interval data
Ordinal classification for interval-valued data and interval-valued functional data
Alcacer, Aleix, Martínez-Garcia, Marina, Epifanio, Irene
The aim of ordinal classification is to predict the ordered labels of the output from a set of observed inputs. Interval-valued data refers to data in the form of intervals. For the first time, interval-valued data and interval-valued functional data are considered as inputs in an ordinal classification problem. Six ordinal classifiers for interval data and interval-valued functional data are proposed. Three of them are parametric, one of them is based on ordinal binary decompositions and the other two are based on ordered logistic regression. The other three methods are based on the use of distances between interval data and kernels on interval data. One of the methods uses the weighted $k$-nearest-neighbor technique for ordinal classification. Another method considers kernel principal component analysis plus an ordinal classifier. And the sixth method, which is the method that performs best, uses a kernel-induced ordinal random forest. They are compared with na\"ive approaches in an extensive experimental study with synthetic and original real data sets, about human global development, and weather data. The results show that considering ordering and interval-valued information improves the accuracy. The source code and data sets are available at https://github.com/aleixalcacer/OCFIVD.
Closed pattern mining of interval data and distributional data
Soldano, Henry, Santini, Guillaume, Zevio, Stella
We discuss pattern languages for closed pattern mining and learning of interval data and distributional data. We first introduce pattern languages relying on pairs of intersection-based constraints or pairs of inclusion based constraints, or both, applied to intervals. We discuss the encoding of such interval patterns as itemsets thus allowing to use closed itemsets mining and formal concept analysis programs. We experiment these languages on clustering and supervised learning tasks. Then we show how to extend the approach to address distributional data.
Logistic Regression Through the Veil of Imprecise Data
Logistic regression is an important statistical tool for assessing the probability of an outcome based upon some predictive variables. Standard methods can only deal with precisely known data, however many datasets have uncertainties which traditional methods either reduce to a single point or completely disregarded. In this paper we show that it is possible to include these uncertainties by considering an imprecise logistic regression model using the set of possible models that can be obtained from values from within the intervals. This has the advantage of clearly expressing the epistemic uncertainty removed by traditional methods.
Towards Handling Uncertainty-at-Source in AI -- A Review and Next Steps for Interval Regression
Kabir, Shaily, Wagner, Christian, Ellerby, Zack
Most of statistics and AI draw insights through modelling discord or variance between sources of information (i.e., inter-source uncertainty). Increasingly, however, research is focusing upon uncertainty arising at the level of individual measurements (i.e., within- or intra-source), such as for a given sensor output or human response. Here, adopting intervals rather than numbers as the fundamental data-type provides an efficient, powerful, yet challenging way forward -- offering systematic capture of uncertainty-at-source, increasing informational capacity, and ultimately potential for insight. Following recent progress in the capture of interval-valued data, including from human participants, conducting machine learning directly upon intervals is a crucial next step. This paper focuses on linear regression for interval-valued data as a recent growth area, providing an essential foundation for broader use of intervals in AI. We conduct an in-depth analysis of state-of-the-art methods, elucidating their behaviour, advantages, and pitfalls when applied to datasets with different properties. Specific emphasis is given to the challenge of preserving mathematical coherence -- i.e., ensuring that models maintain fundamental mathematical properties of intervals throughout -- and the paper puts forward extensions to an existing approach to guarantee this. Carefully designed experiments, using both synthetic and real-world data, are conducted -- with findings presented alongside novel visualizations for interval-valued regression outputs, designed to maximise model interpretability. Finally, the paper makes recommendations concerning method suitability for data sets with specific properties and highlights remaining challenges and important next steps for developing AI with the capacity to handle uncertainty-at-source.
Super-Resolution Reconstruction of Interval Energy Data
High-resolution data are desired in many data-driven applications; however, in many cases only data whose resolution is lower than expected are available due to various reasons. It is then a challenge how to obtain as much useful information as possible from the low-resolution data. In this paper, we target interval energy data collected by Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI), and propose a Super-Resolution Reconstruction (SRR) approach to upsample low-resolution (hourly) interval data into higher-resolution (15-minute) data using deep learning. Our preliminary results show that the proposed SRR approaches can achieve much improved performance compared to the baseline model.