mixed linear regression
Expectation Maximization (EM) Converges for General Agnostic Mixtures
Mixture of linear regression is well studied in statistics and machine learning, where the data points are generated probabilistically using $k$ linear models. Algorithms like Expectation Maximization (EM) may be used to recover the ground truth regressors for this problem. Recently, in \cite{pal2022learning,ghosh_agnostic} the mixed linear regression problem is studied in the agnostic setting, where no generative model on data is assumed. Rather, given a set of data points, the objective is \emph{fit} $k$ lines by minimizing a suitable loss function. It is shown that a modification of EM, namely gradient EM converges exponentially to appropriately defined loss minimizer even in the agnostic setting. In this paper, we study the problem of \emph{fitting} $k$ parametric functions to given set of data points. We adhere to the agnostic setup. However, instead of fitting lines equipped with quadratic loss, we consider any arbitrary parametric function fitting equipped with a strongly convex and smooth loss. This framework encompasses a large class of problems including mixed linear regression (regularized), mixed linear classifiers (mixed logistic regression, mixed Support Vector Machines) and mixed generalized linear regression. We propose and analyze gradient EM for this problem and show that with proper initialization and separation condition, the iterates of gradient EM converge exponentially to appropriately defined population loss minimizers with high probability. This shows the effectiveness of EM type algorithm which converges to \emph{optimal} solution in the non-generative setup beyond mixture of linear regression.
Iterative Least Trimmed Squares for Mixed Linear Regression
Given a linear regression setting, Iterative Least Trimmed Squares (ILTS) involves alternating between (a) selecting the subset of samples with lowest current loss, and (b) re-fitting the linear model only on that subset. Both steps are very fast and simple. In this paper, we analyze ILTS in the setting of mixed linear regression with corruptions (MLR-C). We first establish deterministic conditions (on the features etc.) under which the ILTS iterate converges linearly to the closest mixture component. We also provide a global algorithm that uses ILTS as a subroutine, to fully solve mixed linear regressions with corruptions. We then evaluate it for the widely studied setting of isotropic Gaussian features, and establish that we match or better existing results in terms of sample complexity. Finally, we provide an ODE analysis for a gradient-descent variant of ILTS that has optimal time complexity. Our results provide initial theoretical evidence that iteratively fitting to the best subset of samples -- a potentially widely applicable idea -- can provably provide state of the art performance in bad training data settings.
Iterative Least Trimmed Squares for Mixed Linear Regression
Given a linear regression setting, Iterative Least Trimmed Squares (ILTS) involves alternating between (a) selecting the subset of samples with lowest current loss, and (b) re-fitting the linear model only on that subset. Both steps are very fast and simple. In this paper, we analyze ILTS in the setting of mixed linear regression with corruptions (MLR-C). We first establish deterministic conditions (on the features etc.) under which the ILTS iterate converges linearly to the closest mixture component. We also provide a global algorithm that uses ILTS as a subroutine, to fully solve mixed linear regressions with corruptions.
Agnostic Learning of Mixed Linear Regressions with EM and AM Algorithms
Ghosh, Avishek, Mazumdar, Arya
Mixed linear regression is a well-studied problem in parametric statistics and machine learning. Given a set of samples, tuples of covariates and labels, the task of mixed linear regression is to find a small list of linear relationships that best fit the samples. Usually it is assumed that the label is generated stochastically by randomly selecting one of two or more linear functions, applying this chosen function to the covariates, and potentially introducing noise to the result. In that situation, the objective is to estimate the ground-truth linear functions up to some parameter error. The popular expectation maximization (EM) and alternating minimization (AM) algorithms have been previously analyzed for this. In this paper, we consider the more general problem of agnostic learning of mixed linear regression from samples, without such generative models. In particular, we show that the AM and EM algorithms, under standard conditions of separability and good initialization, lead to agnostic learning in mixed linear regression by converging to the population loss minimizers, for suitably defined loss functions. In some sense, this shows the strength of AM and EM algorithms that converges to ``optimal solutions'' even in the absence of realizable generative models.
Mixed Regression via Approximate Message Passing
Tan, Nelvin, Venkataramanan, Ramji
We study the problem of regression in a generalized linear model (GLM) with multiple signals and latent variables. This model, which we call a matrix GLM, covers many widely studied problems in statistical learning, including mixed linear regression, max-affine regression, and mixture-of-experts. In mixed linear regression, each observation comes from one of $L$ signal vectors (regressors), but we do not know which one; in max-affine regression, each observation comes from the maximum of $L$ affine functions, each defined via a different signal vector. The goal in all these problems is to estimate the signals, and possibly some of the latent variables, from the observations. We propose a novel approximate message passing (AMP) algorithm for estimation in a matrix GLM and rigorously characterize its performance in the high-dimensional limit. This characterization is in terms of a state evolution recursion, which allows us to precisely compute performance measures such as the asymptotic mean-squared error. The state evolution characterization can be used to tailor the AMP algorithm to take advantage of any structural information known about the signals. Using state evolution, we derive an optimal choice of AMP `denoising' functions that minimizes the estimation error in each iteration. The theoretical results are validated by numerical simulations for mixed linear regression, max-affine regression, and mixture-of-experts. For max-affine regression, we propose an algorithm that combines AMP with expectation-maximization to estimate intercepts of the model along with the signals. The numerical results show that AMP significantly outperforms other estimators for mixed linear regression and max-affine regression in most parameter regimes.
Imbalanced Mixed Linear Regression
We consider the problem of mixed linear regression (MLR), where each observed sample belongs to one of $K$ unknown linear models. In practical applications, the proportions of the $K$ components are often imbalanced. Unfortunately, most MLR methods do not perform well in such settings. Motivated by this practical challenge, in this work we propose Mix-IRLS, a novel, simple and fast algorithm for MLR with excellent performance on both balanced and imbalanced mixtures. In contrast to popular approaches that recover the $K$ models simultaneously, Mix-IRLS does it sequentially using tools from robust regression. Empirically, Mix-IRLS succeeds in a broad range of settings where other methods fail. These include imbalanced mixtures, small sample sizes, presence of outliers, and an unknown number of models $K$. In addition, Mix-IRLS outperforms competing methods on several real-world datasets, in some cases by a large margin. We complement our empirical results by deriving a recovery guarantee for Mix-IRLS, which highlights its advantage on imbalanced mixtures.
Estimation, Confidence Intervals, and Large-Scale Hypotheses Testing for High-Dimensional Mixed Linear Regression
Zhang, Linjun, Ma, Rong, Cai, T. Tony, Li, Hongzhe
This paper studies the high-dimensional mixed linear regression (MLR) where the output variable comes from one of the two linear regression models with an unknown mixing proportion and an unknown covariance structure of the random covariates. Building upon a high-dimensional EM algorithm, we propose an iterative procedure for estimating the two regression vectors and establish their rates of convergence. Based on the iterative estimators, we further construct debiased estimators and establish their asymptotic normality. For individual coordinates, confidence intervals centered at the debiased estimators are constructed. Furthermore, a large-scale multiple testing procedure is proposed for testing the regression coefficients and is shown to control the false discovery rate (FDR) asymptotically. Simulation studies are carried out to examine the numerical performance of the proposed methods and their superiority over existing methods. The proposed methods are further illustrated through an analysis of a dataset of multiplex image cytometry, which investigates the interaction networks among the cellular phenotypes that include the expression levels of 20 epitopes or combinations of markers.
Learning Mixtures of Low-Rank Models
Chen, Yanxi, Ma, Cong, Poor, H. Vincent, Chen, Yuxin
We study the problem of learning mixtures of low-rank models, i.e. reconstructing multiple low-rank matrices from unlabelled linear measurements of each. This problem enriches two widely studied settings -- low-rank matrix sensing and mixed linear regression -- by bringing latent variables (i.e. unknown labels) and structural priors (i.e. low-rank structures) into consideration. To cope with the non-convexity issues arising from unlabelled heterogeneous data and low-complexity structure, we develop a three-stage meta-algorithm that is guaranteed to recover the unknown matrices with near-optimal sample and computational complexities under Gaussian designs. In addition, the proposed algorithm is provably stable against random noise. We complement the theoretical studies with empirical evidence that confirms the efficacy of our algorithm.