Filled pauses (or fillers), such as "uh" and "um", are frequent in spontaneous speech and can serve as a turn-holding cue for the listener, indicating that the current speaker is not done yet. In this paper, we use the recently proposed Voice Activity Projection (VAP) model, which is a deep learning model trained to predict the dynamics of conversation, to analyse the effects of filled pauses on the expected turn-hold probability. The results show that, while filled pauses do indeed have a turn-holding effect, it is perhaps not as strong as could be expected, probably due to the redundancy of other cues. We also find that the prosodic properties and position of the filler has a significant effect on the turn-hold probability. However, contrary to what has been suggested in previous work, there is no difference between "uh" and "um" in this regard.

Intrusion Detection Systems are an important component of many organizations' cyber defense and resiliency strategies. However, one downside of these systems is their reliance on known attack signatures for detection of malicious network events. When it comes to unknown attack types and zero-day exploits, modern Intrusion Detection Systems often fall short. In this paper, we introduce an unconventional approach to identifying network traffic features that influence novelty detection based on survival analysis techniques. Specifically, we combine several Cox proportional hazards models and implement Kaplan-Meier estimates to predict the probability that a classifier identifies novelty after the injection of an unknown network attack at any given time. The proposed model is successful at pinpointing PSH Flag Count, ACK Flag Count, URG Flag Count, and Down/Up Ratio as the main features to impact novelty detection via Random Forest, Bayesian Ridge, and Linear Support Vector Regression classifiers.

Hierarchical Hidden Markov Jump Processes for Cancer Screening Modeling Rui Meng Soper Braden Jan Nygard, Mari Nygrad Herbert Lee UCSC LLNL Cancer Registry of Norway UCSC Abstract Hidden Markov jump processes are an attractive approach for modeling clinical disease progression data because they are explainable and capable of handling both irregularly sampled and noisy data. Most applications in this context consider time-homogeneous models due to their relative computational simplicity. However, the time homogeneous assumption is too strong to accurately model the natural history of many diseases. Moreover, the population at risk is not homogeneous either, since disease exposure and susceptibility can vary considerably. In this paper, we propose a piece-wise stationary transition matrix to explain the heterogeneity in time. We propose a hierarchical structure for the heterogeneity in population, where prior information is considered to deal with unbalanced data. Moreover, an efficient, scalable EM algorithm is proposed for inference. We demonstrate the feasibility and superiority of our model on a cervical cancer screening dataset from the Cancer Registry of Norway. Experiments show that our model outperforms state-of-the-art recurrent neural network models in terms of prediction accuracy and significantly outperforms a standard hidden Markov jump process in generating Kaplan-Meier estimators. 1 Introduction Population-based screening programs for identifying undiagnosed individuals have a long history in improving public health. Examples include screening pro-Preliminary work.