inference regret
Consecutive Preferential Bayesian Optimization
Erarslan, Aras, Salcedo, Carlos Sevilla, Tanskanen, Ville, Nisov, Anni, Päiväkumpu, Eero, Aisala, Heikki, Honkapää, Kaisu, Klami, Arto, Mikkola, Petrus
Preferential Bayesian optimization allows optimization of objectives that are either expensive or difficult to measure directly, by relying on a minimal number of comparative evaluations done by a human expert. Generating candidate solutions for evaluation is also often expensive, but this cost is ignored by existing methods. We generalize preference-based optimization to explicitly account for production and evaluation costs with Consecutive Preferential Bayesian Optimization, reducing production cost by constraining comparisons to involve previously generated candidates. We also account for the perceptual ambiguity of the oracle providing the feedback by incorporating a Just-Noticeable Difference threshold into a probabilistic preference model to capture indifference to small utility differences. We adapt an information-theoretic acquisition strategy to this setting, selecting new configurations that are most informative about the unknown optimum under a preference model accounting for the perceptual ambiguity. We empirically demonstrate a notable increase in accuracy in setups with high production costs or with indifference feedback.
A Broader impact
Our work proposes a novel acquisition function for Bayesian optimization. The approach is founda-tional and does not have direct societal or ethical consequences. T able 2: Hyperparameters for the generated GP sample tasks. For the synthetic test functions, 100 sampled optimal pairs are used for each acquisition function. GP hyperparameters are marginalized over for these tasks, so an equal number of optimal pairs are sampled for each hyperparameter set.
Enhancing Offline Model-Based RL via Active Model Selection: A Bayesian Optimization Perspective
Yang, Yu-Wei, Chan, Yun-Ming, Hung, Wei, Liu, Xi, Hsieh, Ping-Chun
Offline model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) serves as a competitive framework that can learn well-performing policies solely from pre-collected data with the help of learned dynamics models. To fully unleash the power of offline MBRL, model selection plays a pivotal role in determining the dynamics model utilized for downstream policy learning. However, offline MBRL conventionally relies on validation or off-policy evaluation, which are rather inaccurate due to the inherent distribution shift in offline RL. To tackle this, we propose BOMS, an active model selection framework that enhances model selection in offline MBRL with only a small online interaction budget, through the lens of Bayesian optimization (BO). Specifically, we recast model selection as BO and enable probabilistic inference in BOMS by proposing a novel model-induced kernel, which is theoretically grounded and computationally efficient. Through extensive experiments, we show that BOMS improves over the baseline methods with a small amount of online interaction comparable to only $1\%$-$2.5\%$ of offline training data on various RL tasks.
Meta-Learning Reliable Priors in the Function Space
Rothfuss, Jonas, Heyn, Dominique, Chen, Jinfan, Krause, Andreas
Meta-Learning promises to enable more data-efficient inference by harnessing previous experience from related learning tasks. While existing meta-learning methods help us to improve the accuracy of our predictions in face of data scarcity, they fail to supply reliable uncertainty estimates, often being grossly overconfident in their predictions. Addressing these shortcomings, we introduce a novel meta-learning framework, called F-PACOH, that treats meta-learned priors as stochastic processes and performs meta-level regularization directly in the function space. This allows us to directly steer the probabilistic predictions of the meta-learner towards high epistemic uncertainty in regions of insufficient meta-training data and, thus, obtain well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. Finally, we showcase how our approach can be integrated with sequential decision making, where reliable uncertainty quantification is imperative. In our benchmark study on meta-learning for Bayesian Optimization (BO), F-PACOH significantly outperforms all other meta-learners and standard baselines. Even in a challenging lifelong BO setting, where optimization tasks arrive one at a time and the meta-learner needs to build up informative prior knowledge incrementally, our proposed method demonstrates strong positive transfer.
Noisy-Input Entropy Search for Efficient Robust Bayesian Optimization
Fröhlich, Lukas P., Klenske, Edgar D., Vinogradska, Julia, Daniel, Christian, Zeilinger, Melanie N.
We consider the problem of robust optimization within the well-established Bayesian optimization (BO) framework. While BO is intrinsically robust to noisy evaluations of the objective function, standard approaches do not consider the case of uncertainty about the input parameters. In this paper, we propose Noisy-Input Entropy Search (NES), a novel information-theoretic acquisition function that is designed to find robust optima for problems with both input and measurement noise. NES is based on the key insight that the robust objective in many cases can be modeled as a Gaussian process, however, it cannot be observed directly. We evaluate NES on several benchmark problems from the optimization literature and from engineering. The results show that NES reliably finds robust optima, outperforming existing methods from the literature on all benchmarks.
Max-value Entropy Search for Efficient Bayesian Optimization
Entropy Search (ES) and Predictive Entropy Search (PES) are popular and empirically successful Bayesian Optimization techniques. Both rely on a compelling information-theoretic motivation, and maximize the information gained about the $\arg\max$ of the unknown function; yet, both are plagued by the expensive computation for estimating entropies. We propose a new criterion, Max-value Entropy Search (MES), that instead uses the information about the maximum function value. We show relations of MES to other Bayesian optimization methods, and establish a regret bound. We observe that MES maintains or improves the good empirical performance of ES/PES, while tremendously lightening the computational burden. In particular, MES is much more robust to the number of samples used for computing the entropy, and hence more efficient for higher dimensional problems.