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GenUQ: Predictive Uncertainty Estimates via Generative Hyper-Networks

Yen, Tian Yu, Jones, Reese E., Patel, Ravi G.

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Operator learning is a recently developed generalization of regression to mappings between functions. It promises to drastically reduce expensive numerical integration of PDEs to fast evaluations of mappings between functional states of a system, i.e., surrogate and reduced-order modeling. Operator learning has already found applications in several areas such as modeling sea ice, combustion, and atmospheric physics. Recent approaches towards integrating uncertainty quantification into the operator models have relied on likelihood based methods to infer parameter distributions from noisy data. However, stochastic operators may yield actions from which a likelihood is difficult or impossible to construct. In this paper, we introduce, GenUQ, a measure-theoretic approach to UQ that avoids constructing a likelihood by introducing a generative hyper-network model that produces parameter distributions consistent with observed data. We demonstrate that GenUQ outperforms other UQ methods in three example problems, recovering a manufactured operator, learning the solution operator to a stochastic elliptic PDE, and modeling the failure location of porous steel under tension.


From Documents to Database: Failure Modes for Industrial Assets

Kabakci-Zorlu, Duygu, Lorenzi, Fabio, Sheehan, John, Lynch, Karol, Eck, Bradley

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose an interactive system using foundation models and user-provided technical documents to generate Failure Mode and Effects Analyses (FMEA) for industrial equipment. Our system aggregates unstructured content across documents to generate an FMEA and stores it in a relational database. Leveraging this tool, the time required for creation of this knowledge-intensive content is reduced, outperforming traditional manual approaches. This demonstration showcases the potential of foundation models to facilitate the creation of specialized structured content for enterprise asset management systems.


FMEA Builder: Expert Guided Text Generation for Equipment Maintenance

Lynch, Karol, Lorenzi, Fabio, Sheehan, John, Kabakci-Zorlu, Duygu, Eck, Bradley

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Foundation models show great promise for generative tasks in many domains. Here we discuss the use of foundation models to generate structured documents related to critical assets. A Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) captures the composition of an asset or piece of equipment, the ways it may fail and the consequences thereof. Our system uses large language models to enable fast and expert supervised generation of new FMEA documents. Empirical analysis shows that foundation models can correctly generate over half of an FMEA's key content. Results from polling audiences of reliability professionals show a positive outlook on using generative AI to create these documents for critical assets.