dynamic link prediction
DyG-Mamba: Continuous State Space Modeling on Dynamic Graphs
Dynamic graph modeling aims to uncover evolutionary patterns in real-world systems, enabling accurate social recommendation and early detection of cancer cells. Inspired by the success of recent state space models in efficiently capturing long-term dependencies, we propose DyG-Mamba by translating dynamic graph modeling into a long-term sequence modeling problem. Specifically, inspired by Ebbinghaus' forgetting curve, we treat the irregular timespans between events as control signals, allowing DyG-Mamba to dynamically adjust the forgetting of historical information. This mechanism ensures effective usage of irregular timespans, thereby improving both model effectiveness and inductive capability. In addition, inspired by Ebbinghaus' review cycle, we redefine core parameters to ensure that DyG-Mamba selectively reviews historical information and filters out noisy inputs, further enhancing the model's robustness. Through exhaustive experiments on 12 datasets covering dynamic link prediction and node classification tasks, we show that DyG-Mamba achieves state-of-the-art performance on most datasets, while demonstrating significantly improved computational and memory efficiency.
Towards Better Evaluation for Dynamic Link Prediction
Despite the prevalence of recent success in learning from static graphs, learning from time-evolving graphs remains an open challenge. In this work, we design new, more stringent evaluation procedures for link prediction specific to dynamic graphs, which reflect real-world considerations, to better compare the strengths and weaknesses of methods. First, we create two visualization techniques to understand the reoccurring patterns of edges over time and show that many edges reoccur at later time steps. Based on this observation, we propose a pure memorization-based baseline called EdgeBank. EdgeBank achieves surprisingly strong performance across multiple settings which highlights that the negative edges used in the current evaluation are easy. To sample more challenging negative edges, we introduce two novel negative sampling strategies that improve robustness and better match real-world applications. Lastly, we introduce six new dynamic graph datasets from a diverse set of domains missing from current benchmarks, providing new challenges and opportunities for future research. Our code repository is accessible at https://github.com/fpour/DGB.git.
Towards Better Evaluation for Dynamic Link Prediction
Despite the prevalence of recent success in learning from static graphs, learning from time-evolving graphs remains an open challenge. In this work, we design new, more stringent evaluation procedures for link prediction specific to dynamic graphs, which reflect real-world considerations, to better compare the strengths and weaknesses of methods. First, we create two visualization techniques to understand the reoccurring patterns of edges over time and show that many edges reoccur at later time steps. Based on this observation, we propose a pure memorization-based baseline called EdgeBank. EdgeBank achieves surprisingly strong performance across multiple settings which highlights that the negative edges used in the current evaluation are easy. To sample more challenging negative edges, we introduce two novel negative sampling strategies that improve robustness and better match real-world applications. Lastly, we introduce six new dynamic graph datasets from a diverse set of domains missing from current benchmarks, providing new challenges and opportunities for future research. Our code repository is accessible at https://github.com/fpour/DGB.git.
Global-Lens Transformers: Adaptive Token Mixing for Dynamic Link Prediction
Zou, Tao, Wu, Chengfeng, Liao, Tianxi, Ye, Junchen, Du, Bowen
Dynamic graph learning plays a pivotal role in modeling evolving relationships over time, especially for temporal link prediction tasks in domains such as traffic systems, social networks, and recommendation platforms. While Transformer-based models have demonstrated strong performance by capturing long-range temporal dependencies, their reliance on self-attention results in quadratic complexity with respect to sequence length, limiting scalability on high-frequency or large-scale graphs. In this work, we revisit the necessity of self-attention in dynamic graph modeling. Inspired by recent findings that attribute the success of Transformers more to their architectural design than attention itself, we propose GLFormer, a novel attention-free Transformer-style framework for dynamic graphs. GLFormer introduces an adaptive token mixer that performs context-aware local aggregation based on interaction order and time intervals. To capture long-term dependencies, we further design a hierarchical aggregation module that expands the temporal receptive field by stacking local token mixers across layers. Experiments on six widely used dynamic graph benchmarks show that GLFormer achieves competitive or superior performance, which reveals that attention-free architectures can match or surpass Transformer baselines in dynamic graph settings with significantly improved efficiency.
HyperEvent: A Strong Baseline for Dynamic Link Prediction via Relative Structural Encoding
Gao, Jian, Wu, Jianshe, Ding, JingYi
Learning representations for continuous-time dynamic graphs is critical for dynamic link prediction. While recent methods have become increasingly complex, the field lacks a strong and informative baseline to reliably gauge progress. This paper proposes HyperEvent, a simple approach that captures relative structural patterns in event sequences through an intuitive encoding mechanism. As a straightforward baseline, HyperEvent leverages relative structural encoding to identify meaningful event sequences without complex parameterization. By combining these interpretable features with a lightweight transformer classifier, HyperEvent reframes link prediction as event structure recognition. Despite its simplicity, HyperEvent achieves competitive results across multiple benchmarks, often matching the performance of more complex models. This work demonstrates that effective modeling can be achieved through simple structural encoding, providing a clear reference point for evaluating future advancements.