Hierarchical Gaussian Filtering (HGF) networks allow for efficient updating of posterior distributions (beliefs) about hidden states of an agent's environment. HGF parent nodes can target the mean or variance of their children. New information entering at input nodes leads to a cascade of belief updates across the network according to one-step update equations for each node's mean and precision (inverse variance). However, the original form of the update equations for variance-targeting parents(volatility coupling) can in some regions of parameter space lead to negative posterior precision, a logical impossibility which causes the updating algorithm to terminate with an error. In this report, we introduce a modified quadratic approximation to the variational energy of volatility-coupled nodes that avoids negative posterior precision. The key idea is to interpolate between two quadratic expansions of the variational energy: one at the prior prediction and one at a second mode whose location is obtained in closed form via the Lambert W function. The resulting update equations are robust across the entire parameter space and faithfully track the variational posterior even for large prediction errors.

Mixability has been shown to be a powerful tool to obtain algorithms with optimal regret. However, the resulting methods often suffer from high computational complexity which has reduced their practical applicability. For example, in the case of multiclass logistic regression, the aggregating forecaster (Foster et al. (2018)) achieves a regret of O(log(Bn)) whereas Online Newton Step achieves O(eBlog(n)) obtaining a double exponential gain in B (a bound on the norm of comparative functions). However, this high statistical performance is at the price of a prohibitive computational complexity O(n37). In this paper, we use quadratic surrogates to make aggregating forecasters more efficient. We show that the resulting algorithm has still high statistical performance for a large class of losses. In particular, we derive an algorithm for multi-class logistic regression with a regret bounded by O(Blog(n)) and a computational complexity of only O(n4).

Neural Information Processing Systems http://nips.cc/

Neural Information Processing Systems http://nips.cc/

Jastrz ebski et al. [6] suggested that the ratio between the learning rate and the batch

Such large-scale recordings pose a major challenge to existing statistical methods for neural data analysis. Here we develop highly scalable approximate inference methods for Poisson generalized linear models (GLMs) that require only a single pass over the data.

The sparse inverse covariance estimation problem arises in many statistical applications in machine learning and signal processing. In this problem, the inverse of a covariance matrix of a multivariate normal distribution is estimated, assuming that it is sparse.

In this paper, we develop a family of algorithms for optimizing "superpositionstructured" or "dirty" statistical estimators for high-dimensional problems involving the minimization of the sum of a smooth loss function with a hybrid regularization. Most of the current approaches are first-order methods, including proximal gradient or Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM). We propose a new family of second-order methods where we approximate the loss function using quadratic approximation. The superposition structured regularizer then leads to a subproblem that can be efficiently solved by alternating minimization. We propose a general active subspace selection approach to speed up the solver by utilizing the low-dimensional structure given by the regularizers, and provide convergence guarantees for our algorithm. Empirically, we show that our approach is more than 10 times faster than state-of-the-art first-order approaches for the latent variable graphical model selection problems and multi-task learning problems when there is more than one regularizer. For these problems, our approach appears to be the first algorithm that can extend active subspace ideas to multiple regularizers.