optimal stopping problem
DeepMartingale: Duality of the Optimal Stopping Problem with Expressivity
Using a martingale representation, we introduce a novel deep-learning approach, which we call DeepMartingale, to study the duality of discrete-monitoring optimal stopping problems in continuous time. This approach provides a tight upper bound for the primal value function, even in high-dimensional settings. We prove that the upper bound derived from DeepMartingale converges under very mild assumptions. Even more importantly, we establish the expressivity of DeepMartingale: it approximates the true value function within any prescribed accuracy $\varepsilon$ under our architectural design of neural networks whose size is bounded by $\tilde{c}\,D^{\tilde{q}}\varepsilon^{-\tilde{r}}$, where the constants $\tilde{c}, \tilde{q}, \tilde{r}$ are independent of the dimension $D$ and the accuracy $\varepsilon$. This guarantees that DeepMartingale does not suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Numerical experiments demonstrate the practical effectiveness of DeepMartingale, confirming its convergence, expressivity, and stability.
Approximate Solutions to Optimal Stopping Problems
We propose and analyze an algorithm that approximates solutions to the problem of optimal stopping in a discounted irreducible ape(cid:173) riodic Markov chain. The scheme involves the use of linear com(cid:173) binations of fixed basis functions to approximate a Q-function. The weights of the linear combination are incrementally updated through an iterative process similar to Q-Iearning, involving sim(cid:173) ulation of the underlying Markov chain. Due to space limitations, we only provide an overview of a proof of convergence (with prob(cid:173) ability 1) and bounds on the approximation error. This is the first theoretical result that establishes the soundness of a Q-Iearning(cid:173) like algorithm when combined with arbitrary linear function ap(cid:173) proximators to solve a sequential decision problem.