exposure score
Exposure Conscious Path Planning for Equal Exposure Corridors
Hamzezadeh, Eugene T., Rogers, John G., Dantam, Neil T., Petruska, Andrew J.
Personal use of this material is permitted. Abstract-- While maximizing line-of-sight coverage of specific regions or agents in the environment is a well-explored path planning objective, the converse problem of minimizing exposure to the entire environment during navigation is especially interesting in the context of minimizing detection risk. This work demonstrates that minimizing line-of-sight exposure to the environment is non-Markovian, which cannot be efficiently solved optimally with traditional path planning. The optimality gap of the graph-search algorithm A* and the trade-offs Figure 1: When delivering a package the robot should take the solid in optimality vs. computation time of several approximating black line route over the dashed red one, so as to minimize the heuristics is explored. Finally, the concept of equal-exposure likelihood of being seen by a malicious agent.
Revealed: The jobs most likely to be taken by ROBOTS - so, is your profession at risk?
The idea of a robot taking your job might sound like science fiction. But a new study suggests it could soon become a reality for many Britons. The study, by the Department for Education, has revealed the jobs most likely to be taken by robots. However, there's sports players, roofers, and steel erectors can all rest easy, with the study suggesting these professions are the safest from the advance of AI technology. The idea of a robot taking your job might sound like science fiction.
GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models
Eloundou, Tyna, Manning, Sam, Mishkin, Pamela, Rock, Daniel
We investigate the potential implications of large language models (LLMs), such as Generative Pre-trained Transformers (GPTs), on the U.S. labor market, focusing on the increased capabilities arising from LLM-powered software compared to LLMs on their own. Using a new rubric, we assess occupations based on their alignment with LLM capabilities, integrating both human expertise and GPT-4 classifications. Our findings reveal that around 80% of the U.S. workforce could have at least 10% of their work tasks affected by the introduction of LLMs, while approximately 19% of workers may see at least 50% of their tasks impacted. We do not make predictions about the development or adoption timeline of such LLMs. The projected effects span all wage levels, with higher-income jobs potentially facing greater exposure to LLM capabilities and LLM-powered software. Significantly, these impacts are not restricted to industries with higher recent productivity growth. Our analysis suggests that, with access to an LLM, about 15% of all worker tasks in the US could be completed significantly faster at the same level of quality. When incorporating software and tooling built on top of LLMs, this share increases to between 47 and 56% of all tasks. This finding implies that LLM-powered software will have a substantial effect on scaling the economic impacts of the underlying models. We conclude that LLMs such as GPTs exhibit traits of general-purpose technologies, indicating that they could have considerable economic, social, and policy implications.
Large Language Models at Work in China's Labor Market
Chen, Qin, Ge, Jinfeng, Xie, Huaqing, Xu, Xingcheng, Yang, Yanqing
This paper explores the potential impacts of large language models (LLMs) on the Chinese labor market. We analyze occupational exposure to LLM capabilities by incorporating human expertise and LLM classifications, following Eloundou et al. (2023)'s methodology. We then aggregate occupation exposure to the industry level to obtain industry exposure scores. The results indicate a positive correlation between occupation exposure and wage levels/experience premiums, suggesting higher-paying and experience-intensive jobs may face greater displacement risks from LLM-powered software. The industry exposure scores align with expert assessments and economic intuitions. We also develop an economic growth model incorporating industry exposure to quantify the productivity-employment trade-off from AI adoption. Overall, this study provides an analytical basis for understanding the labor market impacts of increasingly capable AI systems in China. Key innovations include the occupation-level exposure analysis, industry aggregation approach, and economic modeling incorporating AI adoption and labor market effects. The findings will inform policymakers and businesses on strategies for maximizing the benefits of AI while mitigating adverse disruption risks.
The Value of Big Data for Credit Scoring: Enhancing Financial Inclusion using Mobile Phone Data and Social Network Analytics
รskarsdรณttir, Marรญa, Bravo, Cristiรกn, Sarraute, Carlos, Vanthienen, Jan, Baesens, Bart
Credit scoring is without a doubt one of the oldest applications of analytics. In recent years, a multitude of sophisticated classification techniques have been developed to improve the statistical performance of credit scoring models. Instead of focusing on the techniques themselves, this paper leverages alternative data sources to enhance both statistical and economic model performance. The study demonstrates how including call networks, in the context of positive credit information, as a new Big Data source has added value in terms of profit by applying a profit measure and profit-based feature selection. A unique combination of datasets, including call-detail records, credit and debit account information of customers is used to create scorecards for credit card applicants. Call-detail records are used to build call networks and advanced social network analytics techniques are applied to propagate influence from prior defaulters throughout the network to produce influence scores. The results show that combining call-detail records with traditional data in credit scoring models significantly increases their performance when measured in AUC. In terms of profit, the best model is the one built with only calling behavior features. In addition, the calling behavior features are the most predictive in other models, both in terms of statistical and economic performance. The results have an impact in terms of ethical use of call-detail records, regulatory implications, financial inclusion, as well as data sharing and privacy.
Artificial intelligence expected to have a big impact on white collar jobs
Better educated, better paid white collar workers will be the most affected by artificial intelligence (AI), according to a newly released report by the Brookings Institution. The report goes against previous findings of Brookings' and other research that shows less educated and lower-wage workers will be most impacted by robots. Stanford University researcher Michael Webb's approach was to take the text of patents to identify the capabilities of AI, and then quantify the extent to which each occupation involves these technologies. Webb used natural language processing to quantify the overlap between patent texts and job description text and came up with an exposure score for each job. Out of the 769 occupational descriptions Webb analyzed, 740 "contain a capability pair match with AI patent language, meaning at least one or more of its tasks could potentially be exposed to, complemented by, or completed by AI,'' the report noted. "Importantly, this does not mean such tasks will be ...
Brookings: AI will heavily affect tech and white-collar jobs
AI is set to have a big impact on high-wage, white-collar, and tech jobs, according to a new Brookings Institution study released today. The report analyzes overlap between job descriptions and patent database text, using NLP to assign each job an exposure score. "High-tech digital services such as software publishing and computer system design -- that before had low automation susceptibility -- exhibit quite high exposure, as AI tools and applications pervade the technology sector," the report reads. The AI exposure score was created by researcher Michael Webb to predict the likelihood AI will affect certain cities, regions, occupations, industries, or demographic groups, but is not designed to determine whether that impact is positive or negative. Exposure to AI could mean that the tech will likely augment or change how certain occupations work, or it could mean a higher likelihood AI will take your job.