marginal problem
On Probabilistic Embeddings in Optimal Dimension Reduction
Dimension reduction algorithms are a crucial part of many data science pipelines, including data exploration, feature creation and selection, and denoising. Despite their wide utilization, many non-linear dimension reduction algorithms are poorly understood from a theoretical perspective. In this work we consider a generalized version of multidimensional scaling, which is posed as an optimization problem in which a mapping from a high-dimensional feature space to a lower-dimensional embedding space seeks to preserve either inner products or norms of the distribution in feature space, and which encompasses many commonly used dimension reduction algorithms. We analytically investigate the variational properties of this problem, leading to the following insights: 1) Solutions found using standard particle descent methods may lead to non-deterministic embeddings, 2) A relaxed or probabilistic formulation of the problem admits solutions with easily interpretable necessary conditions, 3) The globally optimal solutions to the relaxed problem actually must give a deterministic embedding. This progression of results mirrors the classical development of optimal transportation, and in a case relating to the Gromov-Wasserstein distance actually gives explicit insight into the structure of the optimal embeddings, which are parametrically determined and discontinuous. Finally, we illustrate that a standard computational implementation of this task does not learn deterministic embeddings, which means that it learns sub-optimal mappings, and that the embeddings learned in that context have highly misleading clustering structure, underscoring the delicate nature of solving this problem computationally.
Lifted Weight Learning of Markov Logic Networks Revisited
Kuzelka, Ondrej, Kungurtsev, Vyacheslav
In this paper, we complete the work of [14] by answering We study lifted weight learning of Markov whether maximum-likelihood learning of MLNs logic networks. We show that there is an algorithm can be done in time polynomial in the size of the domain for maximum-likelihood learning of for 2-variable MLNs. We give a positive answer 2-variable Markov logic networks which runs to this question (Theorem 11), under consideration of in time polynomial in the domain size. Our the dependence of the runtime bounds on how extreme results are based on existing lifted-inference the statistics of the training data are. To arrive at this algorithms and recent algorithmic results on positive result, we need to combine results from three computing maximum entropy distributions.
Relational Marginal Problems: Theory and Estimation
Kuลพelka, Ondลej (Cardiff University) | Wang, Yuyi (ETH Zurich) | Davis, Jesse (KU Leuven) | Schockaert, Steven (Cardiff University)
In the propositional setting, the marginal problem is to find a (maximum-entropy) distribution that has some given marginals. We study this problem in a relational setting and make the following contributions. First, we compare two different notions of relational marginals. Second, we show a duality between the resulting relational marginal problems and the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of relational models, which generalizes a well-known duality from the propositional setting. Third, by exploiting the relational marginal formulation, we present a statistically sound method to learn the parameters of relational models that will be applied in settings where the number of constants differs between the training and test data. Furthermore, based on a relational generalization of marginal polytopes, we characterize cases where the standard estimators based on feature's number of true groundings needs to be adjusted and we quantitatively characterize the consequences of these adjustments. Fourth, we prove bounds on expected errors of the estimated parameters, which allows us to lower-bound, among other things, the effective sample size of relational training data.
The Inflation Technique for Causal Inference with Latent Variables
Wolfe, Elie, Spekkens, Robert W., Fritz, Tobias
The problem of causal inference is to determine if a given probability distribution on observed variables is compatible with some causal structure. The difficult case is when the causal structure includes latent variables. We here introduce the $\textit{inflation technique}$ for tackling this problem. An inflation of a causal structure is a new causal structure that can contain multiple copies of each of the original variables, but where the ancestry of each copy mirrors that of the original. To every distribution of the observed variables that is compatible with the original causal structure, we assign a family of marginal distributions on certain subsets of the copies that are compatible with the inflated causal structure. It follows that compatibility constraints for the inflation can be translated into compatibility constraints for the original causal structure. Even if the constraints at the level of inflation are weak, such as observable statistical independences implied by disjoint causal ancestry, the translated constraints can be strong. We apply this method to derive new inequalities whose violation by a distribution witnesses that distribution's incompatibility with the causal structure (of which Bell inequalities and Pearl's instrumental inequality are prominent examples). We describe an algorithm for deriving all such inequalities for the original causal structure that follow from ancestral independences in the inflation. For three observed binary variables with pairwise common causes, it yields inequalities that are stronger in at least some aspects than those obtainable by existing methods. We also describe an algorithm that derives a weaker set of inequalities but is more efficient. Finally, we discuss which inflations are such that the inequalities one obtains from them remain valid even for quantum (and post-quantum) generalizations of the notion of a causal model.
M-DPOP: Faithful Distributed Implementation of Efficient Social Choice Problems
Petcu, A., Faltings, B., Parkes, D. C.
In the efficient social choice problem, the goal is to assign values, subject to side constraints, to a set of variables to maximize the total utility across a population of agents, where each agent has private information about its utility function. In this paper we model the social choice problem as a distributed constraint optimization problem (DCOP), in which each agent can communicate with other agents that share an interest in one or more variables. Whereas existing DCOP algorithms can be easily manipulated by an agent, either by misreporting private information or deviating from the algorithm, we introduce M-DPOP, the first DCOP algorithm that provides a faithful distributed implementation for efficient social choice. This provides a concrete example of how the methods of mechanism design can be unified with those of distributed optimization. Faithfulness ensures that no agent can benefit by unilaterally deviating from any aspect of the protocol, neither information-revelation, computation, nor communication, and whatever the private information of other agents. We allow for payments by agents to a central bank, which is the only central authoritythat we require. To achieve faithfulness, we carefully integrate the Vickrey-Clarke-Groves (VCG) mechanism with the DPOP algorithm, such that each agent is only asked to perform computation, report information, and send messages that is in its own best interest. Determining agent i's payment requires solving the social choice problem without agent i. Here, we present a method to reuse computation performed in solving the main problem in a way that is robust against manipulation by the excluded agent. Experimental results on structured problems show that as much as 87% of the computation required for solving the marginal problems can be avoided by re-use, providing very good scalability in the number of agents. On unstructured problems, we observe a sensitivity of M-DPOP to the density of the problem, and we show that reusability decreases from almost 100% for very sparse problems to around 20% for highly connected problems. We close with a discussion of the features of DCOP that enable faithful implementations in this problem, the challenge of reusing computation from the main problem to marginal problems in other algorithms such as ADOPT and OptAPO, and the prospect of methods to avoid the welfare loss that can occur because of the transfer of payments to the bank.