initial orbit determination
Generalizing Trilateration: Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Initial Orbit Determination in Low-Earth Orbit
Ferreira, Ricardo, Valdeira, Filipa, Guimarães, Marta, Soares, Cláudia
With the increase in the number of active satellites and space debris in orbit, the problem of initial orbit determination (IOD) becomes increasingly important, demanding a high accuracy. Over the years, different approaches have been presented such as filtering methods (for example, Extended Kalman Filter), differential algebra or solving Lambert's problem. In this work, we consider a setting of three monostatic radars, where all available measurements are taken approximately at the same instant. This follows a similar setting as trilateration, a state-of-the-art approach, where each radar is able to obtain a single measurement of range and range-rate. Differently, and due to advances in Multiple-Input Multiple-Output (MIMO) radars, we assume that each location is able to obtain a larger set of range, angle and Doppler shift measurements. Thus, our method can be understood as an extension of trilateration leveraging more recent technology and incorporating additional data. We formulate the problem as a Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE), which for some number of observations is asymptotically unbiased and asymptotically efficient. Through numerical experiments, we demonstrate that our method attains the same accuracy as the trilateration method for the same number of measurements and offers an alternative and generalization, returning a more accurate estimation of the satellite's state vector, as the number of available measurements increases.
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Deep Learning Enabled Uncorrelated Space Observation Association
Decoto, Jacob J, Dayton, David RC
Uncorrelated optical space observation association represents a classic needle in a haystack problem. The objective being to find small groups of observations that are likely of the same resident space objects (RSOs) from amongst the much larger population of all uncorrelated observations. These observations being potentially widely disparate both temporally and with respect to the observing sensor position. By training on a large representative data set this paper shows that a deep learning enabled learned model with no encoded knowledge of physics or orbital mechanics can learn a model for identifying observations of common objects. When presented with balanced input sets of 50% matching observation pairs the learned model was able to correctly identify if the observation pairs were of the same RSO 83.1% of the time. The resulting learned model is then used in conjunction with a search algorithm on an unbalanced demonstration set of 1,000 disparate simulated uncorrelated observations and is shown to be able to successfully identify true three observation sets representing 111 out of 142 objects in the population. With most objects being identified in multiple three observation triplets. This is accomplished while only exploring 0.06% of the search space of 1.66e8 possible unique triplet combinations.
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