving and robotic navigation. Recent research highlights the importance of environmental contexts (e.g., maps) and the "multi-modality" of trajectories, leading to increasingly complex model structures. However, real-world deployments require lightweight models that can quickly migrate and adapt to new environments. Additionally, the core motivations of road agents, referred to as their intentions, deserves further exploration. In this study, we advocate that understanding and reasoning road agents' intention plays a key role in trajectory prediction tasks, and the main challenge is that the concept of intention is fuzzy and abstract. To this end, we present INTENT, an efficient intention-guided trajectory prediction model that relies solely on information contained in the road agent's trajectory. Our model distinguishes itself from existing models in several key aspects: (i) We explicitly model road agents' intentions through contrastive clustering, accommodating the fuzziness and abstraction of human intention in their trajectories. (ii) The proposed INTENT is based solely on multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs), resulting in reduced training and inference time, making it very efficient and more suitable for real-world deployment. (iii) By leveraging estimated intentions and an innovative algorithm for transforming trajectory observations, we obtain more robust trajectory representations that lead to superior prediction accuracy. Extensive experiments on real-world trajectory datasets for pedestrians and autonomous vehicles demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of INTENT.

A key aspect of driving a road vehicle is to interact with other road users, assess their intentions and make risk-aware tactical decisions. An intuitive approach to enabling an intelligent automated driving system would be incorporating some aspects of human driving behavior. To this end, we propose a novel driving framework for egocentric views based on spatio-temporal traffic graphs. The traffic graphs model not only the spatial interactions amongst the road users but also their individual intentions through temporally associated message passing. We leverage a spatio-temporal graph convolutional network (ST-GCN) to train the graph edges. These edges are formulated using parameterized functions of 3D positions and scene-aware appearance features of road agents. Along with tactical behavior prediction, it is crucial to evaluate the risk-assessing ability of the proposed framework. We claim that our framework learns risk-aware representations by improving on the task of risk object identification, especially in identifying objects with vulnerable interactions like pedestrians and cyclists.

Heterogeneous trajectory forecasting is critical for intelligent transportation systems, but it is challenging because of the difficulty of modeling the complex interaction relations among the heterogeneous road agents as well as their agent-environment constraints. In this work, we propose a risk and scene graph learning method for trajectory forecasting of heterogeneous road agents, which consists of a Heterogeneous Risk Graph (HRG) and a Hierarchical Scene Graph (HSG) from the aspects of agent category and their movable semantic regions. HRG groups each kind of road agent and calculates their interaction adjacency matrix based on an effective collision risk metric. HSG of the driving scene is modeled by inferring the relationship between road agents and road semantic layout aligned by the road scene grammar. Based on this formulation, we can obtain effective trajectory forecasting in driving situations, and superior performance to other state-of-the-art approaches is demonstrated by exhaustive experiments on the nuScenes, ApolloScape, and Argoverse datasets.

The goal of autonomous vehicles is to navigate public roads safely and comfortably. To enforce safety, traditional planning approaches rely on handcrafted rules to generate trajectories. Machine learning-based systems, on the other hand, scale with data and are able to learn more complex behaviors. However, they often ignore that agents and self-driving vehicle trajectory distributions can be leveraged to improve safety. In this paper, we propose modeling a distribution over multiple future trajectories for both the self-driving vehicle and other road agents, using a unified neural network architecture for prediction and planning. During inference, we select the planning trajectory that minimizes a cost taking into account safety and the predicted probabilities. Our approach does not depend on any rule-based planners for trajectory generation or optimization, improves with more training data and is simple to implement. We extensively evaluate our method through a realistic simulator and show that the predicted trajectory distribution corresponds to different driving profiles. We also successfully deploy it on a self-driving vehicle on urban public roads, confirming that it drives safely without compromising comfort. The code for training and testing our model on a public prediction dataset and the video of the road test are available at https://woven.mobi/safepathnet

The task of predicting stochastic behaviors of road agents in diverse environments is a challenging problem for autonomous driving. To best understand scene contexts and produce diverse possible future states of the road agents adaptively in different environments, a prediction model should be probabilistic, multi-modal, context-driven, and general. We present Conditionalizing Variational AutoEncoders via Hypernetworks (CVAE-H); a conditional VAE that extensively leverages hypernetwork and performs generative tasks for high-dimensional problems like the prediction task. We first evaluate CVAE-H on simple generative experiments to show that CVAE-H is probabilistic, multimodal, context-driven, and general. Then, we demonstrate that the proposed model effectively solves a self-driving prediction problem by producing accurate predictions of road Figure 1: CVAE-H is a conditional VAE that integrates a agents in various environments.

Predicting traffic agents' trajectories is an important task for auto-piloting. Most previous work on trajectory prediction only considers a single class of road agents. We use a sequence-to-sequence model to predict future paths from observed paths and we incorporate class information into the model by concatenating extracted label representations with traditional location inputs. We experiment with both LSTM and transformer encoders and we use generative adversarial network as introduced in Social GAN to learn the multi-modal behavior of traffic agents. We train our model on Stanford Drone dataset which includes 6 classes of road agents and evaluate the impact of different model components on the prediction performance in multi-class scenes.

Robust and safe self-driving in complex and dynamic environments is quite challenging due to the requirement of scalable driving policies against the wide variety of traffic scenarios (e,g., road topologies, traffic rules and interaction with road agents). In this area, traditional modular frameworks scale poorly in new environments, and require tremendous and iterative hand-tuning of rules and parameters to maintain performance in all foreseeable scenarios. Recently, deep-learning based self-driving methods have shown promising results with better generalization capability but less hand engineering effort. However, most of the previous methods are trained and evaluated in limited and simple environments with scattered tasks, such as lane-following, autonomous braking and conditional driving. In this paper, we propose a graph-based deep network to achieve unified and scalable self-driving in diverse dynamic environments. The extensive evaluation results show that our model can safely navigate the vehicle in a large variety of urban, rural, and highway areas with dense traffic while obeying traffic rules. Specifically, more than 7,500 km of closed-loop driving evaluation is conducted in dynamic simulation environments, in which our method can handle complex driving situations, and achieve higher success rates (73.5%-83.2%) and driving scores than the baselines.

All-day and all-weather navigation is a critical capability for autonomous driving, which requires proper reaction to varied environmental conditions and complex agent behaviors. Recently, with the rise of deep learning, end-to-end control for autonomous vehicles has been well studied. However, most works are solely based on visual information, which can be degraded by challenging illumination conditions such as dim light or total darkness. In addition, they usually generate and apply deterministic control commands without considering the uncertainties in the future. In this paper, based on imitation learning, we propose a probabilistic driving model with ultiperception capability utilizing the information from the camera, lidar and radar. We further evaluate its driving performance online on our new driving benchmark, which includes various environmental conditions (e.g., urban and rural areas, traffic densities, weather and times of the day) and dynamic obstacles (e.g., vehicles, pedestrians, motorcyclists and bicyclists). The results suggest that our proposed model outperforms baselines and achieves excellent generalization performance in unseen environments with heavy traffic and extreme weather.