Offline reinforcement learning (offline RL), which aims to find an optimal policy from a previously collected static dataset, bears algorithmic difficulties due to function approximation errors from out-of-distribution (OOD) data points. To this end, offline RL algorithms adopt either a constraint or a penalty term that explicitly guides the policy to stay close to the given dataset. However, prior methods typically require accurate estimation of the behavior policy or sampling from OOD data points, which themselves can be a non-trivial problem. Moreover, these methods under-utilize the generalization ability of deep neural networks and often fall into suboptimal solutions too close to the given dataset. In this work, we propose an uncertainty-based offline RL method that takes into account the confidence of the Q-value prediction and does not require any estimation or sampling of the data distribution. We show that the clipped Q-learning, a technique widely used in online RL, can be leveraged to successfully penalize OOD data points with high prediction uncertainties. Surprisingly, we find that it is possible to substantially outperform existing offline RL methods on various tasks by simply increasing the number of Q-networks along with the clipped Q-learning. Based on this observation, we propose an ensemble-diversified actor-critic algorithm that reduces the number of required ensemble networks down to a tenth compared to the naive ensemble while achieving state-of-the-art performance on most of the D4RL benchmarks considered.

4D Flow Magnetic Resonance Imaging (4D Flow MRI) is a non-invasive measurement technique capable of quantifying blood flow across the cardiovascular system. While practical use is limited by spatial resolution and image noise, incorporation of trained super-resolution (SR) networks has potential to enhance image quality post-scan. However, these efforts have predominantly been restricted to narrowly defined cardiovascular domains, with limited exploration of how SR performance extends across the cardiovascular system; a task aggravated by contrasting hemodynamic conditions apparent across the cardiovasculature. The aim of our study was to explore the generalizability of SR 4D Flow MRI using a combination of heterogeneous training sets and dedicated ensemble learning. With synthetic training data generated across three disparate domains (cardiac, aortic, cerebrovascular), varying convolutional base and ensemble learners were evaluated as a function of domain and architecture, quantifying performance on both in-silico and acquired in-vivo data from the same three domains. Results show that both bagging and stacking ensembling enhance SR performance across domains, accurately predicting high-resolution velocities from low-resolution input data in-silico. Likewise, optimized networks successfully recover native resolution velocities from downsampled in-vivo data, as well as show qualitative potential in generating denoised SR-images from clinical level input data. In conclusion, our work presents a viable approach for generalized SR 4D Flow MRI, with ensemble learning extending utility across various clinical areas of interest.

The use of reinforcement learning (RL) in practical applications requires considering sub-optimal outcomes, which depend on the agent's familiarity with the uncertain environment. Dynamically adjusting the level of epistemic risk over the course of learning can tactically achieve reliable optimal policy in safety-critical environments and tackle the sub-optimality of a static risk level. In this work, we introduce a novel framework, Distributional RL with Online Risk Adaption (DRL-ORA), which can quantify the aleatory and epistemic uncertainties compositely and dynamically select the epistemic risk levels via solving a total variation minimization problem online. The risk level selection can be efficiently achieved through grid search using a Follow-The-Leader type algorithm, and its offline oracle is related to "satisficing measure" (in the decision analysis community) under a special modification of the loss function. We show multiple classes of tasks where DRL-ORA outperforms existing methods that rely on either a fixed risk level or manually predetermined risk level adaption. Given the simplicity of our modifications, we believe the framework can be easily incorporated into most RL algorithm variants.

Quasars experiencing strong lensing offer unique viewpoints on subjects related to the cosmic expansion rate, the dark matter profile within the foreground deflectors, and the quasar host galaxies. Unfortunately, identifying them in astronomical images is challenging since they are overwhelmed by the abundance of non-lenses. To address this, we have developed a novel approach by ensembling cutting-edge convolutional networks (CNNs) -- for instance, ResNet, Inception, NASNet, MobileNet, EfficientNet, and RegNet -- along with vision transformers (ViTs) trained on realistic galaxy-quasar lens simulations based on the Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) multiband images. While the individual model exhibits remarkable performance when evaluated against the test dataset, achieving an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of $>$97.3% and a median false positive rate of 3.6%, it struggles to generalize in real data, indicated by numerous spurious sources picked by each classifier. A significant improvement is achieved by averaging these CNNs and ViTs, resulting in the impurities being downsized by factors up to 50. Subsequently, combining the HSC images with the UKIRT, VISTA, and unWISE data, we retrieve approximately 60 million sources as parent samples and reduce this to 892,609 after employing a photometry preselection to discover $z>1.5$ lensed quasars with Einstein radii of $\theta_\mathrm{E}<5$ arcsec. Afterward, the ensemble classifier indicates 3080 sources with a high probability of being lenses, for which we visually inspect, yielding 210 prevailing candidates awaiting spectroscopic confirmation. These outcomes suggest that automated deep learning pipelines hold great potential in effectively detecting strong lenses in vast datasets with minimal manual visual inspection involved.

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper, we introduce a method for uncertainty estimation that considers a set of independent categorical distributions for each layer of the network, giving many more possible samples with overlapped layers than in the regular Deep Ensembles. We further introduce an optimized inference procedure that reuses common layer outputs, achieving up to 19x speed up and reducing memory usage quadratically. We also show that the method can be further improved by ranking samples, resulting in models that require less memory and time to run while achieving higher uncertainty quality than Deep Ensembles.

One of the fundamental challenges in the prediction of dynamic agents is robustness. Usually, most predictions are deterministic estimates of future states which are over-confident and prone to error. Recently, few works have addressed capturing uncertainty during forecasting of future states. However, these probabilistic estimation methods fail to account for the upstream noise in perception data during tracking. Sensors always have noise and state estimation becomes even more difficult under adverse weather conditions and occlusion. Traditionally, Bayes filters have been used to fuse information from noisy sensors to update states with associated belief. But, they fail to address non-linearities and long-term predictions. Therefore, we propose an end-to-end estimator that can take noisy sensor measurements and make robust future state predictions with uncertainty bounds while simultaneously taking into consideration the upstream perceptual uncertainty. For the current research, we consider an encoder-decoder based deep ensemble network for capturing both perception and predictive uncertainty simultaneously. We compared the current model to other approximate Bayesian inference methods. Overall, deep ensembles provided more robust predictions and the consideration of upstream uncertainty further increased the estimation accuracy for the model.

In this paper, deep neural network (DNN) is integrated with spatial modulation-orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (SM-OFDM) technique for end-to-end data detection over Rayleigh fading channel. This proposed system directly demodulates the received symbols, leaving the channel estimation done only implicitly. Furthermore, an ensemble network is also proposed for this system. Simulation results show that the proposed DNN detection scheme has a significant advantage over classical methods when the pilot overhead and cyclic prefix (CP) are reduced, owing to its ability to learn and adjust to complicated channel conditions. Finally, the ensemble network is shown to improve the generalization of the proposed scheme, while also showing a slight improvement in its performance.

Manic episodes of bipolar disorder can lead to uncritical behaviour and delusional psychosis, often with destructive consequences for those affected and their surroundings. Early detection and intervention of a manic episode are crucial to prevent escalation, hospital admission and premature death. However, people with bipolar disorder may not recognize that they are experiencing a manic episode and symptoms such as euphoria and increased productivity can also deter affected individuals from seeking help. This work proposes to perform user-independent, automatic mood-state detection based on actigraphy and electrodermal activity acquired from a wrist-worn device during mania and after recovery (euthymia). This paper proposes a new deep learning-based ensemble method leveraging long (20h) and short (5 minutes) time-intervals to discriminate between the mood-states. When tested on 47 bipolar patients, the proposed classification scheme achieves an average accuracy of 91.59% in euthymic/manic mood-state recognition.

One of the critical challenges in machine learning applications is to have fair predictions. There are numerous recent examples in various domains that convincingly show that algorithms trained with biased datasets can easily lead to erroneous or discriminatory conclusions. This is even more crucial in clinical applications where the predictive algorithms are designed mainly based on a limited or given set of medical images and demographic variables such as age, sex and race are not taken into account. In this work, we conduct a survey of the MICCAI 2018 proceedings to investigate the common practice in medical image analysis applications. Surprisingly, we found that papers focusing on diagnosis rarely describe the demographics of the datasets used, and the diagnosis is purely based on images. In order to highlight the importance of considering the demographics in diagnosis tasks, we used a publicly available dataset of skin lesions. We then demonstrate that a classifier with an overall area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83 has variable performance between 0.76 and 0.91 on subgroups based on age and sex, even though the training set was relatively balanced. Moreover, we show that it is possible to learn unbiased features by explicitly using demographic variables in an adversarial training setup, which leads to balanced scores per subgroups. Finally, we discuss the implications of these results and provide recommendations for further research.

This paper tackles the goal of conclusion-supplement answer generation for non-factoid questions, which is a critical issue in the field of Natural Language Processing (NLP) and Artificial Intelligence (AI), as users often require supplementary information before accepting a conclusion. The current encoder-decoder framework, however, has difficulty generating such answers, since it may become confused when it tries to learn several different long answers to the same non-factoid question. Our solution, called an ensemble network, goes beyond single short sentences and fuses logically connected conclusion statements and supplementary statements. It extracts the context from the conclusion decoder's output sequence and uses it to create supplementary decoder states on the basis of an attention mechanism. It also assesses the closeness of the question encoder's output sequence and the separate outputs of the conclusion and supplement decoders as well as their combination. As a result, it generates answers that match the questions and have natural-sounding supplementary sequences in line with the context expressed by the conclusion sequence. Evaluations conducted on datasets including "Love Advice" and "Arts & Humanities" categories indicate that our model outputs much more accurate results than the tested baseline models do.