niw distribution
Estimating the normal-inverse-Wishart distribution
The normal-inverse-Wishart (NIW) distribution is commonly used as a prior distribution for the mean and covariance parameters of a multivariate normal distribution. The family of NIW distributions is also a minimal exponential family. In this short note we describe a convergent procedure for converting from mean parameters to natural parameters in the NIW family, or -- equivalently -- for performing maximum likelihood estimation of the natural parameters given observed sufficient statistics. This is needed, for example, when using a NIW base family in expectation propagation.
Multivariate Deep Evidential Regression
Meinert, Nis, Lavin, Alexander
There is significant need for principled uncertainty reasoning in machine learning systems as they are increasingly deployed in safety-critical domains. A new approach with uncertainty-aware neural networks (NNs), based on learning evidential distributions for aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties, shows promise over traditional deterministic methods and typical Bayesian NNs, yet several important gaps in the theory and implementation of these networks remain. We discuss three issues with a proposed solution to extract aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties from regression-based neural networks. The approach derives a technique by placing evidential priors over the original Gaussian likelihood function and training the NN to infer the hyperparameters of the evidential distribution. Doing so allows for the simultaneous extraction of both uncertainties without sampling or utilization of out-of-distribution data for univariate regression tasks. We describe the outstanding issues in detail, provide a possible solution, and generalize the deep evidential regression technique for multivariate cases.
Sequential Embedding Induced Text Clustering, a Non-parametric Bayesian Approach
Duan, Tiehang, Lou, Qi, Srihari, Sargur N., Xie, Xiaohui
Current state-of-the-art nonparametric Bayesian text clustering methods model documents through multinomial distribution on bags of words. Although these methods can effectively utilize the word burstiness representation of documents and achieve decent performance, they do not explore the sequential information of text and relationships among synonyms. In this paper, the documents are modeled as the joint of bags of words, sequential features and word embeddings. We proposed Sequential Embedding induced Dirichlet Process Mixture Model (SiDPMM) to effectively exploit this joint document representation in text clustering. The sequential features are extracted by the encoder-decoder component. Word embeddings produced by the continuous-bag-of-words (CBOW) model are introduced to handle synonyms. Experimental results demonstrate the benefits of our model in two major aspects: 1) improved performance across multiple diverse text datasets in terms of the normalized mutual information (NMI); 2) more accurate inference of ground truth cluster numbers with regularization effect on tiny outlier clusters.