Wind energy significantly contributes to the global shift towards renewable energy, yet operational challenges, such as Leading-Edge Erosion on wind turbine blades, notably reduce energy output. This study introduces an advanced, scalable machine learning framework for condition monitoring of wind turbines, specifically targeting improved detection of anomalies using Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition data. The framework effectively isolates normal turbine behavior through rigorous preprocessing, incorporating domain-specific rules and anomaly detection filters, including Gaussian Mixture Models and a predictive power score. The data cleaning and feature selection process enables identification of deviations indicative of performance degradation, facilitating estimates of annual energy production losses. The data preprocessing methods resulted in significant data reduction, retaining on average 31% of the original SCADA data per wind farm. Notably, 24 out of 35 turbines exhibited clear performance declines. At the same time, seven improved, and four showed no significant changes when employing the power curve feature set, which consisted of wind speed and ambient temperature. Models such as Random Forest, XGBoost, and KNN consistently captured subtle but persistent declines in turbine performance. The developed framework provides a novel approach to existing condition monitoring methodologies by isolating normal operational data and estimating annual energy loss, which can be a key part in reducing maintenance expenditures and mitigating economic impacts from turbine downtime.

Federated Learning has emerged as a promising approach to train machine learning models on decentralized data sources while preserving data privacy. This paper proposes a new federated approach for Naive Bayes (NB) classification, assuming discrete variables. Our approach federates a discriminative variant of NB, sharing meaningless parameters instead of conditional probability tables. Therefore, this process is more reliable against possible attacks. We conduct extensive experiments on 12 datasets to validate the efficacy of our approach, comparing federated and non-federated settings. Additionally, we benchmark our method against the generative variant of NB, which serves as a baseline for comparison. Our experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in achieving accurate classification.

Mostofa Akbar Department of CSE Bangladesh University of Engineering & T echnology Dhaka, Bangladesh mostofa@cse.buet.ac.bd Abstract --Emotion artificial intelligence is a field of study that focuses on figuring out how to recognize emotions, especially in the area of text mining. T oday is the age of social media which has opened a door for us to share our individual expressions, emotions, and perspectives on any event. We can analyze sentiment on social media posts to detect positive, negative, or emotional behavior toward society. One of the key challenges in sentiment analysis is to identify depressed text from social media text that is a root cause of mental ill-health. Furthermore, depression leads to severe impairment in day-to-day living and is a major source of suicide incidents. In this paper, we apply natural language processing techniques on Facebook texts for conducting emotion analysis focusing on depression using multiple machine learning algorithms. Preprocessing steps like stemming, stop word removal, etc. are used to clean the collected data, and feature extraction techniques like stylometric feature, TF-IDF, word embedding, etc. are applied to the collected dataset which consists of 983 texts collected from social media posts. In the process of class prediction, LSTM, GRU, support vector machine, and Naive-Bayes classifiers have been used. We have presented the results using the primary classification metrics including F1-score, and accuracy. This work focuses on depression detection from social media posts to help psychologists to analyze sentiment from shared posts which may reduce the undesirable behaviors of depressed individuals through diagnosis and treatment. I NTRODUCTION Text is the most important means of communication in today's world. Popular online social networking sites such as Facebook, Twitter, MySpace, etc. are mainly text-based. The rapid growth of Social Media has created enough opportunities to share information across time and space. Users are now comfortable contributing more to the content of social media websites and posting their own material. The emergence of internet-based media sources has resulted in the availability of substantial user data for the emotional analysis of text and images.

Matrix completion focuses on recovering missing or incomplete information in matrices. This problem arises in various applications, including image processing and network analysis. Previous research proposed Poisson matrix completion for count data with noise that follows a Poisson distribution, which assumes that the mean and variance are equal. Since overdispersed count data, whose variance is greater than the mean, is more likely to occur in realistic settings, we assume that the noise follows the negative binomial (NB) distribution, which can be more general than the Poisson distribution. In this paper, we introduce NB matrix completion by proposing a nuclear-norm regularized model that can be solved by proximal gradient descent. In our experiments, we demonstrate that the NB model outperforms Poisson matrix completion in various noise and missing data settings on real data.

A common problem in natural sciences is the comparison of competing models in the light of observed data. Bayesian model comparison provides a statistically sound framework for this comparison based on the evidence each model provides for the data. However, this framework relies on the calculation of likelihood functions which are intractable for most models used in practice. Previous approaches in the field of Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) circumvent the evaluation of the likelihood and estimate the model evidence based on rejection sampling, but they are typically computationally intense. Here, I propose a new efficient method to perform Bayesian model comparison in ABC. Based on recent advances in posterior density estimation, the method approximates the posterior over models in parametric form. In particular, I train a mixture-density network to map features of the observed data to the posterior probability of the models. The performance is assessed with two examples. On a tractable model comparison problem, the underlying exact posterior probabilities are predicted accurately. In a use-case scenario from computational neuroscience -- the comparison between two ion channel models -- the underlying ground-truth model is reliably assigned a high posterior probability. Overall, the method provides a new efficient way to perform Bayesian model comparison on complex biophysical models independent of the model architecture.

Naive Bayes(NB) is one of the essential algorithms in data mining. However, it is rarely used in reality because of the attribute independent assumption. Researchers have proposed many improved NB methods to alleviate this assumption. Among these methods, due to high efficiency and easy implementation, the filter attribute weighted NB methods receive great attentions. However, there still exists several challenges, such as the poor representation ability for single index and the fusion problem of two indexes. To overcome above challenges, we propose a general framework for Adaptive Two-index Fusion attribute weighted NB(ATFNB). Two types of data description category are used to represent the correlation between classes and attributes, intercorrelation between attributes and attributes, respectively. ATFNB can select any one index from each category. Then, we introduce a switching factor \{beta} to fuse two indexes, which can adaptively adjust the optimal ratio of the two index on various datasets. And a quick algorithm is proposed to infer the optimal interval of switching factor \{beta}. Finally, the weight of each attribute is calculated using the optimal value \{beta} and is integrated into NB classifier to improve the accuracy. The experimental results on 50 benchmark datasets and a Flavia dataset show that ATFNB outperforms the basic NB and state-of-the-art filter weighted NB models. In addition, the ATFNB framework can improve the existing two-index NB model by introducing the adaptive switching factor \{beta}. Auxiliary experimental results demonstrate the improved model significantly increases the accuracy compared to the original model without the adaptive switching factor \{beta}.

Spatial count data models are used to explain and predict the frequency of phenomena such as traffic accidents in geographically distinct entities such as census tracts or road segments. These models are typically estimated using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation methods, which, however, are computationally expensive and do not scale well to large datasets. Variational Bayes (VB), a method from machine learning, addresses the shortcomings of MCMC by casting Bayesian estimation as an optimisation problem instead of a simulation problem. Considering all these advantages of VB, a VB method is derived for posterior inference in negative binomial models with unobserved parameter heterogeneity and spatial dependence. P\'olya-Gamma augmentation is used to deal with the non-conjugacy of the negative binomial likelihood and an integrated non-factorised specification of the variational distribution is adopted to capture posterior dependencies. The benefits of the proposed approach are demonstrated in a Monte Carlo study and an empirical application on estimating youth pedestrian injury counts in census tracts of New York City. The VB approach is around 45 to 50 times faster than MCMC on a regular eight-core processor in a simulation and an empirical study, while offering similar estimation and predictive accuracy. Conditional on the availability of computational resources, the embarrassingly parallel architecture of the proposed VB method can be exploited to further accelerate its estimation by up to 20 times.

In this paper we present a new Bayesian network model for classification that combines the naive-Bayes (NB) classifier and the finite-mixture (FM) classifier. The resulting classifier aims at relaxing the strong assumptions on which the two component models are based, in an attempt to improve on their classification performance, both in terms of accuracy and in terms of calibration of the estimated probabilities. The proposed classifier is obtained by superimposing a finite mixture model on the set of feature variables of a naive Bayes model. We present experimental results that compare the predictive performance on real datasets of the new classifier with the predictive performance of the NB classifier and the FM classifier.