preliminary investigation
our work interesting, timely and novel, and that our results demonstrate the fundamental limitations of Transformer
We thank the reviewers for their detailed comments and their useful suggestions. In this rebuttal, we report results on larger transformer models. We study the less understood issues related to how well TLMs are able to perform long chains of reasoning. This directly motivates us to investigate if language models can also learn certain reasoning strategies. We will add this discussion to the paper.
Preliminary Investigation into Uncertainty-Aware Attack Stage Classification
Gaudenzi, Alessandro, Nodari, Lorenzo, Kaplan, Lance, Russo, Alessandra, Sensoy, Murat, Cerutti, Federico
Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs) represent a significant challenge in cybersecurity due to their prolonged, multi-stage nature and the sophistication of their operators. Traditional detection systems typically focus on identifying malicious activity in binary terms -- benign or malicious -- without accounting for the progression of an attack. However, effective response strategies depend on accurate inference of the attack's current stage, as countermeasures must be tailored to whether an adversary is in the early reconnaissance phase or actively conducting exploitation or exfiltration. This work addresses the problem of attack stage inference under uncertainty, with a focus on robustness to out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs. We propose a classification approach based on Evidential Deep Learning (EDL), which models predictive uncertainty by outputting parameters of a Dirichlet distribution over possible stages. This allows the system not only to predict the most likely stage of an attack but also to indicate when it is uncertain or the input lies outside the training distribution. Preliminary experiments in a simulated environment demonstrate that the proposed model can accurately infer the stage of an attack with calibrated confidence while effectively detecting OOD inputs, which may indicate changes in the attackers' tactics. These results support the feasibility of deploying uncertainty-aware models for staged threat detection in dynamic and adversarial environments.
Analyzing and Predicting Low-Listenership Trends in a Large-Scale Mobile Health Program: A Preliminary Investigation
Lalan, Arshika, Verma, Shresth, Sudan, Kumar Madhu, Mahale, Amrita, Hegde, Aparna, Tambe, Milind, Taneja, Aparna
Mobile health programs are becoming an increasingly popular medium for dissemination of health information among beneficiaries in less privileged communities. Kilkari is one of the world's largest mobile health programs which delivers time sensitive audio-messages to pregnant women and new mothers. We have been collaborating with ARMMAN, a non-profit in India which operates the Kilkari program, to identify bottlenecks to improve the efficiency of the program. In particular, we provide an initial analysis of the trajectories of beneficiaries' interaction with the mHealth program and examine elements of the program that can be potentially enhanced to boost its success. We cluster the cohort into different buckets based on listenership so as to analyze listenership patterns for each group that could help boost program success. We also demonstrate preliminary results on using historical data in a time-series prediction to identify beneficiary dropouts and enable NGOs in devising timely interventions to strengthen beneficiary retention.
The effect of network topologies on fully decentralized learning: a preliminary investigation
Palmieri, Luigi, Valerio, Lorenzo, Boldrini, Chiara, Passarella, Andrea
In a decentralized machine learning system, data is typically partitioned among multiple devices or nodes, each of which trains a local model using its own data. These local models are then shared and combined to create a global model that can make accurate predictions on new data. In this paper, we start exploring the role of the network topology connecting nodes on the performance of a Machine Learning model trained through direct collaboration between nodes. We investigate how different types of topologies impact the "spreading of knowledge", i.e., the ability of nodes to incorporate in their local model the knowledge derived by learning patterns in data available in other nodes across the networks. Specifically, we highlight the different roles in this process of more or less connected nodes (hubs and leaves), as well as that of macroscopic network properties (primarily, degree distribution and modularity). Among others, we show that, while it is known that even weak connectivity among network components is sufficient for information spread, it may not be sufficient for knowledge spread. More intuitively, we also find that hubs have a more significant role than leaves in spreading knowledge, although this manifests itself not only for heavy-tailed distributions but also when "hubs" have only moderately more connections than leaves. Finally, we show that tightly knit communities severely hinder knowledge spread.
An investigation of licensing of datasets for machine learning based on the GQM model
Chen, Junyu, Yoshida, Norihiro, Takada, Hiroaki
Dataset licensing is currently an issue in the development of machine learning systems. And in the development of machine learning systems, the most widely used are publicly available datasets. However, since the images in the publicly available dataset are mainly obtained from the Internet, some images are not commercially available. Furthermore, developers of machine learning systems do not often care about the license of the dataset when training machine learning models with it. In summary, the licensing of datasets for machine learning systems is in a state of incompleteness in all aspects at this stage. Our investigation of two collection datasets revealed that most of the current datasets lacked licenses, and the lack of licenses made it impossible to determine the commercial availability of the datasets. Therefore, we decided to take a more scientific and systematic approach to investigate the licensing of datasets and the licensing of machine learning systems that use the dataset to make it easier and more compliant for future developers of machine learning systems.
[2212.13345] The Forward-Forward Algorithm: Some Preliminary Investigations
The aim of this paper is to introduce a new learning procedure for neural networks and to demonstrate that it works well enough on a few small problems to be worth further investigation. The Forward-Forward algorithm replaces the forward and backward passes of backpropagation by two forward passes, one with positive (i.e. real) data and the other with negative data which could be generated by the network itself. Each layer has its own objective function which is simply to have high goodness for positive data and low goodness for negative data. The sum of the squared activities in a layer can be used as the goodness but there are many other possibilities, including minus the sum of the squared activities. If the positive and negative passes could be separated in time, the negative passes could be done offline, which would make the learning much simpler in the positive pass and allow video to be pipelined through the network without ever storing activities or stopping to propagate derivatives.
A Preliminary Investigation of MLOps Practices in GitHub
Calefato, Fabio, Lanubile, Filippo, Quaranta, Luigi
Background. The rapid and growing popularity of machine learning (ML) applications has led to an increasing interest in MLOps, that is, the practice of continuous integration and deployment (CI/CD) of ML-enabled systems. Aims. Since changes may affect not only the code but also the ML model parameters and the data themselves, the automation of traditional CI/CD needs to be extended to manage model retraining in production. Method. In this paper, we present an initial investigation of the MLOps practices implemented in a set of ML-enabled systems retrieved from GitHub, focusing on GitHub Actions and CML, two solutions to automate the development workflow. Results. Our preliminary results suggest that the adoption of MLOps workflows in open-source GitHub projects is currently rather limited. Conclusions. Issues are also identified, which can guide future research work.
A Preliminary Investigation into Predictive Models for Adverse Drug Events
Davis, Jesse (Katholieke Universiteit Leuven) | Costa, Vitor Santos (Universidade do Porto) | Peissig, Peggy (Marshfield Clinic) | Caldwell, Michael (Marshfield Clinic) | Page, David (University of Wisconsin - Madison)
Adverse drug events are a leading cause of danger and cost in health care. We could reduce both the danger and the cost if we had accurate models to predict, at prescription time for each drug, which patients are most at risk for known adverse reactions to that drug, such as myocardial infarction (MI, or "heart attack") if given a Cox2 inhibitor, angioedema if given an ACE inhibitor, or bleeding if given an anticoagulant such as Warfarin. We address this task for the specific case of Cox2 inhibitors, a type of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) or pain reliever that is easier on the gastrointestinal system than most NSAIDS. Because of the MI adverse drug reaction, some but not all very effective Cox2 inhibitors were removed from the market. Specifically, we use machine learning to predict which patients on a Cox2 inhibitor would suffer an MI. An important issue for machine learning is that we do not know which of these patients might have suffered an MI even without the drug. To begin to make some headway on this important problem, we compare our predictive model for MI for patients on Cox2 inhibitors against a more general model for predicting MI among a broader population not on Cox2 inhibitors.
Automated Fall Risk Assessment and Detection in the Home: A Preliminary Investigation
Rantz, Marilyn (University of Missouri) | Skubic, Marjorie (University of Missouri) | Abbott, Carmen (University of Missouri) | Pak, Youngju (University of Missouri) | Stone, Erik E. (University of Missouri) | Miller, Steven J. (University of Missouri)
Falls are a major problem for older adults. A continuous unobtrusive in-home monitoring system that provides an accurate automated assessment of fall risk and detects when falls have occurred would allow for timely intervention and prevention allowing individual to remain healthier and independent longer. Sensor networks have been installed in apartments of older adult volunteers at TigerPlace, an independent senior living community. Initial results comparing gait parameters captured with a Microsoft Kinect with ground truth clinical fall risk assessments and GAITRite data are presented.