pv plant
An Online Hierarchical Energy Management System for Energy Communities, Complying with the Current Technical Legislation Framework
Capillo, Antonino, De Santis, Enrico, Mascioli, Fabio Massimo Frattale, Rizzi, Antonello
Efforts in the fight against Climate Change are increasingly oriented towards new energy efficiency strategies in Smart Grids (SGs). In 2018, with proper legislation, the European Union (EU) defined the Renewable Energy Community (REC) as a local electrical grid whose participants share their self-produced renewable energy, aiming at reducing bill costs by taking advantage of proper incentives. That action aspires to accelerate the spread of local renewable energy exploitation, whose costs could not be within everyone's reach. Since a REC is technically an SG, the strategies above can be applied, and specifically, practical Energy Management Systems (EMSs) are required. Therefore, in this work, an online Hierarchical EMS (HEMS) is synthesized for REC cost minimization to evaluate its superiority over a local self-consumption approach. EU technical indications (as inherited from Italy) are diligently followed, aiming for results that are as realistic as possible. Power flows between REC nodes, or Microgrids (MGs) are optimized by taking Energy Storage Systems (ESSs) and PV plant costs, energy purchase costs, and REC incentives. A hybrid Fuzzy Inference System - Genetic Algorithm (FIS-GA) model is implemented with the GA encoding the FIS parameters. Power generation and consumption, which are the overall system input, are predicted by a LSTM trained on historical data. The proposed hierarchical model achieves good precision in short computation times and outperforms the self-consumption approach, leading to about 20% savings compared to the latter. In addition, the Explainable AI (XAI), which characterizes the model through the FIS, makes results more reliable thanks to an excellent human interpretation level. To finish, the HEMS is parametrized so that it is straightforward to switch to another Country's technical legislation framework.
Day-Ahead PV Power Forecasting Based on MSTL-TFT
Jiang, Xuetao, Jiang, Meiyu, Zhou, Qingguo
In recent years, renewable energy resources have accounted for an increasing share of electricity energy. Among them, photovoltaic (PV) power generation has received broad attention due to its economic and environmental benefits. Accurate PV generation forecasts can reduce power dispatch from the grid, thus increasing the supplier's profit in the day-ahead electricity market. The power system of a PV site is affected by solar radiation, PV plant properties and meteorological factors, resulting in uncertainty in its power output. This study used multiple seasonal-trend decomposition using LOESS (MSTL) and temporal fusion transformer (TFT) to perform day-ahead PV prediction on the desert knowledge Australia solar centre (DKASC) dataset. We compare the decomposition algorithms (VMD, EEMD and VMD-EEMD) and prediction models (BP, LSTM and XGBoost, etc.) which are commonly used in PV prediction presently. The results show that the MSTL-TFT method is more accurate than the aforementioned methods, which have noticeable improvement compared to other recent day-ahead PV predictions on desert knowledge Australia solar centre (DKASC).
AutoPV: Automated photovoltaic forecasts with limited information using an ensemble of pre-trained models
Meisenbacher, Stefan, Heidrich, Benedikt, Martin, Tim, Mikut, Ralf, Hagenmeyer, Veit
Accurate PhotoVoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting is vital for the efficient operation of Smart Grids. The automated design of such accurate forecasting models for individual PV plants includes two challenges: First, information about the PV mounting configuration (i.e. inclination and azimuth angles) is often missing. Second, for new PV plants, the amount of historical data available to train a forecasting model is limited (cold-start problem). We address these two challenges by proposing a new method for day-ahead PV power generation forecasts called AutoPV. AutoPV is a weighted ensemble of forecasting models that represent different PV mounting configurations. This representation is achieved by pre-training each forecasting model on a separate PV plant and by scaling the model's output with the peak power rating of the corresponding PV plant. To tackle the cold-start problem, we initially weight each forecasting model in the ensemble equally. To tackle the problem of missing information about the PV mounting configuration, we use new data that become available during operation to adapt the ensemble weights to minimize the forecasting error. AutoPV is advantageous as the unknown PV mounting configuration is implicitly reflected in the ensemble weights, and only the PV plant's peak power rating is required to re-scale the ensemble's output. AutoPV also allows to represent PV plants with panels distributed on different roofs with varying alignments, as these mounting configurations can be reflected proportionally in the weighting. Additionally, the required computing memory is decoupled when scaling AutoPV to hundreds of PV plants, which is beneficial in Smart Grids with limited computing capabilities. For a real-world data set with 11 PV plants, the accuracy of AutoPV is comparable to a model trained on two years of data and outperforms an incrementally trained model.
Thermal and Visual Tracking of Photovoltaic Plants for Autonomous UAV inspection
Morando, Luca, Recchiuto, Carmine Tommaso, Callà, Jacopo, Scuteri, Paolo, Sgorbissa, Antonio
Since photovoltaic (PV) plants require periodic maintenance, using Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) for inspections can help reduce costs. The thermal and visual inspection of PV installations is currently based on UAV photogrammetry. A UAV equipped with a Global Positioning System (GPS) receiver is assigned a flight zone: the UAV will cover it back and forth to collect images to be later composed in an orthomosaic. The UAV typically flies at a height above the ground that is appropriate to ensure that images overlap even in the presence of GPS positioning errors. However, this approach has two limitations. Firstly, it requires to cover the whole flight zone, including "empty" areas between PV module rows. Secondly, flying high above the ground limits the resolution of the images to be later inspected. The article proposes a novel approach using an autonomous UAV equipped with an RGB and a thermal camera for PV module tracking. The UAV moves along PV module rows at a lower height than usual and inspects them back and forth in a boustrophedon way by ignoring "empty" areas with no PV modules. Experimental tests performed in simulation and an actual PV plant are reported.
Day-Ahead Hourly Forecasting of Power Generation from Photovoltaic Plants
Gigoni, Lorenzo, Betti, Alessandro, Crisostomi, Emanuele, Franco, Alessandro, Tucci, Mauro, Bizzarri, Fabrizio, Mucci, Debora
The ability to accurately forecast power generation from renewable sources is nowadays recognised as a fundamental skill to improve the operation of power systems. Despite the general interest of the power community in this topic, it is not always simple to compare different forecasting methodologies, and infer the impact of single components in providing accurate predictions. In this paper we extensively compare simple forecasting methodologies with more sophisticated ones over 32 photovoltaic plants of different size and technology over a whole year. Also, we try to evaluate the impact of weather conditions and weather forecasts on the prediction of PV power generation. I. INTRODUCTION High penetration levels of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs), typically based on renewable generation, introduce several challenges in power system operation, due to the intrinsic intermittent and uncertain nature of such DERs. In this context, it is fundamental to develop the ability to accurately forecast energy production from renewable sources, like solar photovoltaic (PV), wind power and river hydro, to obtain short-and midterm forecasts. Dispatchability: secure power systems' daily operation mainly relies upon day-ahead dispatches of power plants [1]. Accordingly, meaningful day-ahead plans can be performed only if accurate day-ahead predictions of power generation from renewable sources, together with reliable predictions of the day-ahead load consumption forecasts (e.g., see [2]) are available; Efficiency: as output power fluctuations from intermittent sources may cause frequency and voltage fluctuations in the system (see [3]), some countries have introduced penalties for power generators that fail to accurately predict their power generation for the next day; thus, some energy producers prefer to underestimate their day-ahead power generation forecasts to avoid to incur in penalties in the next day. Monitoring: mismatches between power forecasts and the actually generated power may be also used by energy producers to monitor the plant operation, to evaluate the natural degradation of the efficiency of the plant due to the aging of some components (see [4]) or for early detection of incipient faults.
Predictive Maintenance in Photovoltaic Plants with a Big Data Approach
Betti, Alessandro, Trovato, Maria Luisa Lo, Leonardi, Fabio Salvatore, Leotta, Giuseppe, Ruffini, Fabrizio, Lanzetta, Ciro
Fault prediction is offered at two different levels based on a data-driven approach: (a) generic fault/status prediction and (b) specific fault class prediction, implemented by means of two different machine learning based modules built on an unsupervised clustering algorithm and a Pattern Recognition Neural Network, respectively. Model has been assessed on a park of six photovoltaic (PV) plants up to 10 MW and on more than one hundred inverter modules of three different technology brands. The results indicate that the proposed method is effective in (a) predicting incipient generic faults up to 7 days in advance with sensitivity up to 95% and (b) anticipating damage of specific fault classes with times ranging from few hours up to 7 days. The model is easily deployable for online monitoring of anomalies on new PV plants and technologies, requiring only the availability of historical SCADA and fault data, fault taxonomy and inverter electrical datasheet. Keywords: Data Mining, Fault Prediction, Inverter Module, Key Performance Indicator, Lost Production 1 INTRODUCTION The provision of a Preventive Maintenance strategy is emerging nowadays as an essential field to keep high technical and economic performances of solar PV plants over time [1]. Analytical monitoring systems have been installed therefore worldwide to timely detect possible malfunctions through the assessment of PV system performances [2-3].
An Unsupervised Method for Estimating the Global Horizontal Irradiance from Photovoltaic Power Measurements
Nespoli, Lorenzo, Medici, Vasco
In this paper, we present a method to determine the global horizontal irradiance (GHI) from the power measurements of one or more PV systems, located in the same neighborhood. The method is completely unsupervised and is based on a physical model of a PV plant. The precise assessment of solar irradiance is pivotal for the forecast of the electric power generated by photovoltaic (PV) plants. However, on-ground measurements are expensive and are generally not performed for small and medium-sized PV plants. Satellite-based services represent a valid alternative to on site measurements, but their space-time resolution is limited. Results from two case studies located in Switzerland are presented. The performance of the proposed method at assessing GHI is compared with that of free and commercial satellite services. Our results show that the presented method is generally better than satellite-based services, especially at high temporal resolutions.