medium 0
TiRex: Zero-Shot Forecasting Across Long and Short Horizons with Enhanced In-Context Learning
In-context learning, the ability of large language models to perform tasks using only examples provided in the prompt, has recently been adapted for time series forecasting. This paradigm enables zero-shot prediction, where past values serve as context for forecasting future values, making powerful forecasting tools accessible to non-experts and increasing the performance when training data are scarce. Most existing zero-shot forecasting approaches rely on transformer architectures, which, despite their success in language, often fall short of expectations in time series forecasting, where recurrent models like LSTMs frequently have the edge. Conversely, while LSTMs are well-suited for time series modeling due to their state-tracking capabilities, they lack strong in-context learning abilities. We introduce TiRex that closes this gap by leveraging xLSTM, an enhanced LSTM with competitive in-context learning skills. Unlike transformers, state-space models, or parallelizable RNNs such as RWKV, TiRex retains state-tracking, a critical property for long-horizon forecasting. To further facilitate its state-tracking ability, we propose a training-time masking strategy called CPM. TiRex sets a new state of the art in zero-shot time series forecasting on the HuggingFace benchmarks GiftEval and Chronos-ZS, outperforming significantly larger models including TabPFN-TS (Prior Labs), Chronos Bolt (Amazon), TimesFM (Google), and Moirai (Salesforce) across both short-and long-term forecasts.
Speaking at the Right Level: Literacy-Controlled Counterspeech Generation with RAG-RL
Song, Xiaoying, Anik, Anirban Saha, Barua, Dibakar, Luo, Pengcheng, Ding, Junhua, Hong, Lingzi
Health misinformation spreading online poses a significant threat to public health. Researchers have explored methods for automatically generating counterspeech to health misinformation as a mitigation strategy. Existing approaches often produce uniform responses, ignoring that the health literacy level of the audience could affect the accessibility and effectiveness of counterspeech. We propose a Controlled-Literacy framework using retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) with reinforcement learning (RL) to generate tailored counterspeech adapted to different health literacy levels. In particular, we retrieve knowledge aligned with specific health literacy levels, enabling accessible and factual information to support generation. We design a reward function incorporating subjective user preferences and objective readability-based rewards to optimize counterspeech to the target health literacy level. Experiment results show that Controlled-Literacy outperforms baselines by generating more accessible and user-preferred counterspeech. This research contributes to more equitable and impactful public health communication by improving the accessibility and comprehension of counterspeech to health misinformation
TiRex: Zero-Shot Forecasting Across Long and Short Horizons with Enhanced In-Context Learning
Auer, Andreas, Podest, Patrick, Klotz, Daniel, Bรถck, Sebastian, Klambauer, Gรผnter, Hochreiter, Sepp
In-context learning, the ability of large language models to perform tasks using only examples provided in the prompt, has recently been adapted for time series forecasting. This paradigm enables zero-shot prediction, where past values serve as context for forecasting future values, making powerful forecasting tools accessible to non-experts and increasing the performance when training data are scarce. Most existing zero-shot forecasting approaches rely on transformer architectures, which, despite their success in language, often fall short of expectations in time series forecasting, where recurrent models like LSTMs frequently have the edge. Conversely, while LSTMs are well-suited for time series modeling due to their state-tracking capabilities, they lack strong in-context learning abilities. We introduce TiRex that closes this gap by leveraging xLSTM, an enhanced LSTM with competitive in-context learning skills. Unlike transformers, state-space models, or parallelizable RNNs such as RWKV, TiRex retains state-tracking, a critical property for long-horizon forecasting. To further facilitate its state-tracking ability, we propose a training-time masking strategy called CPM. TiRex sets a new state of the art in zero-shot time series forecasting on the HuggingFace benchmarks GiftEval and Chronos-ZS, outperforming significantly larger models including TabPFN-TS (Prior Labs), Chronos Bolt (Amazon), TimesFM (Google), and Moirai (Salesforce) across both short- and long-term forecasts.
TempoPFN: Synthetic Pre-training of Linear RNNs for Zero-shot Time Series Forecasting
Moroshan, Vladyslav, Siems, Julien, Zela, Arber, Carstensen, Timur, Hutter, Frank
This paper presents TempoPFN, a univariate time series foundation model based on linear Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) pre-trained exclusively on synthetic data. The model uses a GatedDeltaProduct architecture with state-weaving for fully parallelizable training across sequence lengths, eliminating the need for windowing or summarization techniques while maintaining robust temporal state-tracking. Our comprehensive synthetic data pipeline unifies diverse generators--including stochastic differential equations, Gaussian processes, and audio synthesis--with novel augmentations. In zero-shot evaluations on the Gift-Eval benchmark, TempoPFN achieves top-tier competitive performance, outperforming all existing synthetic-only approaches and surpassing the majority of models trained on real-world data, while being more efficient than existing baselines by leveraging fully paralleliz-able training and inference. Recent advances in large language models have inspired foundation models for time series forecasting that enable zero-shot predictions across diverse datasets without fine-tuning (Ansari et al., 2024; Das et al., 2024; Woo et al., 2024; Auer et al., 2025). By treating historical observations as input context, these models democratize forecasting for non-experts and excel in data-scarce domains. However, current approaches face critical limitations. While non-linear RNNs like those in TiReX (Auer et al., 2025) maintain temporal state, they require sequential processing that limits scalability. Although some recent models attempt synthetic-only pre-training including ForecastPFN (Dooley et al., 2023), CauKer (Xie et al., 2024), and Mamba4Cast (Bhethanabhotla & Swelam, 2024) none reported state-of-the-art performance on the Gift-Eval benchmark. TabPFN-TS (Hoo et al., 2024), which adapts a tabular foundation model to time series, achieves strong Gift-Eval performance but does not release its synthetic pre-training data, limiting reproducibility and extensibility. Figure 1: (Left) Synthetic Data Generation pipeline containing a mix of novel and existing time-series generators are augmented with a diverse set of augmentations to produce the time-series used for training. We introduce T empoPFN (see Table 1 and Figure 1), a time series forecasting foundation model using linear RNNs with GatedDeltaProduct recurrence (Siems et al., 2025) for parallelizable training and inference across the sequence length. Unlike TiRex (Auer et al., 2025) which argued that non-linear RNNs like sLSTM are necessary for time-series forecasting due to their state-tracking capabilities we find that linear RNNs based on the GatedDeltaProduct recurrence are sufficient, in line with recent research demonstrating how linear RNNs can perform state-tracking (Grazzi et al., 2025).
Xihe: Scalable Zero-Shot Time Series Learner Via Hierarchical Interleaved Block Attention
Sun, Yinbo, Fang, Yuchen, Zhu, Zhibo, Li, Jia, Liu, Yu, Deng, Qiwen, Zhou, Jun, Yu, Hang, Lu, Xingyu, Ma, Lintao
The rapid advancement of time series foundation models (TSFMs) has been propelled by migrating architectures from language models. While existing TSFMs demonstrate impressive performance, their direct adoption of cross-domain architectures constrains effective capture of multiscale temporal dependencies inherent to time series data. This limitation becomes particularly pronounced during zero-shot transfer across datasets with divergent underlying patterns and sampling strategies. To address these challenges, we propose Hierarchical Interleaved Block Attention (HIBA) which employs hierarchical inter- and intra-block sparse attention to effectively capture multi-scale dependencies. Intra-block attention facilitates local information exchange, and inter-block attention operates across blocks to capture global temporal pattern interaction and dynamic evolution. Leveraging the HIBA architecture, we introduce Xihe, a scalable TSFM family spanning from an ultra-efficient 9.5M parameter configuration to high-capacity 1.5B variant. Evaluated on the comprehensive GIFT-Eval benchmark, our most compact Xihe-tiny model (9.5M) surpasses the majority of contemporary TSFMs, demonstrating remarkable parameter efficiency. More impressively, Xihe-max (1.5B) establishes new state-of-the-art zero-shot performance, surpassing previous best results by a substantial margin. This consistent performance excellence across the entire parameter spectrum provides compelling evidence for the exceptional generalization capabilities and architectural superiority of HIBA.
MESH -- Understanding Videos Like Human: Measuring Hallucinations in Large Video Models
Yang, Garry, Chen, Zizhe, Wong, Man Hon, Lei, Haoyu, Chen, Yongqiang, Li, Zhenguo, Zhou, Kaiwen, Cheng, James
Large Video Models (LVMs) build on the semantic capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) and vision modules by integrating temporal information to better understand dynamic video content. Despite their progress, LVMs are prone to hallucinations-producing inaccurate or irrelevant descriptions. Current benchmarks for video hallucination depend heavily on manual categorization of video content, neglecting the perception-based processes through which humans naturally interpret videos. We introduce MESH, a benchmark designed to evaluate hallucinations in LVMs systematically. MESH uses a Question-Answering framework with binary and multi-choice formats incorporating target and trap instances. It follows a bottom-up approach, evaluating basic objects, coarse-to-fine subject features, and subject-action pairs, aligning with human video understanding. We demonstrate that MESH offers an effective and comprehensive approach for identifying hallucinations in videos. Our evaluations show that while LVMs excel at recognizing basic objects and features, their susceptibility to hallucinations increases markedly when handling fine details or aligning multiple actions involving various subjects in longer videos.
Performance of GPT-5 Frontier Models in Ophthalmology Question Answering
Antaki, Fares, Mikhail, David, Milad, Daniel, Mammo, Danny A, Sharma, Sumit, Srivastava, Sunil K, Chen, Bing Yu, Touma, Samir, Sevgi, Mertcan, El-Khoury, Jonathan, Keane, Pearse A, Chen, Qingyu, Tham, Yih Chung, Duval, Renaud
Importance: Novel large language models (LLMs) such as GPT-5 integrate advanced reasoning capabilities that may enhance performance on complex medical question-answering tasks. For this latest generation of reasoning models, the configurations that maximize both accuracy and cost-efficiency have yet to be established. Objective: To evaluate the performance and cost-accuracy trade-offs of OpenAI's GPT-5 compared to previous generation LLMs on ophthalmological question answering. Design, Setting, and Participants: In August 2025, 12 configurations of OpenAI's GPT-5 series (three model tiers across four reasoning effort settings) were evaluated alongside o1-high, o3-high, and GPT-4o, using 260 closed-access multiple-choice questions from the AAO Basic Clinical Science Course (BCSC) dataset. The study did not include human participants. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was accuracy on the 260-item ophthalmology multiple-choice question set for each model configuration. Secondary outcomes included head-to-head ranking of configurations using a Bradley-Terry (BT) model applied to paired win/loss comparisons of answer accuracy, and evaluation of generated natural language rationales using a reference-anchored, pairwise LLM-as-a-judge framework. Additional analyses assessed the accuracy-cost trade-off by calculating mean per-question cost from token usage and identifying Pareto-efficient configurations. Results: The configuration GPT-5-high achieved the highest accuracy (0.965; 95% CI, 0.942-0.985),
Schema Lineage Extraction at Scale: Multilingual Pipelines, Composite Evaluation, and Language-Model Benchmarks
Yin, Jiaqi, Chen, Yi-Wei, Lee, Meng-Lung, Liu, Xiya
Enterprise data pipelines, characterized by complex transformations across multiple programming languages, often cause a semantic disconnect between original metadata and downstream data. This "semantic drift" compromises data reproducibility and governance, and impairs the utility of services like retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) and text-to-SQL systems. To address this, a novel framework is proposed for the automated extraction of fine-grained schema lineage from multilingual enterprise pipeline scripts. This method identifies four key components: source schemas, source tables, transformation logic, and aggregation operations, creating a standardized representation of data transformations. For the rigorous evaluation of lineage quality, this paper introduces the Schema Lineage Composite Evaluation (SLiCE), a metric that assesses both structural correctness and semantic fidelity. A new benchmark is also presented, comprising 1,700 manually annotated lineages from real-world industrial scripts. Experiments were conducted with 12 language models, from 1.3B to 32B small language models (SLMs) to large language models (LLMs) like GPT-4o and GPT-4.1. The results demonstrate that the performance of schema lineage extraction scales with model size and the sophistication of prompting techniques. Specially, a 32B open-source model, using a single reasoning trace, can achieve performance comparable to the GPT series under standard prompting. This finding suggests a scalable and economical approach for deploying schema-aware agents in practical applications.
Do Large Language Models Understand Morality Across Cultures?
Mohammadi, Hadi, Meijer, Yasmeen F. S. S., Papadopoulou, Efthymia, Bagheri, Ayoub
Recent advancements in large language models (LLMs) have established them as powerful tools across numerous domains. However, persistent concerns about embedded biases, such as gender, racial, and cultural biases arising from their training data, raise significant questions about the ethical use and societal consequences of these technologies. This study investigates the extent to which LLMs capture cross-cultural differences and similarities in moral perspectives. Specifically, we examine whether LLM outputs align with patterns observed in international survey data on moral attitudes. To this end, we employ three complementary methods: (1) comparing variances in moral scores produced by models versus those reported in surveys, (2) conducting cluster alignment analyses to assess correspondence between country groupings derived from LLM outputs and survey data, and (3) directly probing models with comparative prompts using systematically chosen token pairs. Our results reveal that current LLMs often fail to reproduce the full spectrum of cross-cultural moral variation, tending to compress differences and exhibit low alignment with empirical survey patterns. These findings highlight a pressing need for more robust approaches to mitigate biases and improve cultural representativeness in LLMs. We conclude by discussing the implications for the responsible development and global deployment of LLMs, emphasizing fairness and ethical alignment.
Dance Dance ConvLSTM
\textit{Dance Dance Revolution} is a rhythm game consisting of songs and accompanying choreography, referred to as charts. Players press arrows on a device referred to as a dance pad in time with steps determined by the song's chart. In 2017, the authors of Dance Dance Convolution (DDC) developed an algorithm for the automatic generation of \textit{Dance Dance Revolution} charts, utilizing a CNN-LSTM architecture. We introduce Dance Dance ConvLSTM (DDCL), a new method for the automatic generation of DDR charts using a ConvLSTM based model, which improves upon the DDC methodology and substantially increases the accuracy of chart generation.