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Many Minds, One Goal: Time Series Forecasting via Sub-task Specialization and Inter-agent Cooperation

Neural Information Processing Systems

Time series forecasting is a critical and complex task, characterized by diverse temporal patterns, varying statistical properties, and different prediction horizons across datasets and domains. Conventional approaches typically rely on a single, unified model architecture to handle all forecasting scenarios. However, such monolithic models struggle to generalize across dynamically evolving time series with shifting patterns. In reality, different types of time series may require distinct modeling strategies. Some benefit from homogeneous multi-scale forecasting awareness, while others rely on more complex and heterogeneous signal perception. Relying on a single model to capture all temporal diversity and structural variations leads to limited performance and poor interpretability. To address this challenge, we propose a Multi-Agent Forecasting System (MAFS) that abandons the one-sizefits-all paradigm. MAFS decomposes the forecasting task into multiple sub-tasks, each handled by a dedicated agent trained on specific temporal perspectives (e.g., different forecasting resolutions or signal characteristics). Furthermore, to achieve holistic forecasting, agents share and refine information through different communication topology, enabling cooperative reasoning across different temporal views.


767 A. Ablation on the Annotation Pipeline

Neural Information Processing Systems

Notably, it is crucial for objects located at 772 the edges of images to maintain the closure of their bounding squares. Requiring existing MLLMs to 775 rethink may still not improve the accuracy of their responses. This may be because InternVL has been trained on more autonomous driving data. The final MLLM and prompt achieve an accuracy rate of approximately 781 90% on the entire OpenAD data. We conduct experiments by employing diverse visual Acc of and te+xtual prompts, along with various MLLMs, and select the*optimal approach.



Federated Continual Learning via Orchestrating Multi-Scale Expertise

Neural Information Processing Systems

Federated continual learning (FCL) aims to maintain the model's performance on old tasks (i.e., stability) while enhancing its ability to acquire knowledge from current tasks (i.e., plasticity). With the development of pre-trained models (PTMs), fine-tuning PTMs on clients has become a promising approach to leveraging their extensive knowledge in FCL. In this paper, we propose MultiFCL, a novel FCL framework that fine-tunes PTMs to adapt to FCL while preserving their strong generalization capabilities. Specifically, to ensure the stability, MultiFCL introduces lightweight adapters for task adaption, which are subsequently frozen to prevent catastrophic forgetting. Moreover, by utilizing the semantic features of old tasks, MultiFCL performs multi-modal initialization of new task class prototypes. To enhance the plasticity, MultiFCL employs a multi-expert training mechanism that integrates multi-scale feature learning with multi-teacher dynamic self-distillation.



MIRAGE: ABenchmark for Multimodal Information-Seeking and Reasoning in Agricultural Expert-Guided Conversations

Neural Information Processing Systems

We introduce MIRAGE, a new benchmark for multimodal expert-level reasoning and decision-making in consultative interaction settings. Designed for the agriculture domain, MIRAGE captures the full complexity of expert consultations by combining natural user queries, expert-authored responses, and image-based context, offering a high-fidelity benchmark for evaluating models on grounded reasoning, clarification strategies, and long-form generation in a real-world, knowledgeintensive domain. Grounded in over 35,000 real user-expert interactions and curated through a carefully designed multi-step pipeline, MIRAGE spans diverse crop health, pest diagnosis, and crop management scenarios. The benchmark includes more than 7,000 unique biological entities, covering plant species, pests, and diseases, making it one of the most taxonomically diverse benchmarks available for vision-language models, grounded in the real world. Unlike existing benchmarks that rely on well-specified user inputs and closed-set taxonomies, MIRAGE features underspecified, context-rich scenarios with open-world settings, requiring models to infer latent knowledge gaps, handle rare entities, and either proactively guide the interaction or respond. We evaluate more than 20 closed and open-source frontier vision-language models (VLMs), using an ensemble of reasoning language models as evaluators, highlighting the significant challenges posed by MIRAGE.


Stable Causal Discovery via Directed Acyclic Graph Aggregation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are central to uncovering causal structure in complex systems, yet learning a single DAG from data is often challenging: model uncertainty, finite samples, and a combinatorially large search space frequently yield unstable estimates. We propose DAGgr, a model averaging framework that aggregates multiple candidate DAGs into a single stable representation. Candidate graphs are weighted by their out-of-sample predictive likelihood across repeated data splits, and a thresholding rule on the resulting edge-importance scores guarantees that the aggregated graph is itself acyclic. We establish a finite-sample risk bound, prove that the procedure preserves acyclicity, and show that edge selection is consistent under mild conditions on the weights. Simulations across random, hub, and chain structures, together with an analysis of the Sachs et al. (2005) protein-signaling network, show that DAGgr matches or exceeds the best individual candidate while consistently outperforming bootstrap-aggregation baselines across structural recovery metrics.


ARelated Work

Neural Information Processing Systems

We remind important related works to understand how our AdvInfoNCE stands and its role in rich literature. Our work is related to the literature on contrastive learning-based collaborative filtering (CL-based CF) methods, and theoretical understanding of contrastive loss in collaborative filtering. A.1 Contrastive Learning-based Collaborative Filtering The latest CL-based CF methods can roughly fall into two research lines. The second category, referred to as "loss-based" approaches, mainly focuses on the modification of contrastive loss. In loss-based CF models, interacted items serve as positive instances. The prevailing augmentation-based paradigm in CL-based CF methods is to employ user-item bipartite graph augmentations to generate contrasting views. These contrasting views are then treated as positive instances in the application of contrastive loss, such as InfoNCE loss, to further enhance collaborative filtering signals.


ASelf Supervised Learning Methods

Neural Information Processing Systems

L.1 Source Dataset: ImageNet Table 13 and Table 14 describe 5-way 1-shot and 5-way 5-shot CD-FSL performance when ImageNet is used as the source dataset, respectively. Note that Table 14 is added for convenience and this is the same with Table 3 in the main paper.