Thank you for the insightful comments. We are encouraged you find our paper a significant contribution. " Our results hold even if the parameters Pólya-Gamma method specialized to logistic regression. "specialized method already exists" The specialized method (Pólya-Gamma sampler) has running time at each epoch that "authors could comment on other possible scenarios" We focused on logistic regression as it is one of the most common Thank you for the valuable feedback. We are encouraged you find our paper interesting and substantial. We describe these applications in lines 44-50 of our paper. "Do you have a CLT for your chain?" " At your suggestion, we performed initial experiments comparing the full Laplace approxi-27 As part of our reorganization, we will include a section on experiments in the main body of the paper.

The extension of classical online algorithms when provided with predictions is a new and active research area. In this paper, we extend the primal-dual method for online algorithms in order to incorporate predictions that advise the online algorithm about the next action to take.

We study the power of (competitive) algorithms with predictions in a multiagent setting. We introduce a two predictor framework, that assumes that agents use one predictor for their future (self) behavior, and one for the behavior of the other players. The main problem we are concerned with is understanding what are the best competitive ratios that can be achieved by employing such predictors, under various assumptions on predictor quality. As an illustration of our framework, we introduce and analyze a multiagent version of the ski-rental problem. In this problem agents can collaborate by pooling resources to get a group license for some asset. If the license price is not met then agents have to rent the asset individually for the day at a unit price. Otherwise the license becomes available forever to everyone at no extra cost. In the particular case of perfect other predictions the algorithm that follows the self predictor is optimal but not robust to mispredictions of agent's future behavior; we give an algorithm with better robustness properties and benchmark it.

Imagine an agent acting in some environment. At time t, the environment is in some state Xt chosen from a finite set of states. The agent perceives Xt, and is allowed to choose an action at from some finite set of actions. The environment then changes state, so that at time (t 1) it is in a new state Xt 1 chosen from a probability distribution which depends only on Xt and at. Meanwhile, the agent experiences a real-valued cost Ct, chosen from a distribution which also depends only on Xt and at and which has finite mean and variance.

In this paper, we propose a novel stochastic gradient estimator---ProbAbilistic Gradient Estimator (PAGE)---for nonconvex optimization. PAGE is easy to implement as it is designed via a small adjustment to vanilla SGD: in each iteration, PAGE uses the vanilla minibatch SGD update with probability $p$ and reuses the previous gradient with a small adjustment, at a much lower computational cost, with probability $1-p$. We give a simple formula for the optimal choice of $p$. We prove tight lower bounds for nonconvex problems, which are of independent interest. Moreover, we prove matching upper bounds both in the finite-sum and online regimes, which establish that Page is an optimal method. Besides, we show that for nonconvex functions satisfying the Polyak-\L{}ojasiewicz (PL) condition, PAGE can automatically switch to a faster linear convergence rate. Finally, we conduct several deep learning experiments (e.g., LeNet, VGG, ResNet) on real datasets in PyTorch, and the results demonstrate that PAGE converges much faster than SGD in training and also achieves the higher test accuracy, validating our theoretical results and confirming the practical superiority of PAGE.

Although freelancing work has grown substantially in recent years, in part facilitated by a number of online labor marketplaces, (e.g., Guru, Freelancer, Amazon Mechanical Turk), traditional forms of "in-sourcing" work continue being the dominant form of employment. This means that, at least for the time being, freelancing and salaried employment will continue to co-exist. In this paper, we provide algorithms for outsourcing and hiring workers in a general setting, where workers form a team and contribute different skills to perform a task. We call this model team formation with outsourcing. In our model, tasks arrive in an online fashion: neither the number nor the composition of the tasks is known a-priori. At any point in time, there is a team of hired workers who receive a fixed salary independently of the work they perform. This team is dynamic: new members can be hired and existing members can be fired, at some cost. Additionally, some parts of the arriving tasks can be outsourced and thus completed by non-team members, at a premium. Our contribution is an efficient online cost-minimizing algorithm for hiring and firing team members and outsourcing tasks. We present theoretical bounds obtained using a primal-dual scheme proving that our algorithms have a logarithmic competitive approximation ratio. We complement these results with experiments using semi-synthetic datasets based on actual task requirements and worker skills from three large online labor marketplaces.

In order for an e-commerce platform to maximize its revenue, it must recommend customers items they are most likely to purchase. However, the company often has business constraints on these items, such as the number of each item in stock. In this work, our goal is to recommend items to users as they arrive on a webpage sequentially, in an online manner, in order to maximize reward for a company, but also satisfy budget constraints. We first approach the simpler online problem in which the customers arrive as a stationary Poisson process, and present an integrated algorithm that performs online optimization and online learning together. We then make the model more complicated but more realistic, treating the arrival processes as non-stationary Poisson processes. To deal with heterogeneous customer arrivals, we propose a time segmentation algorithm that converts a non-stationary problem into a series of stationary problems. Experiments conducted on large-scale synthetic data demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our proposed approaches on solving constrained resource allocation problems.

The Knowledge Gradient (KG) policy was originally proposed for online ranking and selection problems but has recently been adapted for use in online decision making in general and multi-armed bandit problems (MABs) in particular. We study its use in a class of exponential family MABs and identify weaknesses, including a propensity to take actions which are dominated with respect to both exploitation and exploration. We propose variants of KG which avoid such errors. These new policies include an index heuristic which deploys a KG approach to develop an approximation to the Gittins index. A numerical study shows this policy to perform well over a range of MABs including those for which index policies are not optimal. While KG does not make dominated actions when bandits are Gaussian, it fails to be index consistent and appears not to enjoy a performance advantage over competitor policies when arms are correlated to compensate for its greater computational demands.

We describe the reinforcement learning problem, motivate algorithms which seek an approximation to the Q function, and present new convergence results for two such algorithms. 1 INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND Imagine an agent acting in some environment. At time t, the environment is in some state Xt chosen from a finite set of states. The agent perceives Xt, and is allowed to choose an action at from some finite set of actions. Meanwhile, the agent experiences a real-valued cost Ct, chosen from a distribution which also depends only on Xt and at and which has finite mean and variance. Such an environment is called a Markov decision process, or MDP.