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 energy generation


AutoGrid AI: Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Autonomous Microgrid Management

Guo, Kenny, Eckhert, Nicholas, Chhajer, Krish, Abeykoon, Luthira, Schell, Lorne

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

--We present a deep reinforcement learning-based framework for autonomous microgrid management. Using deep reinforcement learning and time-series forecasting models, we optimize microgrid energy dispatch strategies to minimize costs and maximize the utilization of renewable energy sources such as solar and wind. Our approach integrates the transformer architecture for forecasting of renewable generation and a proximal-policy optimization (PPO) agent to make decisions in a simulated environment. Our experimental results demonstrate significant improvements in both energy efficiency and operational resilience when compared to traditional rule-based methods. This work contributes to advancing smart-grid technologies in pursuit of zero-carbon energy systems. We finally provide an open-source framework for simulating several microgrid environments.


Do we actually understand the impact of renewables on electricity prices? A causal inference approach

Cacciarelli, Davide, Pinson, Pierre, Panagiotopoulos, Filip, Dixon, David, Blaxland, Lizzie

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The energy transition is profoundly reshaping electricity market dynamics. It makes it essential to understand how renewable energy generation actually impacts electricity prices, among all other market drivers. These insights are critical to design policies and market interventions that ensure affordable, reliable, and sustainable energy systems. However, identifying causal effects from observational data is a major challenge, requiring innovative causal inference approaches that go beyond conventional regression analysis only. We build upon the state of the art by developing and applying a local partially linear double machine learning approach. Its application yields the first robust causal evidence on the distinct and non-linear effects of wind and solar power generation on UK wholesale electricity prices, revealing key insights that have eluded previous analyses. We find that, over 2018-2024, wind power generation has a U-shaped effect on prices: at low penetration levels, a 1 GWh increase in energy generation reduces prices by up to 7 GBP/MWh, but this effect gets close to none at mid-penetration levels (20-30%) before intensifying again. Solar power places substantial downward pressure on prices at very low penetration levels (up to 9 GBP/MWh per 1 GWh increase in energy generation), though its impact weakens quite rapidly. We also uncover a critical trend where the price-reducing effects of both wind and solar power have become more pronounced over time (from 2018 to 2024), highlighting their growing influence on electricity markets amid rising penetration. Our study provides both novel analysis approaches and actionable insights to guide policymakers in appraising the way renewables impact electricity markets.


A Survey of AI-Powered Mini-Grid Solutions for a Sustainable Future in Rural Communities

Pirie, Craig, Kalutarage, Harsha, Hajar, Muhammad Shadi, Wiratunga, Nirmalie, Charles, Subodha, Madhushan, Geeth Sandaru, Buddhika, Priyantha, Wijesiriwardana, Supun, Dimantha, Akila, Hansamal, Kithdara, Pathiranage, Shalitha

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a comprehensive survey of AI-driven mini-grid solutions aimed at enhancing sustainable energy access. It emphasises the potential of mini-grids, which can operate independently or in conjunction with national power grids, to provide reliable and affordable electricity to remote communities. Given the inherent unpredictability of renewable energy sources such as solar and wind, the necessity for accurate energy forecasting and management is discussed, highlighting the role of advanced AI techniques in forecasting energy supply and demand, optimising grid operations, and ensuring sustainable energy distribution. This paper reviews various forecasting models, including statistical methods, machine learning algorithms, and hybrid approaches, evaluating their effectiveness for both short-term and long-term predictions. Additionally, it explores public datasets and tools such as Prophet, NeuralProphet, and N-BEATS for model implementation and validation. The survey concludes with recommendations for future research, addressing challenges in model adaptation and optimisation for real-world applications.


Comprehensive Forecasting-Based Analysis of Hybrid and Stacked Stateful/ Stateless Models

Saha, Swayamjit

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Wind speed is a powerful source of renewable energy, which can be used as an alternative to the non-renewable resources for production of electricity. Renewable sources are clean, infinite and do not impact the environment negatively during production of electrical energy. However, while eliciting electrical energy from renewable resources viz. solar irradiance, wind speed, hydro should require special planning failing which may result in huge loss of labour and money for setting up the system. In this paper, we discuss four deep recurrent neural networks viz. Stacked Stateless LSTM, Stacked Stateless GRU, Stacked Stateful LSTM and Statcked Stateful GRU which will be used to predict wind speed on a short-term basis for the airport sites beside two campuses of Mississippi State University. The paper does a comprehensive analysis of the performance of the models used describing their architectures and how efficiently they elicit the results with the help of RMSE values. A detailed description of the time and space complexities of the above models has also been discussed.


Promoting Social Behaviour in Reducing Peak Electricity Consumption Using Multi-Agent Systems

Brooks, Nathan A., Powers, Simon T., Borg, James M.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In response to anthropogenic climate change, many countries and international organisations have committed to legally binding greenhouse gas emissions targets. The UK and the EU have both recently updated their legislation to include net zero emissions targets in place for 2050 (Skidmore, 2019; Sassoli and Matos Fernandes, 2021). This requires moving away from using fossil fuels for energy generation and moving towards renewable sources such as photovoltaic cells and wind turbines. Centralised'national grids' are able to'switch on and off' traditional fossil fuel power plants in order to increase or decrease the energy supply to meet the demand of the users. As the proportion of energy being generated from renewable sources increases this raises a problem - how can load-balancing (the matching of supply and demand) be managed when the output is inherently dependent on weather conditions. This load-balancing problem is easier to address on a small scale, and as such governments and energy providers are supporting the development of'Community energy systems', where local communities such as a small town own and manage their own renewable energy resources (Walker and Devine-Wright, 2008; Gruber et al., 2021). Decentralised community energy systems allow for a higher share of renewable technologies to be integrated into energy generation (Chiradeja and Ramakumar, 2004); minimise transmission losses between the source of energy generation and the end users (Pepermans et al., 2005); and improve energy security as the energy supply is less impacted by geopolitical factors (Alanne and Saari, 2006). As social awareness of environmental issues increases, the willingness of communities to invest in community energy systems is also expected to increase (Pasimeni, 2019). While there are clear benefits to widespread adoption, the shift towards community energy systems means that comarXiv:2211.10198v2


Renewable energy management in smart home environment via forecast embedded scheduling based on Recurrent Trend Predictive Neural Network

Nakıp, Mert, Çopur, Onur, Biyik, Emrah, Güzeliş, Cüneyt

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Smart home energy management systems help the distribution grid operate more efficiently and reliably, and enable effective penetration of distributed renewable energy sources. These systems rely on robust forecasting, optimization, and control/scheduling algorithms that can handle the uncertain nature of demand and renewable generation. This paper proposes an advanced ML algorithm, called Recurrent Trend Predictive Neural Network based Forecast Embedded Scheduling (rTPNN-FES), to provide efficient residential demand control. rTPNN-FES is a novel neural network architecture that simultaneously forecasts renewable energy generation and schedules household appliances. By its embedded structure, rTPNN-FES eliminates the utilization of separate algorithms for forecasting and scheduling and generates a schedule that is robust against forecasting errors. This paper also evaluates the performance of the proposed algorithm for an IoT-enabled smart home. The evaluation results reveal that rTPNN-FES provides near-optimal scheduling $37.5$ times faster than the optimization while outperforming state-of-the-art forecasting techniques.


OPINION: Powering solar asset management with Machine Learning - ET EnergyWorld

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New Delhi: Around 2018, the overall cost of generating electricity from Renewable sources (solar, wind) became cheaper than the traditional methods of electricity generation (coal, oil, gas, nuclear). More than half of new electricity generation capacity added in 2021 were Renewables, and at the same time, the amount electricity distribution grids were willing to pay per unit of Renewable energy began to drop significantly. Managing the accelerated growth in capacity, while driving down costs, has become a must for Renewable plants. Just as Renewable energy has grown in the last decade so has the field of Artificial Intelligence (AI). Traditional computing is software programmers creating algorithms, to solve for complex engineering problems.


Using Machine Learning to Make Wind Energy More Predictable

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The variable and stochastic character of wind energy distinguish it from other renewable resources. As a result, wind energy generation forecasting is critical for power system reliability and balancing supply and demand. This article will look at how machine learning has made wind energy more predictable and recent advancements in this field. Wind energy has gained a lot of attention because of its abundant resources and efficient power-producing technology. However, large-scale strong and uncontrollable wind could undermine the stability of the power grid due to the uncertainty and randomness of the wind.


Artificial intelligence, machine learning can transform renewable energy industry; here's how

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Artificial intelligence and machine learning can be leveraged by power companies to get better forecasts, manage their grids and schedule maintenance. Decentralised energy sources can use AI and ML to predict energy consumption in households, comparing data from a specific part of the year and previous years. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have the capability to transform the renewable energy space and can be leveraged by power companies to get better forecasts, manage their grids and schedule maintenance. Consumers can also enjoy uninterrupted green energy and get upfront information about scheduled maintenance works in the grid that could result in power outages. Adoption of electric vehicles and electrification of heating systems in the next 10-15 years will add complexity to energy grids across the globe.


Top 10 Renewable Energy Trends & Innovations in 2022

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The need for a rapid transition to clean energy is enabling new developments in the renewable sector. Businesses and industries are moving towards renewable energy to reduce emissions, lower energy costs, and improve eco-friendliness. The major trends in the renewable sector include digitization, energy-efficient integrations, and solutions that overcome the intermittency in renewable energy production. For these reasons, the use of big data, artificial intelligence (AI), and the internet of energy (IoE) are emerging as popular trends in addition to innovations in renewable energy sources. Although renewable energies such as solar, wind, and hydroelectricity have been around for a long time, recent rapid innovations make these some of the most trending technologies. Moreover, they dominate the industry due to their competitive advantages. Relatively newer areas of research in the renewable sector include energy from green hydrogen and water energy forms such as tidal, wave, and ocean currents. For this in-depth research on the Top Renewable Energy Trends & Startups, we analyzed a sample of 5 152 global startups and scaleups. The result of this research is data-driven innovation intelligence that improves strategic decision-making by giving you an overview of emerging technologies & startups in the renewable energy industry. These insights are derived by working with our Big Data & Artificial Intelligence-powered StartUs Insights Discovery Platform, covering 2 093 000 startups & scaleups globally.

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