error rate
Quantifying Statistical Significance of Deep Nearest Neighbor Anomaly Detection via Selective Inference
In real-world applications, anomaly detection (AD) often operates without access to anomalous data, necessitating semi-supervised methods that rely solely on normal data. Among these methods, deep k-nearest neighbor (deep kNN) AD stands out for its interpretability and flexibility, leveraging distance-based scoring in deep latent spaces. Despite its strong performance, deep kNN lacks a mechanism to quantify uncertaintyan essential feature for critical applications such as industrial inspection. To address this limitation, we propose a statistical framework that quantifies the significance of detected anomalies in the form of p-values, thereby enabling control over false positive rates at a user-specified significance level (e.g.,0.05). A central challenge lies in managing selection bias, which we tackle using Selective Inference-a principled method for conducting inference conditioned on data-driven selections. We evaluate our method on diverse datasets and demonstrate that it provides reliable AD well-suited for industrial use cases.
Optimal Graph Clustering without Edge Density Signals
This paper establishes the theoretical limits of graph clustering under the PopularityAdjusted Block Model (PABM), addressing limitations of existing models. In contrast to the Stochastic Block Model (SBM), which assumes uniform vertex degrees, and to the Degree-Corrected Block Model (DCBM), which applies uniform degree corrections across clusters, PABM introduces separate popularity parameters for intra-and inter-cluster connections. Our main contribution is the characterization of the optimal error rate for clustering under PABM, which provides novel insights on clustering hardness: we demonstrate that unlike SBM and DCBM, cluster recovery remains possible in PABM even when traditional edge-density signals vanish, provided intra-and inter-cluster popularity coefficients differ. This highlights a dimension of degree heterogeneity captured by PABM but overlooked by DCBM: local differences in connectivity patterns can enhance cluster separability independently of global edge densities. Finally, because PABM exhibits a richer structure, its expected adjacency matrix has rank between k and k2, where k is the number of clusters. As a result, spectral embeddings based on the top k eigenvectors may fail to capture important structural information. Our numerical experiments on both synthetic and real datasets confirm that spectral clustering algorithms incorporating k2 eigenvectors outperform traditional spectral approaches.
f0156a82b6af6a4e838923ce9c124424-Paper-Conference.pdf
Structure-agnostic causal inference studies how well one can estimate a treatment effect given black-box machine learning estimates of nuisance functions (like the impact of confounders on treatment and outcomes). Here, we find that the answer depends in a surprising way on the distribution of the treatment noise. Focusing on the partially linear model of Robinson [1988], we first show that the widely adopted double machine learning (DML) estimator is minimax rate-optimal for Gaussian treatment noise, resolving an open problem of Mackey et al. [2018]. Meanwhile, for independent non-Gaussian treatment noise, we show that DML is always suboptimal by constructing new practical procedures with higher-order robustness to nuisance errors. These ACE procedures use structure-agnostic cumulant estimators to achieve r-th order insensitivity to nuisance errors whenever the (r + 1)-st treatment cumulant is non-zero. We complement these core results with novel minimax guarantees for binary treatments in the partially linear model. Finally, using synthetic demand estimation experiments, we demonstrate the practical benefits of our higher-order robust estimators.
Finite-Sample Performance of Gradient Descent in Logistic Regression with Gaussian Design
We consider the parameter estimation problem in logistic regression with Gaussian design: the estimation of a fixed unknown parameter $ฮธ^*\in \mathbb{R}^d$ ($\|ฮธ^*\|_2\ge 1$) from $n$ i.i.d. samples $\{(x_i,y_i)\}_{i=1}^n$, where $x_i\sim N(0,I_d)$ and $y_i|x_i \sim {\rm Bernoulli}(1/(1+\exp(-x_i^\top ฮธ^*)))$. Our main aim is to characterize the finite-sample estimation performance and convergence behavior of gradient descent (GD) on the maximum likelihood objective (i.e., the logistic loss). Under small $O(1)$ stepsize and $0$ initialization, we show that GD linearly converges to a small neighborhood of $ฮธ^*$ achieving an $\ell_2$ error of order $O(\sqrt{\|ฮธ^*\|_2^5d/n})$. This substantially goes beyond existing theoretical results that lack non-asymptotic estimation error rate and exhibit much slower parameter convergence. We also establish a faster local linear convergence to the same statistical error under a large $ฮ(\|ฮธ^*\|_2)$ stepsize. The main technical component is to show that the gradient of the logistic loss satisfies a certain approximate invertibility condition (AIC). To that end, we uniformly control the deviation of the gradient from its population counterpart by covering and peeling arguments, and then show that the population GD is a contraction by a delicate analysis based on the eigenvalues of population Hessian matrices. Finally, we build upon the recent work Matsumoto and Mazumdar (2025) and devise a novel efficient estimator that attains a sharper rate in high dimensions. This indicates that the existing non-asymptotic guarantees exhibit sub-optimal dependence on $\|ฮธ^*\|_2$, and that in many regimes $ฮ(\sqrt{\|ฮธ^*\|_2d/n})$ is the tight estimation error rate. Numerical examples are provided to corroborate our theoretical results.
Scaling Laws for Robust Comparison of Open Foundation Language-Vision Models and Datasets
In studies of transferable learning, scaling laws are obtained for various important foundation models to predict their properties and performance at larger scales. Taking language-vision learning as example, we show here how scaling law derivation can also be used for model and dataset comparison, allowing to decide which procedure is to be preferred for pre-training. Full scaling laws based on dense measurements across a wide span of model and samples seen scales are derived for two important language-vision learning procedures, CLIP and MaMMUT, that use either contrastive only or contrastive and captioning text generative loss. For the first time, we use derived scaling laws to compare both models and three open datasets, DataComp-1.4B,
Second-Order Convergence in Private Stochastic Non-Convex Optimization
We investigate the problem of finding second-order stationary points (SOSP) in differentially private (DP) stochastic non-convex optimization. Existing methods suffer from two key limitations: (i) inaccurate convergence error rate due to overlooking gradient variance in the saddle point escape analysis, and (ii) dependence on auxiliary private model selection procedures for identifying DP-SOSP, which can significantly impair utility, particularly in distributed settings. To address these issues, we propose a generic perturbed stochastic gradient descent (PSGD) framework built upon Gaussian noise injection and general gradient oracles. A core innovation of our framework is using model drift distance to determine whether PSGD escapes saddle points, ensuring convergence to approximate local minima without relying on second-order information or additional DP-SOSP identification. By leveraging the adaptive DP-SPIDER estimator as a specific gradient oracle, we develop a new DP algorithm that rectifies the convergence error rates reported in prior work. We further extend this algorithm to distributed learning with heterogeneous data, providing the first formal guarantees for finding DP-SOSP in such settings. Our analysis also highlights the detrimental impacts of private selection procedures in distributed learning under high-dimensional models, underscoring the practical benefits of our design.
ErrorTrace: ABlack-Box Traceability Mechanism Based on Model Family Error Space
The open-source release of large language models (LLMs) enables malicious users to create unauthorized derivative models at low cost, posing significant threats to intellectual property (IP) and market stability. Existing IP protection methods either require access to model parameters or are vulnerable to fine-tuning attacks. To fill this gap, we propose ErrorTrace, a robust and black-box traceability mechanism for protecting LLMIP.
Massive Sound Embedding Benchmark (MSEB)
Audio is a critical component of multimodal perception, and any truly intelligent system must demonstrate a wide range of auditory capabilities. These capabilities include transcription, classification, retrieval, reasoning, segmentation, clustering, reranking, and reconstruction. Fundamentally, each task involves transforming a raw audio signal into a meaningful'embedding'--be it a single vector, a sequence of continuous or discrete representations, or another structured form--which then serves as the basis for generating the task's final response. To accelerate progress towards robust machine auditory intelligence, we present the Massive Sound Embedding Benchmark (MSEB): an extensible framework designed to evaluate the auditory components of any multimodal system. In its first release, MSEB offers a comprehensive suite of eight core tasks, with more planned for the future, supported by diverse datasets, including the new, large-scale Simple Voice Questions (SVQ) dataset. Our initial experiments establish clear performance headrooms, highlighting the significant opportunity to improve real-world multimodal experiences where audio is a core signal. We encourage the research community to use MSEB to assess their algorithms and contribute to its growth.
Massive Sound Embedding Benchmark (MSEB)
Audio is a critical component of multimodal perception, and any truly intelligent system must demonstrate a wide range of auditory capabilities. These capabilities include transcription, classification, retrieval, reasoning, segmentation, clustering, reranking, and reconstruction. Fundamentally, each task involves transforming a raw audio signal into a meaningful'embedding'--be it a single vector, a sequence of continuous or discrete representations, or another structured form--which then serves as the basis for generating the task's final response. To accelerate progress towards robust machine auditory intelligence, we present the Massive Sound Embedding Benchmark (MSEB): an extensible framework designed to evaluate the auditory components of any multimodal system. In its first release, MSEB offers a comprehensive suite of eight core tasks, with more planned for the future, supported by diverse datasets, including the new, large-scale Simple Voice Questions (SVQ) dataset. Our initial experiments establish clear performance headrooms, highlighting the significant opportunity to improve real-world multimodal experiences where audio is a core signal. We encourage the research community to use MSEB to assess their algorithms and contribute to its growth.