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 engineering and applied science 2018


Evaluating Patient Readmission Risk: A Predictive Analytics Approach

arXiv.org Machine Learning

With the emergence of the Hospital Readmission Reduction Program of the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services on October 1, 2012, forecasting unplanned patient readmission risk became crucial to the healthcare domain. There are tangible works in the literature emphasizing on developing readmission risk prediction models; However, the models are not accurate enough to be deployed in an actual clinical setting. Our study considers patient readmission risk as the objective for optimization and develops a useful risk prediction model to address unplanned readmissions. Furthermore, Genetic Algorithm and Greedy Ensemble is used to optimize the developed model constraints.


Identification of Cancer - Mesothelioma Disease Using Logistic Regression and Association Rule

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma (MPM) or malignant mesothelioma (MM) is an atypical, aggressive tumor that matures into cancer in the pleura, a stratum of tissue bordering the lungs. Diagnosis of MPM is difficult and it accounts for about seventy-five percent of all mesothelioma diagnosed yearly in the United States of America. Being a fatal disease, early identification of MPM is crucial for patient survival. Our study implements logistic regression and develops association rules to identify early stage symptoms of MM. We retrieved medical reports generated by Dicle University and implemented logistic regression to measure the model accuracy. We conducted (a) logistic correlation, (b) Omnibus test and (c) Hosmer and Lemeshow test for model evaluation. Moreover, we also developed association rules by confidence, rule support, lift, condition support and deployability. Categorical logistic regression increases the training accuracy from 72.30% to 81.40% with a testing accuracy of 63.46%. The study also shows the top 5 symptoms that is mostly likely indicates the presence in MM. This study concludes that using predictive modeling can enhance primary presentation and diagnosis of MM.