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 randomness deficiency


Toward Universal Laws of Outlier Propagation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We argue that Algorithmic Information Theory (AIT) admits a principled way to quantify outliers in terms of so-called randomness deficiency. For the probability distribution generated by a causal Bayesian network, we show that the randomness deficiency of the joint state decomposes into randomness deficiencies of each causal mechanism, subject to the Independence of Mechanisms Principle. Accordingly, anomalous joint observations can be quantitatively attributed to their root causes, i.e., the mechanisms that behaved anomalously. As an extension of Levin's law of randomness conservation, we show that weak outliers cannot cause strong ones when Independence of Mechanisms holds. We show how these information theoretic laws provide a better understanding of the behaviour of outliers defined with respect to existing scores.


Algorithmic learning of probability distributions from random data in the limit

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the problem of identifying a probability distribution for some given randomly sampled data in the limit, in the context of algorithmic learning theory as proposed recently by Vinanyi and Chater. We show that there exists a computable partial learner for the computable probability measures, while by Bienvenu, Monin and Shen it is known that there is no computable learner for the computable probability measures. Our main result is the characterization of the oracles that compute explanatory learners for the computable (continuous) probability measures as the high oracles. This provides an analogue of a well-known result of Adleman and Blum in the context of learning computable probability distributions. We also discuss related learning notions such as behaviorally correct learning and orther variations of explanatory learning, in the context of learning probability distributions from data.


Approximation of the Two-Part MDL Code

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Approximation of the optimal two-part MDL code for given data, through successive monotonically length-decreasing two-part MDL codes, has the following properties: (i) computation of each step may take arbitrarily long; (ii) we may not know when we reach the optimum, or whether we will reach the optimum at all; (iii) the sequence of models generated may not monotonically improve the goodness of fit; but (iv) the model associated with the optimum has (almost) the best goodness of fit. To express the practically interesting goodness of fit of individual models for individual data sets we have to rely on Kolmogorov complexity.