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Google, the sleeping giant in global AI race, now 'fully awake'

The Japan Times

Google is one of the few companies that produces what the industry calls the full stack in computing, and it has a data goldmine for constructing AI models from its search index, Android phones and YouTube. Since the launch of ChatGPT three years ago, analysts and technologists -- even a Google engineer and the company's former chief executive -- have declared Google behind in the high-stakes race to develop artificial intelligence. The internet giant has released new AI software and struck deals, such as a chip tie-up with Anthropic PBC, that have reassured investors the company won't easily lose to ChatGPT creator OpenAI and other rivals. Google's newest multipurpose model, Gemini 3, won immediate praise for its capabilities in reasoning and coding, as well as niche tasks that have tripped up AI chatbots. Google's cloud business, once an also-ran, is growing steadily, thanks in part to the global rush to develop AI services and demand for compute.


The mind-boggling valuations of AI companies

The Guardian

Microsoft are building a data center in Wales. Microsoft are building a data center in Wales. Tue 4 Nov 2025 10.00 ESTLast modified on Tue 4 Nov 2025 10.01 EST If you like reading our newsletter, forward this email to five friends with a demand they sign up like itâ s a chain letter warning of bad luck for five years. In this weekâ s news, AI companies hit mind-boggling financial milestones such as a $5tn valuation, a $100bn quarter, and a string of deals worth nearly $600bn. Last week, the chipmaker Nvidia hit a valuation of $5tn.


Web3 x AI Agents: Landscape, Integrations, and Foundational Challenges

Shen, Yiming, Zhang, Jiashuo, Shao, Zhenzhe, Luo, Wenxuan, Wang, Yanlin, Chen, Ting, Zheng, Zibin, Chen, Jiachi

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The convergence of Web3 technologies and AI agents represents a rapidly evolving frontier poised to reshape decentralized ecosystems. This paper presents the first and most comprehensive analysis of the intersection between Web3 and AI agents, examining five critical dimensions: landscape, economics, governance, security, and trust mechanisms. Through an analysis of 133 existing projects, we first develop a taxonomy and systematically map the current market landscape (RQ1), identifying distinct patterns in project distribution and capitalization. Building upon these findings, we further investigate four key integrations: (1) the role of AI agents in participating in and optimizing decentralized finance (RQ2); (2) their contribution to enhancing Web3 governance mechanisms (RQ3); (3) their capacity to strengthen Web3 security via intelligent vulnerability detection and automated smart contract auditing (RQ4); and (4) the establishment of robust reliability frameworks for AI agent operations leveraging Web3's inherent trust infrastructure (RQ5). By synthesizing these dimensions, we identify key integration patterns, highlight foundational challenges related to scalability, security, and ethics, and outline critical considerations for future research toward building robust, intelligent, and trustworthy decentralized systems with effective AI agent interactions.


EconAgentic in DePIN Markets: A Large Language Model Approach to the Sharing Economy of Decentralized Physical Infrastructure

Liu, Yulin, Schweitzer, Mocca

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Decentralized Physical Infrastructure (DePIN) market is revolutionizing the sharing economy through token-based economics and smart contracts that govern decentralized operations. By 2024, DePIN projects have exceeded \$10 billion in market capitalization, underscoring their rapid growth. However, the unregulated nature of these markets, coupled with the autonomous deployment of AI agents in smart contracts, introduces risks such as inefficiencies and potential misalignment with human values. To address these concerns, we introduce EconAgentic, a Large Language Model (LLM)-powered framework designed to mitigate these challenges. Our research focuses on three key areas: 1) modeling the dynamic evolution of DePIN markets, 2) evaluating stakeholders' actions and their economic impacts, and 3) analyzing macroeconomic indicators to align market outcomes with societal goals. Through EconAgentic, we simulate how AI agents respond to token incentives, invest in infrastructure, and adapt to market conditions, comparing AI-driven decisions with human heuristic benchmarks. Our results show that EconAgentic provides valuable insights into the efficiency, inclusion, and stability of DePIN markets, contributing to both academic understanding and practical improvements in the design and governance of decentralized, tokenized economies.


Beyond the Reported Cutoff: Where Large Language Models Fall Short on Financial Knowledge

Shah, Agam, Ye, Liqin, Jaskowski, Sebastian, Xu, Wei, Chava, Sudheer

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large Language Models (LLMs) are frequently utilized as sources of knowledge for question-answering. While it is known that LLMs may lack access to real-time data or newer data produced after the model's cutoff date, it is less clear how their knowledge spans across historical information. In this study, we assess the breadth of LLMs' knowledge using financial data of U.S. publicly traded companies by evaluating more than 197k questions and comparing model responses to factual data. We further explore the impact of company characteristics, such as size, retail investment, institutional attention, and readability of financial filings, on the accuracy of knowledge represented in LLMs. Our results reveal that LLMs are less informed about past financial performance, but they display a stronger awareness of larger companies and more recent information. Interestingly, at the same time, our analysis also reveals that LLMs are more likely to hallucinate for larger companies, especially for data from more recent years. The code, prompts, and model outputs are available on GitHub.


From On-chain to Macro: Assessing the Importance of Data Source Diversity in Cryptocurrency Market Forecasting

Demosthenous, Giorgos, Georgiou, Chryssis, Polydorou, Eliada

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study investigates the impact of data source diversity on the performance of cryptocurrency forecasting models by integrating various data categories, including technical indicators, on-chain metrics, sentiment and interest metrics, traditional market indices, and macroeconomic indicators. We introduce the Crypto100 index, representing the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, and propose a novel feature reduction algorithm to identify the most impactful and resilient features from diverse data sources. Our comprehensive experiments demonstrate that data source diversity significantly enhances the predictive performance of forecasting models across different time horizons. Key findings include the paramount importance of on-chain metrics for both short-term and long-term predictions, the growing relevance of traditional market indices and macroeconomic indicators for longer-term forecasts, and substantial improvements in model accuracy when diverse data sources are utilized. These insights help demystify the short-term and long-term driving factors of the cryptocurrency market and lay the groundwork for developing more accurate and resilient forecasting models.


The Hype Index: an NLP-driven Measure of Market News Attention

Cao, Zheng, Wunkaew, Wanchaloem, Geman, Helyette

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Natural Language Processing (NLP) has become an increasingly powerful tool in finance, transforming how researchers and practitioners extract predictive signals from unstructured text. With the rise of real-time news feeds and scalable NLP models, media content now plays a central role in market forecasting, risk management, and behavioral analysis. This paper contributes to that growing body of literature by introducing a novel framework for measuring media-driven attention in equities: the Hype Index. Our approach begins with the construction of a News Count-Based Hype Index, which quantifies the relative media exposure of each stock or sector by calculating its share of daily financial news coverage within the S&P 100 universe. This measure captures how disproportionately a given asset appears in financial media, independent of its economic footprint. To address size-related bias and better isolate disproportionate attention, we introduce the Capitalization Adjusted Hype Index. Defined as the ratio of a stock's or sector's news count weight to its market capitalization weight within its peer cluster, this adjusted index reflects deviations from a benchmark of proportionality. In doing so, it highlights assets that receive media attention in excess of what would be expected based on their economic size.


CryptoPulse: Short-Term Cryptocurrency Forecasting with Dual-Prediction and Cross-Correlated Market Indicators

Kumar, Amit, Ji, Taoran

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

--Cryptocurrencies fluctuate in markets with high price volatility, which becomes a great challenge for investors. T o aid investors in making informed decisions, systems predicting cryptocurrency market movements have been developed, commonly framed as feature-driven regression problems that focus solely on historical patterns favored by domain experts. However, these methods overlook three critical factors that significantly influence the cryptocurrency market dynamics: 1) the macro investing environment, reflected in major cryp-tocurrency fluctuations, which can affect investors collaborative behaviors, 2) overall market sentiment, heavily influenced by news, which impacts investors strategies, and 3) technical indicators, which offer insights into overbought or oversold conditions, momentum, and market trends are often ignored despite their relevance in shaping short-term price movements. In this paper, we propose a dual prediction mechanism that enables the model to forecast the next day's closing price by incorporating macroeconomic fluctuations, technical indicators, and individual cryptocurrency price changes. Furthermore, we introduce a novel refinement mechanism that enhances the prediction through market sentiment-based rescaling and fusion. In experiments, the proposed model achieves state-of-the-art performance (SOT A), consistently outperforming ten comparison methods in most cases. Cryptocurrencies have recently become a topic of conversation due to their great impact on the financial world. This heightened attention is fueled by several factors including the sudden drops and shocks in cryptocurrency markets [1], which offer opportunities for substantial returns, and the innovative technologies underpinning these assets, such as Blockchain [2], [3]. Unlike traditional financial markets such as bonds and stocks, the cryptocurrency market is characterized by a comparatively smaller market capitalization and pronounced volatility in short-term fluctuations [4], creating a unique and challenging investment landscape. This volatility stems from a complex interplay of factors that perpetuate a self-fulfilling cycle.


Comparative Study of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Quantum Long Short-Term Memory (QLSTM): Prediction of Stock Market Movement

Mahmood, Tariq, Ahmad, Ibtasam, Ansar, Malik Muhammad Zeeshan, Darwish, Jumanah Ahmed, Sherwani, Rehan Ahmad Khan

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, financial analysts have been trying to develop models to predict the movement of a stock price index. The task becomes challenging in vague economic, social, and political situations like in Pakistan. In this study, we employed efficient models of machine learning such as long short-term memory (LSTM) and quantum long short-term memory (QLSTM) to predict the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) 100 index by taking monthly data of twenty-six economic, social, political, and administrative indicators from February 2004 to December 2020. The comparative results of LSTM and QLSTM predicted values of the KSE 100 index with the actual values suggested QLSTM a potential technique to predict stock market trends.


Pump and Dumps in the Bitcoin Era: Real Time Detection of Cryptocurrency Market Manipulations

La Morgia, Massimo, Mei, Alessandro, Sassi, Francesco, Stefa, Julinda

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the last years, cryptocurrencies are increasingly popular. Even people who are not experts have started to invest in these securities and nowadays cryptocurrency exchanges process transactions for over 100 billion US dollars per month. However, many cryptocurrencies have low liquidity and therefore they are highly prone to market manipulation schemes. In this paper, we perform an in-depth analysis of pump and dump schemes organized by communities over the Internet. We observe how these communities are organized and how they carry out the fraud. Then, we report on two case studies related to pump and dump groups. Lastly, we introduce an approach to detect the fraud in real time that outperforms the current state of the art, so to help investors stay out of the market when a pump and dump scheme is in action.